Posted on 03/15/2020 8:05:08 PM PDT by NRx
Britain's coronavirus crisis could last until Spring 2021 and see 7.9million people hospitalised, a secret briefing for senior NHS figures has revealed.
The document, seen by The Guardian newspaper, shows that health chiefs expect the virus to last for another 12 months, and details how it will impact key staff in the NHS, police and fire brigade.
It says: 'As many as 80% of the population are expected to be infected with Covid-19 in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million people) may require hospitalisation.'
It is understood the document was drawn up in recent days by Public Health England's preparedness and response team.
Dr Susan Hopkins, Deputy Director of PHE’s National Infection Service said: 'PHE used reasonable worse-case scenario figures, to restate the importance for people with symptoms to stay at home, including health care workers in order to reduce the spread of the virus.'
Paul Hunter, a professor of medicine at the University of East Anglia, and expert in epidemiology said: 'For the public to hear that it could last for 12 months, people are going to be really upset about that and pretty worried about that'
'A year is entirely plausible. But that figure isn't well appreciated or understood.'
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
I have been in conversation on WeChat with about 20 different Chinese and none of them have it. Even one in Wuhan.
Well, they must not be one of the 50 million that are dead then.
Lets take a look at this post in about 10 days and see who’s correct. I desperately hope I’m wrong. But I don’t think I will be.
So why arent you freaking out every year about the flu that kills tens of thousands in the us every year. they suck at guessing which strains we deal with and their shots have been hardly worth anything.
This normalcy bias being expressed is pretty selective about to freak out about.
Gee, you do ciphering better than Jethro Bodine did.
My left-leaning cousin moved there almost two years ago, and she’s pregnant now. Let’s see what happens.
Average age of death in Italy = 81.
What and when is the source of that information? Link please.
A lot of the folks around BJ are advocating the “let it burn itself out” strategy.
Yup. And rainbow monkeys could run rampant in the London Tube. Anything *could* happen, and it’s not unwise to prepare for worst-case scenarios. But what will most likely happen is something on par with H1N1 in 2009. Time will tell.
Funny, South Korea is much more liberal than this and their death rate is under 1%. Also, their infection rate is shrinking. Let’s do what they did.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/03/stunning-average-age-of-italians-who-have-died-from-coronavirus-is-81/
And how soon until places like New York, Washington, Ohio, and California devolve into a similar situation?
The usa and other countries are 5 to 10 days behind Italy. Social distancing needs to happen.
I’m in agreement with all efforts to flatten the curve but can you explain what is different this time from the 2002-2003 SARS, 2003-2007 H5N1, 2009 H1N1, and 2015 MERS epidemic/pandemics?
University of east Anglia.
Same crew who put up the Climate Change Hoax
Good point. And too many here think this virus is only dangerous to Mongoloid people
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