Posted on 01/03/2020 12:46:52 PM PST by Kaslin
Iran Is Weak Suleimani's killing was long overdue. The last time Iran was chastened on the world stage was when the U.S. sank half of the Iranian navy in 1988. The first thing to say about the U.S. airstrike on Thursday night that killed Qassem Suleimani, the longtime leader of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps Quds Force, is that President Trump made the right decision. Taking out Suleimani, who was killed as he traveled in a convoy near the Baghdad airport, was long overdue. In a statement, the Pentagon said Suleimani was actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members in Iraq and throughout the region, and blamed him for orchestrating recent attacks against U.S. forces in Iraq, including a December 27 attack that killed a U.S. government contractor and the attacks on the U.S. embassy in Baghdad this week. In addition, he was responsible for attacks that have killed hundreds of U.S. soldiers in Iraq and elsewhere, and his Quds Force directed terror campaigns and operations throughout the region. The importance of this strike cant be overstated. In the hierarchy of the Iranian regime, Suleimani is more powerful than Irans president when it comes to foreign policy. He and the Quds Force, which conducts terror operations, assassinations, and bombings outside Iran, report directly to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Suleimani controlled billions of dollars in terror financing across the globe. His killing marks a major escalation with Tehran thats been a long time coming, and likely marks a new era in U.S.-Iranian relations. The conventional wisdom seems to be that we should expect Iran to retaliate. Khamenei has already promised revenge, which will probably take the form of covert actions or terror operations rather than, say, missile launches. But its also possible that Irans retaliation wont amount to much. For all its bluster and pernicious meddling in the region, Tehran is weak, and being weak, it is vulnerable to the use of force. Theres strong historical precedent for using force to pacify Iran. The only thing that has really chastened Iran since the 1979 Islamic Revolution was Operation Praying Mantis in April 1998, in which U.S. forces sunk or severely damaged about half of Irans navy. Iran had been at war with Iraq for eight years, and in 1987 began attacking oil tankers and mining the Persian Gulf. When the guided missile frigate USS Samuel B. Roberts struck a mine while on a convoy mission to protect reflagged Kuwaiti oil tankers from Iranian attacks, it blew an immense hole in the ships hull and nearly sank it. In response, the U.S. Navy launched Operation Praying Mantis, the largest U.S. surface engagement since the Second World War and the first and only time the time the U.S. Navy has exchanged surface-to-surface missile fire with an enemy. The U.S. struck Iranian warships and oil platforms with coordinated assaults from groups of warships and aircraft from the carrier USS Enterprise, destroying two oil platforms and sinking at least three Iranian speedboats, one Iranian frigate, and one fast attack gunboat, as well as severely damaging one other Iranian frigate. The U.S. lost a single helicopter gunship that crashed attempting to evade enemy fire. The whole thing was over in a day. The success of Operation Praying Mantis, as well as a crushing defeat that same day against Iraqi forces on the al-Faw peninsula, pushed Iranian leadership toward a ceasefire with Iraq later that summer, ending the eight-year conflict. It wasnt sanctions or the promise of restored diplomatic relations with the U.S. that persuaded Iran to back down, it was the sinking of Iranian ships by U.S. forces in what amounted to an overwhelming battlefield domination on the world stage. Contrary to the hand-wringing of some liberal media outlets in the wake of the Suleimani strike, President Trump hasnt started a war with Iran. Rather, it means the United States has recognized and responded to a conflict thats been going on for some time now, and that Iran has fueled. If anything, the Suleimani strike might well prevent the outbreak of a new Mideast war that was looking increasingly inevitable after eight years of the Obama administrations feckless foreign policy. The airstrike itself should be uncontroversial, despite the craven protests of some Democrats now defending Iran. As David French explained on Twitter, the strike was duly authorized, justified, and needed no separate congressional authorization. American troops are lawfully in Iraqthere by congressional authorization and with the permission of the Iraqi government. Moreover, they have a right of self-defense. In any case, the parallel between the killing of Suleimani and Operation Praying Mantis in 1988 is straightforward. If you mine the Persian Gulf and nearly sink a U.S. warship, the United States will destroy your navy. Likewise, if you plan and execute attacks against U.S. troops and outposts, the United States will take out the man behind those attacks with an airstrike. In 1988, that was the takeaway for Tehran, whose burning ships and oil platforms testified above all to Americas military might and resolve. Faced with more of the same, Iran backed down. Today, faced with the prospect that its top terrorists and military commanders could at any time be taken out by U.S. forces, perhaps Tehran will reconsider its current course and back down once again. If thats Irans takeaway from the Suleimani strike, then it will have been well worth it.
What Operation Praying Mantis Can Teach Us Today
Killing Suleimani Is More Likely To Prevent A War Than Start One
Sorry, it’s a great article but so hard to read in all italics ...
Iran Is Weak Suleimani’s killing was long overdue. The last time Iran was chastened on the world stage was when the U.S. sank half of the Iranian navy in 1988.
The first thing to say about the U.S. airstrike on Thursday night that killed Qassem Suleimani, the longtime leader of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps Quds Force, is that President Trump made the right decision.
Taking out Suleimani, who was killed as he traveled in a convoy near the Baghdad airport, was long overdue. In a statement, the Pentagon said Suleimani was actively developing plans to attack American diplomats and service members in Iraq and throughout the region, and blamed him for orchestrating recent attacks against U.S. forces in Iraq, including a December 27 attack that killed a U.S. government contractor and the attacks on the U.S. embassy in Baghdad this week. In addition, he was responsible for attacks that have killed hundreds of U.S. soldiers in Iraq and elsewhere, and his Quds Force directed terror campaigns and operations throughout the region.
The importance of this strike cant be overstated. In the hierarchy of the Iranian regime, Suleimani is more powerful than Irans president when it comes to foreign policy. He and the Quds Force, which conducts terror operations, assassinations, and bombings outside Iran, report directly to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Suleimani controlled billions of dollars in terror financing across the globe. His killing marks a major escalation with Tehran thats been a long time coming, and likely marks a new era in U.S.-Iranian relations.
The conventional wisdom seems to be that we should expect Iran to retaliate. Khamenei has already promised revenge, which will probably take the form of covert actions or terror operations rather than, say, missile launches. But its also possible that Irans retaliation wont amount to much. For all its bluster and pernicious meddling in the region, Tehran is weak, and being weak, it is vulnerable to the use of force.
What Operation Praying Mantis Can Teach Us Today
Theres strong historical precedent for using force to pacify Iran. The only thing that has really chastened Iran since the 1979 Islamic Revolution was Operation Praying Mantis in April 1998, in which U.S. forces sunk or severely damaged about half of Irans navy. Iran had been at war with Iraq for eight years, and in 1987 began attacking oil tankers and mining the Persian Gulf. When the guided missile frigate USS Samuel B. Roberts struck a mine while on a convoy mission to protect reflagged Kuwaiti oil tankers from Iranian attacks, it blew an immense hole in the ships hull and nearly sank it.
Operation Praying Mantis
In response, the U.S. Navy launched Operation Praying Mantis, the largest U.S. surface engagement since the Second World War and the first and only time the time the U.S. Navy has exchanged surface-to-surface missile fire with an enemy. The U.S. struck Iranian warships and oil platforms with coordinated assaults from groups of warships and aircraft from the carrier USS Enterprise, destroying two oil platforms and sinking at least three Iranian speedboats, one Iranian frigate, and one fast attack gunboat, as well as severely damaging one other Iranian frigate. The U.S. lost a single helicopter gunship that crashed attempting to evade enemy fire. The whole thing was over in a day.
The success of Operation Praying Mantis, as well as a crushing defeat that same day against Iraqi forces on the al-Faw peninsula, pushed Iranian leadership toward a ceasefire with Iraq later that summer, ending the eight-year conflict. It wasnt sanctions or the promise of restored diplomatic relations with the U.S. that persuaded Iran to back down, it was the sinking of Iranian ships by U.S. forces in what amounted to an overwhelming battlefield domination on the world stage.
Killing Suleimani Is More Likely To Prevent A War Than Start One
Contrary to the hand-wringing of some liberal media outlets in the wake of the Suleimani strike, President Trump hasnt started a war with Iran. Rather, it means the United States has recognized and responded to a conflict thats been going on for some time now, and that Iran has fueled. If anything, the Suleimani strike might well prevent the outbreak of a new Mideast war that was looking increasingly inevitable after eight years of the Obama administrations feckless foreign policy.
The airstrike itself should be uncontroversial, despite the craven protests of some Democrats now defending Iran. As David French explained on Twitter, the strike was duly authorized, justified, and needed no separate congressional authorization. American troops are lawfully in Iraqthere by congressional authorization and with the permission of the Iraqi government. Moreover, they have a right of self-defense.
In any case, the parallel between the killing of Suleimani and Operation Praying Mantis in 1988 is straightforward. If you mine the Persian Gulf and nearly sink a U.S. warship, the United States will destroy your navy. Likewise, if you plan and execute attacks against U.S. troops and outposts, the United States will take out the man behind those attacks with an airstrike.
In 1988, that was the takeaway for Tehran, whose burning ships and oil platforms testified above all to Americas military might and resolve. Faced with more of the same, Iran backed down. Today, faced with the prospect that its top terrorists and military commanders could at any time be taken out by U.S. forces, perhaps Tehran will reconsider its current course and back down once again.
If thats Irans takeaway from the Suleimani strike, then it will have been well worth it.
Not just weak, ... but also arrogant !
I hope he enjoys his 72 goats !
I apologize, I forgot to close the italics
The one who is to blame for this, is the peanut farmer from Georgia
Benghazi - 13 hours begging for help, soldiers told to stand down
Baghdad attack - 13 minutes until help is on the way, 13 hours until the mastermind is dead in a strategic strike.
Benghazi - 13 hours begging for help, soldiers told to stand down
Baghdad attack - 13 minutes until help is on the way, 13 hours until the mastermind is dead in a strategic strike.
It's pretty clear who is calling the shots in Iraq. Or was.
Thanks to Hussein the Big O for handing the country over to them.
I was in the USN on a ship heading to the persian gulf right after the hostage crises began in november 1979. On the way over we would receive daily intel reports from the ships already in the gulf. The iranians were apparently “buzzing” some of our ships with armed f4 phantoms that we had sold them. They were flying so close to our ships that they could clearly see the bombs under their wings. We arrived in the gulf in early december, just as two carrier task groups parked themselves off irans coast in the arabian sea. The iranians stopped their aggressive behavior and we never had a problem with them in the gulf the four months we patrolled there.
I think the guy was trying to repeat the Iran hostage situation, thinking it would get Trump removed from office and get more money and aid like Obama gave them. He misjudged, and we struck surgically to kill the mastermind.
Iran and Iraq fought for 10 years and it was a stalemate. We took out the Iraqi army in days. We could take out the Iranian army just as fast.
“I hope he enjoys his 72 goats”
(Only so if Islam is true which its not.)
There is some confusion as to whether its 72 virgins or 72 raisins. If raisins, he’s facing eternity with 1 days ration of trail mix. :)
Weaker today than yesterday.
iranian navy retaliates.
The cascade of blood and misery from that one fateful decision by Carter and his administration is impossible to calculate. It led to a modern holocaust in many ways and that is not overstated.
Without their constant agitation the world becomes a much safer place immediately. I think too few understand the true scope of their activities and how their poison has impacted millions of people.
Not one of the critics on the left (or right) has bothered to note how this regime has called for our destruction for decades. They have funded and shared nuclear research with North Korea and their financial support and training have increased the number of capable terror organizations. They have been telling us for decades what their end-goal was and we simply ignore them at best or try to bribe them at worst, but their goal has remained the same.
Good article. Maybe it will calm the pearl clutchers.
BTTT
It should be remembered that Iran has years of practice in asymmetrical warfare skills and fanatical well trained capable operators.
Guards are being doubled up and up-armed at many installations, mine being just one.
Soros and the Democrat leaders must be really frightened that a big source of their funds is gone.
Goats if he's lucky. I'm betting he gets 72 Helen Thomas'
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