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Wrong Again: 50 Years of Failed Eco-pocalyptic Predictions
Competitive Enterprise Institute ^ | September 18, 2019 | Steven J. Milloy

Posted on 09/18/2019 9:34:37 AM PDT by grundle

Modern doomsayers have been predicting climate and environmental disaster since the 1960s. They continue to do so today.

None of the apocalyptic predictions with due dates as of today have come true.

What follows is a collection of notably wild predictions from notable people in government and science.

More than merely spotlighting the failed predictions, this collection shows that the makers of failed apocalyptic predictions often are individuals holding respected positions in government and science.

While such predictions have been and continue to be enthusiastically reported by a media eager for sensational headlines, the failures are typically not revisited.

1967: ‘Dire famine by 1975.’

1.png

Source: Salt Lake Tribune, November 17, 1967

1969: ‘Everyone will disappear in a cloud of blue steam by 1989.’

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Source: New York Times, August 10 1969

1970: Ice age by 2000

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Source: Boston Globe, April 16, 1970

1970: ‘America subject to water rationing by 1974 and food rationing by 1980.’

4.jpg

Source: Redlands Daily Facts, October 6, 1970

1971: ‘New Ice Age Coming’

5.png

Source: Washington Post, July 9, 1971

1972: New ice age by 2070

6.png

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Source: NOAA, October 2015

1974: ‘New Ice Age Coming Fast’

8.png

Source: The Guardian, January 29, 1974

1974: ‘Another Ice Age?’

9.png

Source: TIME, June 24, 1974

1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life’

10.png

But no such ‘great peril to life’ has been observed as the so-called ‘ozone hole’ remains:

11.png

Sources: Headline

NASA Data | Graph

1976: ‘The Cooling’

12.png

Source: New York Times Book Review, July 18, 1976

1980: ‘Acid Rain Kills Life in Lakes’

13.jpg

Noblesville Ledger (Noblesville, IN) April 9, 1980

But 10 years later, the US government program formed to study acid rain concluded:

14.png

Associated Press, September 6, 1990

1978: ‘No End in Sight’ to 30-Year Cooling Trend

15.png

Source: New York Times, January 5, 1978

But according to NASA satellite data there is a slight warming trend since 1979.

16.jpg

Source: DrRoySpencer.com

1988: James Hansen forecasts increase regional drought in 1990s

17.jpg

But the last really dry year in the Midwest was 1988, and recent years have been record wet.

18.jpg

Source: RealClimateScience.com

1988: Washington DC days over 90F to from 35 to 85

19.gif

But the number of hot days in the DC area peaked in 1911, and have been declining ever since.

20.png

Source: RealClimateScience.com

1988: Maldives completely under water in 30 years

21.png

Source: Agence France Press, September 26, 1988

1989: Rising seas to ‘obliterate’ nations by 2000

22.png

Source: Associated Press, June 30, 1989

1989: New York City’s West Side Highway underwater by 2019

23.gif

Source: Salon.com, October 23, 2001

1995 to Present: Climate Model Failure

24.jpg

Source: CEI.org

2000: ‘Children won’t know what snow is.’

25.png

26.png

Source: The Independent, March 20, 2000

2002: Famine in 10 years

27.png

Source: The Guardian, December 23, 2002

2004: Britain to have Siberian climate by 2020

29.png

Source: The Guardian, February 21, 2004

2008: Arctic will be ice-free by 2018

30.gif

Source: Associated Press, June 24, 2008

2008: Al Gore warns of ice-free Arctic by 2013

31.png

But… it’s still there:

32.png

Source: WattsUpWithThat.com, December 16, 2018

2009: Prince Charles says only 8 years to save the planet

33.png

Source: The Independent, July 9, 2009

2009: UK prime minister says 50 days to ‘save the planet from catastrophe’

34.png

Source: The Independent: October 20, 2009

2009: Arctic ice-free by 2014

35.png

Source: USA Today, December 14, 2009

2013: Arctic ice-free by 2015

36.png

Source: The Guardian, July 24, 2013

The paper: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-017-02550-9 (open access)

Gas hydrate dissociation off Svalbard induced by isostatic rebound rather than global warming

Abstract

Methane seepage from the upper continental slopes of Western Svalbard has previously been attributed to gas hydrate dissociation induced by anthropogenic warming of ambient bottom waters. Here we show that sediment cores drilled off Prins Karls Foreland contain freshwater from dissociating hydrates. However, our modeling indicates that the observed pore water freshening began around 8 ka BP when the rate of isostatic uplift outpaced eustatic sea-level rise. The resultant local shallowing and lowering of hydrostatic pressure forced gas hydrate dissociation and dissolved chloride depletions consistent with our geochemical analysis. Hence, we propose that hydrate dissociation was triggered by postglacial isostatic rebound rather than anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, we show that methane fluxes from dissociating hydrates were considerably smaller than present methane seepage rates implying that gas hydrates were not a major source of methane to the oceans, but rather acted as a dynamic seal, regulating methane release from deep geological reservoirs.

2013: Arctic ice-free by 2016

37.png

Source: The Guardian, December 9, 2013

2014: Only 500 days before ‘climate chaos’

38.png

But…

39.png



TOPICS: Miscellaneous; US: Vermont
KEYWORDS: berniesanders; climatechange; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; fake; fraud; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; greennewdeal; hoax; mediabias; mediawingofthednc; partisanmediashills; paulweyrich; presstitutes; scam; smearmachine; vermont
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To: DoughtyOne
Sad thing is that the result of all those nonsensical predictions, is the fact most people now ignore reasoned warnings.

I went to a forum and heard Paul Ehrlich speak in the 60's on the Population Bomb and how we were all going to die... He also spoke about the dangers of nuclear energy but that seems lost to this time.

The people who believed him then are the exact same types that believe in Global Warming today. Somewhat gullible and

The beginning of our all Environmental Laws stated with these liberal elite hoaxes. They scared people to death then tied it to voting for democrats. IF you want to live and NOT die a horrible death - YOU must vote for a democrat. Of course back then I was a democrat and yeah, it was effective... well, back then I was a socialist... but both groups played the catastrophe card...

21 posted on 09/18/2019 8:26:20 PM PDT by GOPJ ( Daniel Okretnt HELP - lowlife editors at the New York Times need YOU... they've lost their way.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
Thanks grundle.

22 posted on 09/18/2019 8:29:49 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: grundle
One more time - NOT one has come true... in over 50 years - NOT ONE.

None of the apocalyptic predictions with due dates as of today have come true.

23 posted on 09/18/2019 8:49:34 PM PDT by GOPJ ( Daniel Okretnt HELP - lowlife editors at the New York Times need YOU... they've lost their way.)
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To: yoe; All


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24 posted on 09/18/2019 8:50:17 PM PDT by musicman (The future is just a collection of successive nows.)
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To: grundle
Seeing Paul Ehrlich’s name in several of the hoped-for calamities brought to mind a famous bet initiated by one of his critics, who would be called a “denier” in today’s lexicon of orthodoxy.

Julian Simon, a professor of economics, wagered $10,000 that the total price of five commodities (of Ehrlich’s choosing) would be lower ten years from then (1980) in 1990.

Ehrlich lost the bet when all five metals he had chosen were less costly, adjusted for inflation, in 1990 than they had been ten years earlier.

Simon–Ehrlich Wager in Wikipedia

Bush’s fault.

25 posted on 09/18/2019 9:50:05 PM PDT by logician2u
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To: grundle

Wow.


26 posted on 09/19/2019 7:21:23 AM PDT by spacewarp (FreeRepublic, Rush's show prep since foundation.)
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To: GOPJ

The way the Left played the Vietnam card turned me against them and I never looked back.

They hated our nation then. They hate it now.

Your mention of how they game issues pertains to a lot of issues these days. Each of them is anti-U. S. one way or another, or in combination.


27 posted on 09/19/2019 11:56:18 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent.)
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To: DoughtyOne
They hated our nation then. They hate it now.

Yes, only now they run the Universities... rather than just taking over the Dean's office... our work is cut out for us.

28 posted on 09/19/2019 1:41:43 PM PDT by GOPJ ( Daniel Okrent HELP - lowlife editors at the New York Times need YOU... they've lost their way.)
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To: GOPJ

Yep, 50 years ago these were the people chanting, “Hey Hey Ho Ho Western Civ Has Got to Go!”

Well, it went, and now we’re reaping the whirlwind.


29 posted on 09/19/2019 1:42:54 PM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: GOPJ

Shouldn’t be all that hard to do.

Demand equal access to professors of different political persuasions.

Otherwise simply withhold federal dollars, and state dollars too if that is applicable.

Of course states would need to pass such laws too.

Why do we allow the colleges to be 90/10 Leftists?

We’re financing our own demise.


30 posted on 09/19/2019 1:56:19 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent.)
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To: DoughtyOne
You're right. The only true ‘diversity’ is diversity of thought - and our University systems lack on that scale. And yeah, we are financing our own demise... Well put DoughtyOne.
31 posted on 09/19/2019 2:16:05 PM PDT by GOPJ ( Daniel Okrent HELP - lowlife editors at the New York Times need YOU... they've lost their way.)
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To: GOPJ

Thanks. They’re all about quotas until it comes to them.

Wasn’t it Bernie that refused to pay his people the $15.00 bucks an hour minimum wage he supported?

The Left is as two-faced as it gets.


32 posted on 09/19/2019 2:20:32 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent.)
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To: DoughtyOne
Wasn’t it Bernie that refused to pay his people the $15.00 bucks an hour minimum wage he supported?

LOL - yep that was Bernie...

33 posted on 09/19/2019 9:37:46 PM PDT by GOPJ ( Daniel Okrent HELP - lowlife editors at the New York Times need YOU... they've lost their way.)
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To: GOPJ

LOL, these Leftists would be pretty comical if they didn’t pose such a threat to the nation collectively.


34 posted on 09/20/2019 9:39:20 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (This space for rent.)
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To: grundle

35 posted on 09/28/2019 5:51:11 AM PDT by StACase (CO2 is NOT a Problem)
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To: GOPJ

The Cubs won the World Series.
That coulda been caused by global warming.


36 posted on 09/28/2019 6:16:41 AM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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To: yoe; GOPJ; grundle; Grampa Dave

Hello.

I realize this is a relatively “old” thread but I have read grundle’s awesome post with the articles and headlines which highpoint the ongoing “threats” to human existence that have been issued by “experts” down through the years....and the resultant idiocy of these dire warnings.

I have siblings and, in particular, a 30 year old niece, who have staked their lives on the fact that our planet is “going to die” in 12 years due to global warming/climate change.

So, I am in a serious discussion with my niece about this issue.

I am searching for definitive information to show her that the global warming “threat” is nonsense and is intended to give governments further control of our lives but not of the lives of the elite.

For instance, is this Obama’s mansion by the sea? If so, it will be a wonderful prime example to her of the hypocrisy of those who claim the sea levels are going to catastrophically rise in the next 12 years.

If any of you could possibly direct me to any more precise refutations of the global warming myth that would be helpful in my “discussion” - I would be most grateful.

I am searching the FR archives for such info but if you have anything that is helpful in terms of links to original sources, and would ping me with this information, I would be more than glad.

Thank you.


37 posted on 11/22/2019 10:10:38 PM PST by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt

If what you have here isn’t enough for for your niece, walk away and never discuss this issue with her again.


38 posted on 11/23/2019 7:11:43 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Nancy Pelosi Thinks/Says Americans Are Too STUPID To Elect Their President! Time for #DCEXIT!)
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt

If what you have here isn’t enough for for your niece, walk away and never discuss this issue with her again.


39 posted on 11/23/2019 7:12:31 AM PST by Grampa Dave (Nancy Pelosi Thinks/Says Americans Are Too STUPID To Elect Their President! Time for #DCEXIT!)
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt
Hare are some links that I recommend:

https://danfromsquirrelhill.wordpress.com/2019/02/02/12-years/

https://danfromsquirrelhill.wordpress.com/2017/07/16/my-response-to-new-york-magazines-the-uninhabitable-earth-is-to-remind-you-of-these-bogus-doomsayer-predictions-from-the-first-earth-day-in-1970/

https://danfromsquirrelhill.wordpress.com/2015/01/22/private-jets/

https://danfromsquirrelhill.wordpress.com/2012/09/08/when-obama-carried-out-his-solyndra-con-game-he-broke-the-same-law-that-martha-stewart-went-to-prison-for-breaking/

https://danfromsquirrelhill.wordpress.com/2017/08/04/when-measured-in-kwh-per-square-foot-al-gores-tennessee-mansion-was-rated-as-an-energy-hog-and-used-more-than-four-times-as-many-kwh-per-square-foot-as-homes-that-were-rated-as-energy-effici/

https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/matier-ross/article/How-to-fly-to-a-climate-change-summit-In-a-13231466.php

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rvrsA0XlYGg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b8JZo6PzpCU

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfr37Xn9IL8

40 posted on 11/23/2019 7:15:55 AM PST by grundle
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