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To: DOC44

Sample size is too small folks, calm down... 30% in a sample of 60 people has a margin of error that put Trump’s black support right in the traditional Black support of the GOP right around 10%..

He will do better than 8% he got in 2016, but there is no way Trump is pulling 20% let alone 30% of the black vote in 2020.

He’ll likely end up in the 10-12% range, right at the high range for a typical Republican.

Believe me, if Black support for Trump were at 20% or more, you wouldn’t need a poll to find it... you would see it on the ground. These claims are being made by people who don’t understand polling or statistics.


4 posted on 12/16/2019 1:53:04 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

No

Pollsters have started oversampling blacks for this very reason.

What they find is 20-30% support especially among men.

A recent rally in Dallas bore this out with incredible perentages of blacks and democrats waiting in line for hours to get into the rally.


18 posted on 12/16/2019 2:06:43 PM PST by lonestar67 (America is exceptional)
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To: HamiltonJay
Sample size is too small folks, calm down... 30% in a sample of 60 people

The most recent Emerson poll of 1,092 registered voters was conducted Nov. 17–20.

According to the article, this was the size of one of the poll samples.

23 posted on 12/16/2019 2:15:59 PM PST by immadashell (Save Innocent Lives - ban gun free zones)
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To: HamiltonJay
African-American males, like all other males, admire and respect an Alpha Male.

Not surprised that they support the Ultimate Top Dawg Alpha Male in America-PRESIDENT DONALD J. TRUMP.

47 posted on 12/16/2019 4:24:02 PM PST by MuttTheHoople
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To: HamiltonJay

agree- sample is way too small and 2018 didn’t show that, in the last year I’ve been at almost a hundred high school and college basketball games where the majority of fans are black-I’ve yet to see a MAGA hat, Trump sticker or hear anything but negatives on Trump-saw Biden stickers, etc


52 posted on 01/17/2020 7:54:13 PM PST by TECTopcat (TopCat)
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