Posted on 09/02/2019 7:50:54 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Catestrophic Hurricane Dorian was assigned Category 5 status by the NHC Sunday, September 1 at 0800. Since then Hurricane Dorian reached maximum sustained winds of 185 MPH, with gusts exceeding 220 MPH, and storm surge 18-23 feet above normal tide levels as it made landfall across Great Abaco Island in the Bahamas. Dorian became the strongest hurricane in modern records for the Northwestern Bahamas.
Dorian has wrought extreme wind and flood damage to Abacos and Grand Bahama Island as it crawled slowly across the Northern Bahamas.
All interests along the Atlantic coast should continue monitoring conditions and forecasts as powerful Hurricane Dorian moves very close to the US coastline. Evacuation orders have been issued for many Atlantic coastal communities in the Southeast US. Evacuations include multiple hospitals and nursing homes along the coast with anticipated dangerous storm surge and battering waves.
Wind speed is expected to weaken and fluctuate in the coming days as the storm moves northward.
Satellite Imagery Dorian
NHC Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
Florida Radar Loop (with storm track overlay)
Buoy Data with Storm Track overlay
Previous thread: Hurricane Dorian Live Thread
Apparently I am really having trouble with this new math. A stationary Hurricane is now 5 miles closer to WPB ?
It’s getting wider. I would still rather have it weakening.
Storm surge is the killer. We need a storm surge scale.
Think that is center point distance. Center of eye. Not affected by Width.
The # miles hurricane winds extend out value, tells you radius or actual hurricane size cause you double to get diameter.
So the hurricane for the most part is still slamming the Bahamas ?
Thx in advance
WWG1WGA
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
A tenth of a degree is about 5 miles...at the equator it’s closer to 7, but the reports are in tenths of a degree, then they’ll round to the nearest 5 miles - something like 110 miles east of West Palm Beach, then the next one will be 105, then back to 110. It’s been stuck in roughly the same place for the last 12 hours or so.
Something weird just happened with the Florida weather loop radar. Big doubling in non rain eye area. Perhaps the western eye wall broke for awhile. Weird.
I keep wondering what Dorian’s strength would be had it become “stuck” halfway between the Bahamas and the FL coastline...
What does this mean?
Yes it is VERY unusual according to weather reporter. That poor island has had the Cat. 4 or 5 eyewall (the ring around the eye) parked in one place for over a day. What will be left after sustained winds of 170 mph for 24 hours??? We will be seeing some photos of severe devastation soon. Called my son living just south of San Juan, PR, and he was breathing a great sigh of relief that Dorian had passed by off shore and with a low Category. He was there for Maria, but in a strong concrete building. His PR wife had laid in a good supply of bottled water and food for Maria.
I think this may be the fastest hurricane wind speed ever. The fastest forward movement ever recorded was 70 MPH in 1938. Let’s hope once it starts moving this one will beat that too.
From the NHC....
2:00 AM EDT Tue Sep 3
Location: 26.9°N 78.4°W
Moving: Stationary
Min pressure: 950 mb
Max sustained: 120 mph
Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Dorian is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Although gradual weakening is forecast, Dorian is expected to remain a powerful hurricane during the next couple of days.
Forecasters monitoring 4 tropical disturbances in Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico
Just looked a my local radar and I see the same thing, a big opening in the lower southwest portion of the eyewall.
Looked at some other site’s radars and see the same break in the eyewall. I know eyewall replacement can happen often this can’t be a bad thing.
Yes, I’ve been keeping an eye on those other three systems the past few days. At least the one in the Gulf isn’t going to be a concern for the US but the one that came off the African coast could be. The one south of Bermuda doesn’t look like it’ll do much, at least at this point.
The hole closed up again and it’s a solid eyewall now. Hope it took a good amount of the storm’s energy to do that.
Been playing with some radar future trackers and they show the storm moving but the eye getting raggedy ( not circular anymore ) and completely gone by 9 AM. Just heavy reds and yellows. Have no idea what that means.
It closed briefly on the radar but is open again. It will probably close back up once it starts moving later today but the more it weakens now, the better.
It took a while but they even mentioned the breakup on the Weather Channel a couple of minutes ago.
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