Total insanity. I already said my piece about impeach and withhold in this post but Ill add that its so baffling to me that I cant even muster a decent devils-advocate argument for it. If you were a lawyer and Pelosi tapped you on the shoulder and said, I need you to stand up right now and argue that withholding impeachment from the Senate makes sense for Democrats, what could you possibly say?
The best I can do is this: Senate Republicans are openly in the tank for Trump, boasting that theyre not impartial. Withholding the articles is a way to protest that. Republicans spent two months calling the House proceedings a sham, now Democrats are going to return the favor by highlighting the GOPs own sham process.
Except why the hell would you do this after youve made the most vulnerable members of your caucus take an agonizing vote to impeach? All the freshman Dems from red districts just walked the plank and now Pelosi decides that the Senate is too corrupt to proceed further? The time to make a stink about Senate procedure was after Schiffs hearings wrapped up, before moderate Democrats like Elissa Slotkin were forced to piss off half their constituents by deciding to follow through on impeachment. Go figure that Slotkins also nervous by the delay tactics:
Elissa Slotkin, who represents a swing district, told me it seems reasonable to ask for a fair process but it cant drag on forever, adding that if this now starts some long process, thats not good.
She was referring to the potential delay in transmitting the articles.
Manu Raju (@mkraju) December 19, 2019
Slotkin and the other endangered freshmen want impeachment over and done with im-me-di-ate-ly. They want to pass the USMCA, give everyone time to cool off over the holidays, then come back fresh in the new year and never speak of impeachment again. From January 1 to Election Day, its going to be nothing but health care and pocketbook issues for the centrists if they have any say in it. Let the public forget about impeachment. Instead, watch below as the number three Democrat in the House vows that if it were left up to him, theyd continue to hold impeachment in suspended animation, right over the heads of Slotkin and her freshmen colleagues, potentially for the entire year.
And on top of all that, by never transmitting the articles, theyd give McConnell the option to just drop the whole matter and spare Susan Collins, Cory Gardner, Martha McSally and every other Republican facing a tough reelection from having to take their own hard vote on this. Thats the only political virtue to impeachment for Democrats at this point and here they are plotting to squander it.
Are these people insane?
Even a short-ish delay in starting the trial would benefit the GOP. Imagine that Pelosi withholds the articles throughout January and finally sends them over in February. Every day that elapses between now and Election Day strengthens the Republican argument that were close enough to the election to let voters settle the issue, making Trumps acquittal by the Senate that much easier. The whole reason Pelosi and Schiff didnt bother fighting in court to get Mulvaney and Bolton to testify, in fact, is that they thought time is of the essence on impeachment, that letting it bleed into next year will distract from the Democratic primaries and feed Trumps narrative that the Do-Nothing Democrats are obsessed with impeachment. So now time isnt of the essence after all?
What?
On top of everything else, regardless of any concessions McConnell might make to the House (almost certainly none), acquittal is assured anyway. Pelosi could get him and Lindsey Graham to swear on a stack of Bibles that theyll be impartial and really, truly consider the evidence and not a single vote in the chamber would change. And if the idea is to squeeze McConnell on making concessions specifically about witnesses, i.e. trying to get the Senate to call Mulvaney and Bolton, thatll backfire in two ways. First, itll leave people asking why Pelosi herself didnt demand their testimony during the House process, a question to which Democrats have no good answer. And second, itll empower Trump to demand that he be able to call his own witnesses like Hunter Biden, the consequences of which are unpredictable for both sides. If Trumps lawyers put Biden on the stand and grill him about Burisma and Biden sounds shady and evasive which is a safe bet suddenly Joe Bidens presidential candidacy will have been damaged. Trumps apparent goal in the Ukraine business would have been achieved, ironically at an impeachment trial that Nancy Pelosi made possible and via leverage in calling witnesses that Nancy Pelosi inadvertently provided.
Trumps already taking full advantage of this nuttiness, as well he should:
The Senate shall set the time and place of the trial. If the Do Nothing Democrats decide, in their great wisdom, not to show up, they would lose by Default!
Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 19, 2019
I got Impeached last night without one Republican vote being cast with the Do Nothing Dems on their continuation of the greatest Witch Hunt in American history. Now the Do Nothing Party want to Do Nothing with the Articles & not deliver them to the Senate, but its Senates call!
Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 19, 2019
Pelosi feels her phony impeachment HOAX is so pathetic she is afraid to present it to the Senate, which can set a date and put this whole SCAM into default if they refuse to show up! The Do Nothings are so bad for our Country!
Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 19, 2019
Pelosi is many things but shes not stupid. She knows this is idiotic. I assume she plans to delay impeachment for a short perfunctory period simply to give the media a reason to write some Dems highlight Senate Republicans trial bias stories for public consumption. Shell hold the articles for a few weeks, maybe, then drop them into McConnells lap in January once shes proven her point. The real suspense isnt what shell do about all this, its what McConnell will do. Will he wait for Pelosi? Will he give her a deadline to deliver the articles and say, If we dont have the evidence by this date, were voting? Will he just call a snap vote based on the evidence described in the reports published by Schiffs and Nadlers committee? He has all the leverage here and Pelosi knows it, even if Clyburn seems not to.
I mean, really:
McConnell in response to Pelosi reiterates "I"m not anxious to have the trial." Says it's "beyond me" how withholding the articles gives Democrats leverage. pic.twitter.com/fLxhNGj4Uz
Alan He (@alanhe) December 19, 2019
Exit question: Do Democrats want him to call a snap vote and acquit Trump? The only play they have left is to somehow taint the Senates verdict in favor of the president. Baiting McConnell into disposing of the matter without House Democrats ever formally presenting their case is a way to say, Aha, the verdict was illegitimate! to voters. A lame, unpersuasive way, but maybe thats better for them than a more legitimate acquittal after a full trial.
.@johnberman: Are you suggesting it's possible you will never transmit the articles of impeachment [to the Senate]?
Rep. Clyburn: If it were me, yes, that's what I'm saying. https://t.co/fpW0Jcup3o pic.twitter.com/VcU8vFh2f9
New Day (@NewDay) December 19, 2019