Tories hold 15-point lead over Labour with just days until election (UK)

The Guardian ^ | 12-07-2019 | Michael Savage

[NRx]

The Conservatives hold a 15-point lead over Labour just days before polling day, according to the last Opinium poll for the Observer before the election.

The Tories appear to have maxed out the number of pro-Leave voters who will support them. However, the poll suggests that Labour is not winning Remain voters over at the speed required to close the gap. Boris Johnson’s party is on 46% of the vote, while Labour remains on 31%. The Lib Dems remain on 13%.

The poll suggests that Labour is slowly reclaiming some of the Remain voters who drifted to the Lib Dems. However, the Conservatives have also managed to win back some of their pro-Remain voters.

Jeremy Corbyn does not appear to be changing perceptions of his leadership in the same way he did in the 2017 election. In terms of who voters see as the best prime minister, Johnson is up 1 point to 37%, while Jeremy Corbyn is up to 21%. Public satisfaction with Johnson has decreased 2 points since last week’s poll to 28%, although outright preference for Corbyn has stayed level at 29%.

Brexit remains the most important issue at the election, but health has increased in importance. In the first week, the most important issue deciding voting choice was Brexit (40%), with health in distant second on 18%. Although this has narrowed, with days to go Brexit (33%) retains a slight lead over health and the NHS (22%).

[NRx]

The polls have generally pointed to a Conservative win, but they have fluctuated a lot. And there is a lot of talk of so called tactical voting by anti-Brexiters in the hope of denying the Tory's a majority in the Commons. Nobody thinks Labour will win a majority. The only question is whether Boris can win enough seats to form the next government w/o asking for help which is unlikely to be forthcoming. The polls suggest he will pull it off, but the same polls had Theresa May winning in 2017. That turned out to be a disaster.

[Gay State Conservative]

This morning The Telegraph was saying that it was 8 points.

[manc]

Corbyn is nothing but a hate filled, terrorist, IRA loving turd who offers nothing , but to sell the country out to her enemies.
If it were not for Scotland then the Labor party would never gain power.

[ameribbean expat]

John Major and Chris Patten are two Tories advocating “strategic voting” to put off a hard Brexit. Corbyn has refused throughout the campaign to put forward his Brexit plan.

22 hours ago The Sun ran a headline alleging Corbin at the center of an international Marxist ring, but based on the URL it appears that it was taken down for legal reasons

https://www.thesun.co.uk/legal-removal/10501848/jeremy-corbyn-extremist-network/

[fella]

Not to worry, Our RATS are going to help the Tories get in the illegal alien and dead vote to cinch a win.

[fella]

Ooops

Tories should have been Labor. Reading several books on our Revolution right now.

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks NRx.