“a war with Tehran seems to be a distinct possibility.”
Uh - no.
Trump is fortunately smarter than the Bushes. There are other options beside direct confrontation.
Take out the banks and bankers in Lebanon.
<>Politico story
<,>https://www.politico.com/interactives/2017/obama-hezbollah-drug-trafficking-investigation/
<...>https://www.thedonald.win/p/3wgSkkK/the-secret-backstory-of-how-obam/c/
Iran remembers Praying Mantis. I am certain Trump’s Nat Sec team does as well. Maybe a bit more formidable today, but so are we and Iran knows this.
Look for assymetrical targeting. Then what we do in response.