Posted on 08/28/2019 6:27:02 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
3,000 random registered voters in...LA, San Fran, DC, Detoilet, Austin, Atlanta, Ann Arbor, Flint,...
You’re being sarcastic or making a bad joke?
You do know this is Quinnipac polling right? Hence the Q
Yes I was being sarcastic. Glad you noticed. Some didn’t.
OK I don’t believe for a second that Trump loses to any of these clowns.
That being said, the cheerleading and worship gets to be a bit much and soon you will have people screaming to kick yu off the board if you disagree with the President.
I think he’s doing a GREAT job.
But I disagree with some things he’s doing.
It’s virtually impossible not to.
We are two different individuals.
I’m probably in the 95 percent agreement range.
I’m not gonna lie about the other 5.
Attn: North Carolina, South Carolina, Virginia, surrounding states, etc., voters and Trump supporters, get with the program folks and turnout one million plus (1,000,000+) rally attendees at the Massive, Trump Political Campaign rally that will be held on Monday, September, 9th, 2019 at the Fayetteville, North Carolina Regional Airport, commencing at 7:00 PM (EDT). The airport property has tons of space and room to hold thousands upon thousands of folks!!!
Just remember folks, a “single” turnout of a million plus people attending a politcal rally, is historic, unheard of, and, “TRUMPIES” literally destroy, the Democrat Party campaign for 2020, destroys the “fake news’ Media, and effectively wipes out the entire Democrat Party, politically, in one evening..period!!! Think about it...our beloved country, our bright future, our grand destiny is at stake....”BE THERE” and, be part of the history that sustains our great Nation Republic, our freedom, our liberty, our independence, our opportunities, the future of our beloved children and families...Once again, “BE THERE”!!!
Contact: www.donaldjtrump.com for further info, free tickets, etc.!!!
Brace for impact.
Keeping it real, it looks different depending on the part of the US you're in. Michigan, western and central PA, and OH (and other areas) were repulsed by hillary's campaign and VP choice. A Dem candidate with a sensible plan could win these areas that were surprises (except by those of us who live here) last election.
Nobody would know what the hell Quinnipiac is if it did not have its annual fake news,rigged,total bullsh*t polls.
Sure, Jan.
They have to lead their drones on this way by keeping them energized or else they’ll lose interest and not show up to vote.
How many elections have there ever been where the media shows some Republican leading more than a year before the vote?
The media/Democrats (same thing) use polls to shape opinion for their benefit, rather than measure it.
Trumpian’s make sport at lying to pollsters.
This one did once.
This is all you need to know about the poll: https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us08282019_demos_upjp68.pdf/
“Responses are reported for 1,422 self-identified registered voters with a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.1 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 648 Democratic or Democratic leaning voters with a margin of sampling error of +/- 4.6 percentage points. Margins of sampling error for subgroups are available upon request.
Surveys are conducted in English or Spanish dependent on respondent preference with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.
All data was collected and tabulated by the Quinnipiac University Poll.
PARTY IDENTIFICATION QUESTION WORDING - Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a
Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or what?
REGISTERED VOTERS
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican 29%
Democrat 34
Independent 28
Other/DK/NA 9”
What jumps out at me:
1. “Responses are reported for 1,422 self-identified registered voters...” This means that the poll includes people who are not registered, but think or falsely claim that they are registered. The sample might also include people who are registered to vote, but have never voted in the past and/or do not intend to vote in the 2020 POTUS election.
2. There appears to be two different margins of error: +/- 3.1% for the overall sample of self-identified registered voters; and +/- 4.6% for the sub-sample of people who self-identified as democrats or leaning democrat. This creates a multiplier effect in that the overall margin of error could be significantly higher than the component parts, if for example 3.1% of the people polled are unregistered and the number of democrats or leaning democrats is 4.6% higher than reported.
3. This poll — like most polls — ignores the “confidence level” of the sample population upon which the poll is based. Most polls use a confidence level of 90% or 95%. If we assume that the Q Poll at issue used a 95% confidence level, then there is a 95% chance that the poll results fall within the margin of error and 5% chance that the poll results fall outside the margin of error.
4. According to the “methodological details,” “The overall adult sample is weighted to recent Census data using a sample balancing procedure to match the demographic makeup of the population by region, gender, age, education and race.” Thus, in all likelihood, the pool is skewed towards urban areas, where the mindset is liberal across all populations.
5. Lastly, 9% of the people polled did not provide their party affiliation. While some of them could self-identify as libertarian or conservative, given the demographic makeup of the poll (see no. 4, above), there is a really good chance that a significant majority of that 9% identify not as democrats, but as liberals, progressives, socialists, or communists. Indeed, if even 75% of the 9% identify as far left, then more than 52% of the poll participants are democrats, liberals, progressives, socialists, and communists.
In summary, the poll is a meaningless tool for predicting the outcome of the 2020 POTUS election.
Oh, hell, we’d better just not vote at all then. It’s over.....
Is Hillary president?
I thought the same thing when I saw the title. A pretty obvious troll by the OP.
The pollsters tend to ignore conservatives. I honestly can’t remember the last time that I have been contacted.
LOL
Common sense that these polls are baloney. In order to get those kinds of margins, people who voted for Trump in 2016 would have to abandoning him in droves. Do you know of anyone who voted for Trump in 2016 who isn't going to vote for him in 2020? Of course, it's just my circle of contacts but the biggest difference I have seen is the 2016 lukewarm Trump voters cannot wait to vote for him in 2020.
Do you really believe that any of the 2020 Democrat candidates are significantly stronger than Hillary? She beat Trump by 2.1 percentage points or a little less than 3 million votes. That margin was do entirely to the big margin Hillary built up in California (4+ million). Where are any of them gaining votes that Hillary didn't get? The 9-16 percentage point margins by these candidates over Trump are just ludicrous on their face.
They must have taken this poll at a Biden Family Reunion or a Democrat convention.
Great News! May the rat will believe this and nominate Gropey Joe. We NEED Gropey to scare a few middle of the road lazy voters who might not vote otherwise. TRUMP DOES NOT NEED THEM BUT DOWN BALLOT GOPERs will.
I love the smell of fake polls in the morning.
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