Approval is 1 thing. Voting is another. Blacks see a ‘D’ on a bag of donuts and will vote for it.
Stick a fork in your party, Chuckee & Nazzi; it’s DONE
I work with a good number of black co-workers. From what I can tell, 100% of them despise Trump.
The only “difference” will be between a landslide victory and a super landslide. Trump might turn the map red!
Worst Racist, ever!
Trump got about 8% of black votes in 2016. Even if the approval number of 42% is accurate, I don’t expect it to translate into a major change in voting patterns, but I do expect a modest change consisting of two things: in 2020 Trump will get maybe 10% to 12% black votes AND the overall black voter turnout will be slightly lower. This change won’t have much of an impact on the presidential election, as Trump will comfortably take the electoral college with or without the change, but it will probably tip a few congressional seats to the red.
Stop, just stop.. a sample size of a few tens of people has a huge margin of error.. either get better educated in math, statistics and probabilities or stop making ludicrous claims.
Trump is not going to get 40% of the black vote, he’s not going to get 30% or even 20%.
Trump will likely outperform his 2016 numbers of 8% but he is not going to get 20% support among voting blacks. Let alone 40%.
Highest support a GOP has gotten in the last 50 years was Reagan in 1980, who got I believe 14%.. yet in his 84 re-election when the nation was doing far far better his support among blacks dropped significantly.
If Trump were getting 20% support, let alone 40% support among AA you wouldn’t need a pill to see it it would be obvious on that ground and it’s not.
Trump will likely improve from 2016 but his numbers will likely be right in historical ranges.. 10-12%. Maybe on the outside he might put it up to a a little beyond Reagan’s 1980.. but even that would be an earthquake politically.. that kind of radical shift would be obvious on the ground.
When you subset of blacks being polled like Rasmussen are a few dozen the margin of error is huge.
I can hear the nails being pounded into the rats coffins. Their racist division strategy is failing.
If he got just 20% of black votes that’s nearly 3% of the national vote
In this age that would matter
Or if his popularity depresses black democrat voting turnout
Which is likely considering none of the Dems are attractive
I want to believe this, but on election night 90+% of blacks will vote for the D candidate
Which is still huge. Big enough to carry every state he carried in '16...and possibly pick up one or two others.
Excellent.
I had forecasted a while back that we could hit 50% by Election day. Looks like we are well on our way.
Trump can increase his percentage of the black vote in November though. It's good that he's targeting black voters, because if any republican can get more black voters it's him. He was very popular within the black community for decades before he ran for president; especially with black men. There are a lot of blacks who are probably much more open to him than they would be any other republican, because many saw him in a positive light before 2015.
Trump should get an increase in the black vote, but it's going to be a lot lower than some of these polls are showing, but a small increase in that percentage can make the difference. That's what the Trump campaign is looking at.
BTTT!
I don’t believe it’s this high, but a Trump did bring in 13% of the male black vote in 2016. There’s no indication that number won’t increase in November.
That’s a death knell for the Demscum.