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Warren’s Economic Illusions: A new analysis says her wealth tax would fall short—by $1.5 trillion.
Wall Street Journal ^ | December 12, 2019

Posted on 12/12/2019 5:46:59 PM PST by karpov

Elizabeth Warren has been justly criticized for the magical math in her Medicare for All proposal. That health plan would cost perhaps $34 trillion, according to outside estimates. But Ms. Warren says the true figure is only—alakazam!—$20.5 trillion.

Her wealth tax is the same way, as a fiscal fact check this week demonstrates. Ms. Warren wants to tax the net worth of affluent Americans 2% a year on assets above $50 million, and 6% on billionaires. She says it would raise $3.75 trillion over 10 years.

Her campaign cites a letter from two economists at UC Berkeley, Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman. They say that because Ms. Warren’s proposed tax doesn’t have any loopholes, “the avoidance/evasion response is likely to be small.” Assume 15%, they continue, pointing to studies of wealth taxes in Scandinavia, Colombia and Switzerland.

One economist who takes issue with these assumptions is Democrat Larry Summers. The current estate tax is nowhere near so efficient, he and a co-author, Natasha Sarin, have said. They argue that Messrs. Saez and Zucman don’t seriously account for tax avoidance, other than by “reducing a naive calculation by 15 percent.”

Making matters worse, Ms. Warren subsequently doubled her proposed tax rate on billionaires. At first it was going to be 3%. But as she tried to find a way to finance Medicare for All, she raised it to 6%. This would compound the incentives to avoid the tax.

On Thursday the analysts at the Penn Wharton Budget Model pitched in their two cents. According to their dynamic estimate, which takes account of macroeconomic effects, Ms. Warren’s tax would bring in only $2.3 trillion over 10 years. That’s almost $1.5 trillion less than Ms. Warren is counting on.

(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: warren; wealthtax

1 posted on 12/12/2019 5:46:59 PM PST by karpov
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To: karpov

No problem. She’ll just double them.


2 posted on 12/12/2019 5:48:33 PM PST by Blood of Tyrants (Everyone who favors socialism plans on the government taking other people's money, not theirs.)
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To: karpov

Anytime Fauxahontas opens her mouth, there will be lies coming out. These lies spew from the leftist rot that fills the heads of Demonicrats.


3 posted on 12/12/2019 5:49:58 PM PST by Carl Vehse
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To: karpov

Well, what’s $1.5 trillion give or take? I mean it’s not like the money isn’t always there anyway.


4 posted on 12/12/2019 5:54:07 PM PST by Maceman (Trump Trumps Hate!!!)
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To: karpov

It would also crater the economy (the real goal - broke and disarmed people are easy to rule - see Venezuela). Oh and it’s grossly unconstitutional.


5 posted on 12/12/2019 5:56:14 PM PST by piytar (If it was not for double standards, the Democrats and the left would have NO standards.)
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To: karpov

Magical Math - as opposed to real math with all of its white cishetero patriarchy?


6 posted on 12/12/2019 5:56:53 PM PST by Fred Hayek (The Democratic Party is now the operational arm of the CPUSA)
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To: karpov

“ the avoidance/evasion response is likely to be small.” Assume 15%, they continue, pointing to studies of wealth taxes in Scandinavia, Colombia and Switzerland.“

Big breath...

LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL


7 posted on 12/12/2019 5:57:00 PM PST by jdsteel (Americans are Dreamers too!!!)
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To: karpov

The middle class will make up the difference. That was the plan all along.


8 posted on 12/12/2019 5:58:40 PM PST by Starstruck (I'm usually sarcastic. Deal with it.)
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To: Maceman

A $trillion here, a $trillion there; and before long, you’re talking real money.


9 posted on 12/12/2019 6:12:24 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
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To: karpov

As if Warren has tried to accomplish this while in the Senate.


10 posted on 12/12/2019 6:16:06 PM PST by Widget Jr
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To: karpov

That’s before the “there’s always” money she talked about.


11 posted on 12/12/2019 6:17:37 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (The internet has driven the world mad.)
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To: karpov

actually, warren’s “wealth tax” would fall 100% short of any projection since arbitrary seizure of private property by any government is unconstitutional; any “wealth tax” would require a Constitutional amendment, just like the income tax required a Constitutional amendment to be legal ...


12 posted on 12/12/2019 6:26:15 PM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: karpov

Chump change for these socialist bastards. They will just print some.


13 posted on 12/12/2019 6:30:15 PM PST by eartick (Stupidity is expecting the government that broke itself to go out and fix itself. Texan for TEXIT!)
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To: Blood of Tyrants

And lower the tax to anyone who has a dollar in their pocket. Just take 3-6% of everything. Then make doctors, pharmacist and nurses take a 6% cut in pay, or an occupation tax. It will work. No worries. Free Medicare for you, you, you, you, you, you, you, you, you, you, you, you, and me. We all win free medicine.


14 posted on 12/12/2019 7:53:03 PM PST by wgmalabama (Mittens is the new Juan. Go away mittens)
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