Skip to comments.Texas May Cost Trump 2020 (Texas turning purple?)
Posted on 07/04/2019 8:40:33 PM PDT by nwrep
Texas demographics today are strikingly similar to those of California in 1990, before Democrats began their seven to nothing streak of Golden State victories in presidential races. Like California in 1990, the Texas population currently hovers around 29 million and is changing rapidly in light of heavy immigration from Mexico. The second generation children of Mexican immigrants have played a major role in keeping California out of Republican reach. This same transformation is taking root in Texas.
Young Texas voters overwhelmingly turned out for Beto ORourke over incumbent Ted Cruz in the Senate race last year. ORourke beat Cruz with 18 year olds to 24 year olds by a margin of 68 percent to 32 percent and with 25 year olds to 29 year olds by a margin of 73 percent to 26 percent. ORourke also outperformed the traditional edge Democrats already have among Texas Latino voters by a wide margin of 64 percent to 35 percent.
With these second generation Mexican Americans strongly supporting Democrats at the polls, Texas changing to a purple state could not happen at a more inconvenient time for Trump. His margin in the state in 2016 was the smallest for a Republican nominee since the poor showing of Bob Dole in Texas in 1996. Considering the immense and enduring new wave of left leaning voters that ORourke attracted, there is a real chance that Texas will be close enough in 2020 that Republicans cannot take it for granted.
Republicans are already walking a tightrope between the 2018 midterm results and changing demographic realities. In many ways, the resources used to keep Texas red next year are balanced by the fates in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Several campaign stops or a late ad buy could mean the difference in the race. Trump could see his electoral chances go to hell, if Democrats spend more time and money in Texas
Why do you think Dems love open borders.
California, my state, was once Republican. Reagan was our guy.
The progressive social-engineering and conversion of America is paid for with printed money, manipulated interest rates, and massive debt - all courtesy of the Federal Reserve.
Thanks for concern trolling. Not a good thing to do after just a half-year here.
If I had to guess, low teens. He support is rock-solid in Texas, probably 95% of Republicans. In 2016, there was the Cruz contingent who weren’t crazy about him, and there were other Republicans who simply didn’t trust him. I think the Cruz bunch is over it, while there isn’t certainly isn’t any doubt about Trump governing as a conservative now. So he picks up a 5 points from 2016, but loses 2 or 3 to demographics.
Texas becoming a Blue State is just as likely California becoming a Red State. Ain’t gonna happen.
Are they worried about Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, or Michigan turning republican, too?
Funny they dont mention that.
California is also set to lose some House seats, yeah baby.
The majority of the approx 15 people I know who have moved to Texas from California will vote republican. I think most California exports may be a godsend. Ymmv
Of course Texas and every state must stay in top of things, fight voter fraud and illegal immigration. Mustnt get complacent.
Democrats ARE GOING TO CHEAT IN 2020!
Therefore, Republicans better be WAY ahead of the Democrats in terms of identifying ALL of their cheating methods!
The Democrats CANNOT win in a fair election!
They HAVE to cheat to win!
I think Texas is done for. They will be blue next election.
|U.S. presidential election, Texas, 2016|
|Party||Candidate||Vote %||Votes||Electoral votes|
|Democratic||Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine||43.2%||3,877,868||0|
|Republican||Donald Trump/Mike Pence||52.2%||4,685,047||38|
|Libertarian||Gary Johnson/Bill Weld||3.2%||283,492||0|
|Green||Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka||0.8%||71,558||0|
Considering the large Beto vote, anything is possible in TX.
“Just the opinion of another mainstream media conservative/libertarian who just cannot be honest about just how far left she really is.”
Kristin Tate voted for Trump in 2016. Here she is on election night with Ann Coulter:
Why would Texas go purple? People have no reason to vote against their self interest.
The Dems wont need voter fraud to flip Texas. It will be done because of the illegal immigration policies brought to you by the democrats AND the republicans and their Chamber of Commerce overlords. They let it happen and we reached the point of no return in Texas. They will all reach voting age in the next 5-15 years.
I see the Midwest getting redder.
What about kids in private and home schools?
Lots of homeschoolers in Texas.
Home Schooling in Texas. Texas leads the nation in the number of families who home school. We estimate that more than 120,000 families in the state have chosen this tutorial method of education and that more 300,000 children are being taught at home.
The left has become insane, and are being rejected nationwide.
The real problem in Texas is that, especially in the large cities, we have a lot of those squishy, middle of the road Bush RINO types. If Texas goes blue it will be because of them.
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