Posted on 12/16/2019 8:44:54 AM PST by Hojczyk
Not surprisingly, all African Americans do not hate Trump! pollster Jonathan Zogby said in sharing his data with us.
But Trump critics dont buy it. Democratic and Barack Obama pollster Cornell Belcher is one. He rejected the reasoning that black support is growing and suggested that the polls are wrong.
Those reasons would assume that its real, which it isnt. To have a conversation about the reason is giving it credibility, he said.
Im not going to bad mouth anyones polling here, but particularly with small subsamples, you get blips. When you look across the data and even look back to see what the trend is, its pretty apparent that numbers like that are outliers, added Belcher, the founder of Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies.
To answer those concerns, Zogby oversampled black voters in his latest survey and found that the support was 27%, but he also measured support in head-to-head matchups with 2020 Democratic candidates to put that support to an election test.
In all cases, while black support for Trump dropped when an alternative was offered, it was higher than the 8% he received in 2016 and maybe enough to push him across the finish line first in 2020.
Against Joe Biden, Trump receives 12% of the black vote. Against Sen. Bernie Sanders, it was 14%. And against Sen. Elizabeth Warren, it was 17%.
While he had a 5% margin of error, Zogby said the trend is clear. If Trump is able to up his numbers over 10% or near 15%, and with a lower turnout among African Americans because they are not excited by the field of candidates or turned off by D.C., Trump could really benefit from this scenario in the 2020 general election, he told us.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
There were all wrong.
Based on the article above, Trump may get as little as 7% if you take into account the margin of error.
In addition, we are lectured all the time here to not believe polls, but we seem to have a weakness when polls show what we want to believe.
I assume Trump will receive more than 8% in 2020, but not much more. W received 11% I believe, and that sounds about right.
Black women rank lowest on dating sites like OkCupid. Hard to believe single black women like the competition for good men that continuing floods of female illegals represent.
I don’t think black men have much use for black women. They get some money and guess who they chase? “The Color Purple” didn’t help matters. To think Ted Danson went down on Whoopie for the whoopee.
I think he can get up to at least 30 percent of black males maybe more.
No, but enough in Florida switched to give DeSantas the win.
I thought all the lefties wanted to have "conversations".
Conversations is just code for lectures.
Every Catholic I know under 80 years old IS PRO trump.
It looks like the demoCRAP strategy is to order their black voters back onto the plantation and be happy.
From history we know that pre Civil War plantation owners (all DemoCRAPS) did the same thing. They told everybody including their slaves that they would be better off and happier to remain in the slavery, plantation system. Something about singing and dancing and not complaining. Things dont change with the demoCRAPS but maybe things are changing with black voters.
I believe LBJ will be rolling over in his grave when his statement of ‘those N will be voting for us for the next 100 years...’ is starting to break up...
Furthermore, I strongly suspect, given that fact and his rising poll numbers, that there are WAY more than 31 traditionally blue districts around the country that are going to go for Trump.
That unpleasant smell is democrats creaming their Depends over this! Blacks were supposed to stay on the plantation, remaining poor and dependent on dems!
What are the dems going to do? all they have now is gays, organ slicers, head choppers, and folks with peanut allergies.
It looks like the demoCRAP strategy is to order their black voters back onto the plantation and be happy.
From history we know that pre Civil War plantation owners (all DemoCRAPS) did the same thing. They told everybody including their slaves that they would be better off and happier to remain in the slavery, plantation system. Something about singing and dancing and not complaining. Things dont change with the demoCRAPS but maybe things are changing with black voters.
“Every Catholic I know under 80 years old IS PRO trump.”
The wife and I are Catholic and pro Trump but I know plenty of Catholics who hate Trump. Plenty. Our church is full of them.
Candace Owens was great on Ingraham on Friday. Whoever that other black guy was that debated her had very thin skin. Kept accusing her of personal attacks. What a weak man. He dishonestly tried to say Illegals were not taking the jobs of those in his profession - law. What a disingenuous ass hat. Candace called him on it telling him that he very well knows the jobs she is talking about are entry level low skilled jobs. She spelled out the issue accurately that blacks are seeing that illegal immigration is not good for them and that Trumps policies have the highest employment levels for African Americans.
That’s good but there are a whole bunch more who vote for the dim candidate.
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