Posted on 03/07/2020 4:34:06 PM PST by CheshireTheCat
Democratic voter turnout in 19 Pivot Counties holding presidential primaries on Super Tuesday was lower than the rest of that state’s Democratic turnout as compared to 2016. Those counties span seven states. Voters in 46 Pivot Counties in nine states cast ballots in presidential primaries on Super Tuesday.
Ballotpedia identified 206 Pivot Counties that President Donald Trump (R) won in the 2016 presidential election and President Barack Obama (D) won in 2008 and 2012.
(Excerpt) Read more at ballotpedia.org ...
Democrat turnout is up this year because there was actually a real election with candidates and everything. Last year everyone knew that Hillary had already been designated as the nominee before the first primary vote was cast. The primaries were intended only as part of the pageantry leading up to her coronation.
That is, everyone except Bernie knew.
Bernie was never supposed to actually win any primaries. He was supposed to play the role of the helpless opposition who would be crushed by the massive Hillary train and who would then beg for Her divine forgiveness for ever opposing Her will. Seriously, who would ever vote for a crazy old socialist against She Who Must Be Obeyed?
Reading the results, it looks like Minnesota and Virginia are a complete loss for Trump in November. The Dems came out big to vote in the primaries.
How many & which of those states were “Operation Chaos” operative?
So if I understand this right...pivot counties are counties that can be competitive. They’ve voted for Trump and Obama in the past.
In the primary while statewide turnout was up in these pivot counties turnout was down.
Plus what this article doesn’t mention is that Trump (who ran unopposed) received more votes than any democrat and often more than all democrats combined!
There was no primary for the GOP, is that right? At least not for president.
What’s with Minnesota, are all the Somalis having their African villages vote absentee?
Several had one-candidate republican primaries for president, but the lower positions were contested everywhere, so republican primaries were held everywhere. But, no, Trump was being opposed seriously anywhere, and there were no ad campaigns for Trump.
NONE were advertised for the top spot, but local republican races - such as here in GA - do get local attention and mailers.
These numbers are not that good, especially after “ma blue wave” in 2018
Very bleak for a party that is suppose to beat Trump in 2020 no matter what.
No enthusiasm at all
Then you look at Trump’s numbers, the guy is basically unopposed and still killed it. Enthusiasm, telling me operation chaos is at play as well.
This article is misleading. Minnesota had a tremendous increase in Democrat turnout because they switched from a caucus to regular primary. It makes a big difference when voters don’t have to spend 3 hours at a caucus.
Minnesota switched from a caucus to a primary this year. Instead of spending three hours in a high school gym, voters could just show up and vote. Minnesota’s result tells us nothing.
No republican primary in Virginia. I think it was cancelled.
In 2016, Minnesota had a caucus. A caucus requires voters to spend three hours in the high school gym and every ties to their neighbors who they are voting for. This year, by contrast, Minnesota had a regular primary election. This explains why Minnesota’s numbers are exaggerated, and the same goes for Colorado and Maine, which also switched to primary elections.
Good analysis.
They are comparing two very different methods.
Lots of GOP voters came out in voted in the primary for Biden and Bernie to get back at Bloomberg.
Minnesota used to caucus in 2016 and prior. 2020 primary turnout isn’t comparable to caucus turnout...and no Republican primary in 2020 to measure against, either. BallotPedia doesn’t seem to indicate this.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.