Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

IN ONE RESPECT, TRUMP IS A LOT LIKE OBAMA
Powerline ^ | July 29,2019 | JOHN HINDERAKER

Posted on 07/29/2019 6:01:58 PM PDT by Hojczyk

At the time, I puzzled over why this happened. I think the most likely explanation is that in the middle of a presidential term, when pollsters ask voters whether they approve or disapprove of a president, respondents are comparing the president to a theoretical alternative. If it is easy to imagine how a president might be better, or more in accord with a voter’s own views, the respondent is likely to tell the pollster that he disapproves.

This changes once the president is running against a specific opponent. Now, a voter who is asked whether he approves or disapproves of a president is more likely to say he approves if he likes the incumbent better than the nominee of the other party. Also, during an election campaign voters more often see the president speaking for himself, as opposed to seeing news stories that are likely to be framed negatively. This probably helps, too–and it undoubtedly helps Republicans more than Democrats, since substantially all news stories about Republicans are written by Democrats.

If this analysis is correct, it bodes well for President Trump in 2020. Once the Democrats nominate an opponent, whether the dim-witted and geriatric Joe Biden or the socialist Elizabeth Warren, or perhaps a lesser figure, voters’ choices will be sharpened. I think quite a few more Americans who may not like Donald Trump’s style will be willing to say they approve of him if the alternative is Biden, Warren, Harris, etc. And Trump is a highly effective campaigner. Those who see him campaigning, if only in the news, will think more highly of him, on average, than when they only see news stories written by Democrats.

So if the strongly parallel history of Barack Obama’s first term is a guide, Trump should be re-elected in 2020.

(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bloggers; fakepolls; johnhinderaker; powerline

1 posted on 07/29/2019 6:01:58 PM PDT by Hojczyk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

Amen to that.


2 posted on 07/29/2019 6:03:37 PM PDT by Fungi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

Well, he is white. That’s two.


3 posted on 07/29/2019 6:10:55 PM PDT by Pilgrim's Progress (http://www.baptistbiblebelievers.com/BYTOPICS/tabid/335/Default.aspx D)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Fungi

For the first two years of President Trump’s administration, Democratic Party press outlets would recite, ritualistically, that he was a historically unpopular president. We haven’t seen much of that lately. In fact, for most of his first term Trump has been as popular as Barack Obama was during his first term. You can see that graphically in this Rasmussen Reports chart:


4 posted on 07/29/2019 6:11:56 PM PDT by Hojczyk
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

They both sat in the same chair?


5 posted on 07/29/2019 6:14:27 PM PDT by kempster
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

They are about as similar as Cheese and Chalk


6 posted on 07/29/2019 6:16:32 PM PDT by 100American (Knowledge is knowing how, Wisdom is knowing when)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

They both despise Her Thighness.


7 posted on 07/29/2019 6:26:14 PM PDT by rfp1234 (NBC: Putting the TURD in Saturday.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Pilgrim's Progress

And has a beautiful wife, and is a US citizen, and loves the USA!

(I should not have to direct you to my tagline), but

/s/s/s —> infinity


8 posted on 07/29/2019 7:35:10 PM PDT by Scrambler Bob (/S liberally (oops) applied to all posts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Scrambler Bob

Five letters in his last name?

Oops - Soetoro


9 posted on 07/29/2019 7:37:32 PM PDT by Scrambler Bob (/S liberally (oops) applied to all posts.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
Thanks Hojczyk.

10 posted on 07/29/2019 7:42:04 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

No way in hell!


11 posted on 07/29/2019 7:53:16 PM PDT by Lopeover (We Are #TRUMPSTRONG)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hojczyk

JOHN HINDERAKER is so full of sh*t his eyes are brown...There is no comparison between TRUMP and OBAMA...for God’s sake


12 posted on 07/29/2019 8:12:14 PM PDT by Halgr (Once a Marine, always a Marine - Semper Fi)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Halgr

If you would read the damn article you might be able to respond more intelligently.


13 posted on 07/29/2019 8:16:49 PM PDT by Oklahoma
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Halgr
LOL, I have to admit, when I saw the headline, I felt the same way you did, but...having succumbed so many times before on FR, I took a deep breath and read a few lines in!
14 posted on 07/29/2019 8:43:33 PM PDT by rlmorel (Trump to China: This Capitalist Will Not Sell You the Rope with Which You Will Hang Us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson