Posted on 09/18/2019 1:04:23 AM PDT by upchuck
Since the early days of this presidential primary cycle, theres been a quiet but intriguing narrative that Kamala Harris was a much stronger candidate than her national polling might suggest. The gist is that while most years, California is just an ATM for Democratic presidential candidates, this cycle the Golden State will vote on Super Tuesday, March 3. The whole process is so much earlier than usual that absentee and early primary ballots will be mailed out the day of the Iowa caucuses.
Its an intriguing theory, but history is full of candidates who thought they could make their big move after Iowa and New Hampshire and found themselves sputtering on fumes by the time their preferred primary rolled around. In Rudy Giulianis 2008 campaign, Florida was supposed to be the firewall, but winning tends to beget more winning, and losing tends to beget more losing. Its really difficult to become the nominee if you dont win Iowa or New Hampshire. The only Democrat whos done it is Bill Clinton in 1992, and that was an oddity because Senator Tom Harkin was a home-state candidate in Iowa (so most observers discounted it), and Clinton was the comeback kid who finished second in New Hampshire that year. (Some might also argue that Hillary Clintons win in Iowa last cycle was so close it shouldnt even count.)
The other hitch in the Harris focus-on-California theory is that it presumes Harris would have a big advantage in her home state. Apparently not! Todays Emerson poll is a five-alarm fire for the Harris campaign: Vice President Joe Biden is tied with Sen. Bernie Sanders at 26 percent and Sen. Elizabeth Warren is close behind at 20 percent. A significant drop is seen between this tier and the next group of candidates; entrepreneur Andrew Yang is in fourth at 7 percent, followed by Sen. Kamala Harris at 6 percent.
Fifth place in her home state? A month ago, SurveyUSA had her in fourth place at 17 percent, just a point behind Sanders! Maybe this Emerson result is an outlier, because if it isnt . . . to quote the wise philosopher Bill Paxton, game over, man, game over!
California has 495 delegates to the Democratic convention, and they are awarded proportionally almost a tenth of the total 4535 hard delegates. The pro-Harris theory is that while everybody else is scrambling over a share of Iowas 49 delegates or New Hampshires 33 delegates, Harris can set herself up to win big in her home state and walk away with, say, 250 or so delegates just out of California, setting herself up to be the frontrunner after Super Tuesday.
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Fifth in her home state? Has she played the race card yet? It must be racism keeping her down. /S
Wilcow calls her “Willie Brown’s CHEW TOY!!!!
Ms. Kamala Harris.... (The Famed Village Bicycle, Everyone Has Had A Ride) has had her fifteen minutes of fame). No one ever wants to ride a an old used, bike that has seen its best days. Bye, Bye, Kamala!!! Your Female Political appeal has fizzed out, 1,2,3,!!! Maybe some homeless dude in California will do the trick for ya!!!
Why do dims have so many more delegates than the pubs for their convention?
To spread the walking around money around.
She was cute and slutty when she was drunk at the last debate... ;-)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3779344/posts
>>Harridan Harris keeps shooting herself in the foot. This garbage about Kavanaugh is over the top.<<
You can have sex with some of the people some of the time...
>>Wilcow calls her Willie Browns CHEW TOY!!!!<<
Back then her favorite spot was sitting on willie’s staff.
SHOCKER Di/Fi is having a Cali fund-raiser for (TA-DA) Biden.......not Kamala.
SHOCKER Di/Fi is having a Cali fund-raiser for (TA-DA) Biden.......not Kamala.
2 words: Willie Brown.
There’s not enough eye bleach in the universe to deal with that issue.
This has to be disappointing for her, considering the effort she's put out to get to this point.
Considering how much she’s put out to get to where she’s at, I don’t think her vagina can take any more.
Not only is Miz Harris a harridan, she is a noxious, venomous, LIEberal harridan!
Can you imagine that woman trying to baffle us with her bullshit 24/7 as POTUS?
She is not even a competent US Senator! And, apparently, was not a competent Attorney General, either.
Prime example of the “Peter Principle!” LOL!
Just ask Willie Brown!
Kamala Harris = milquetoast
Horizontal Harris is done.
Drunk driving Irish Bob is done.
Buttplug is done.
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