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Election model that predicted 2018 blue wave has Trump losing, liberal voters ‘terrified’
Washington Examiner ^ | 07/01/19 | Paul Bedard

Posted on 07/01/2019 8:29:04 PM PDT by lasereye

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1 posted on 07/01/2019 8:29:04 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

Unfortunately I think the rationale is plausible. However I don’t think 2018 was a blue wave.


2 posted on 07/01/2019 8:32:08 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant.)
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To: lasereye

Hillary 2020!


3 posted on 07/01/2019 8:32:18 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: lasereye
There are lies, damned lies, then there are statistics. Yet do not forget how razor thin was the President's margins in the states that put him in the White House.
4 posted on 07/01/2019 8:33:21 PM PDT by buckalfa (Earth First ! We Will Strip Mine The Other Planets Later !)
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To: lasereye

Here we go again.

November 17, 2020 is going to be so much fun.

L


5 posted on 07/01/2019 8:33:44 PM PDT by Lurker (Peaceful coexistence with the Left is not possible. Stop pretending that it is.)
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To: lasereye

I don’t think re election is by any means a shoe in


6 posted on 07/01/2019 8:33:48 PM PDT by panzerkamphwageneinz
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To: lasereye

The Headline makes no sense.


7 posted on 07/01/2019 8:34:06 PM PDT by Kickass Conservative (THEY LIVE, and we're the only ones wearing the Sunglasses.)
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To: lasereye

Good luck ruling red states in rebellion.


8 posted on 07/01/2019 8:37:03 PM PDT by kiryandil (Never pick a fight with an angry beehive)
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To: panzerkamphwageneinz

Me neither.


9 posted on 07/01/2019 8:37:31 PM PDT by lasereye
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To: Kickass Conservative

Zero.

How many Republican’s resigned their seats in 2018, 46?

People suck.


10 posted on 07/01/2019 8:38:20 PM PDT by Eddie01
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To: lasereye

My experience after thirty years in the business is that successful “election models” and “election modelers” who surprise the world with an amazingly accurate and unexpected predictions, are seldom so successful in subsequent elections. After their one-time amazing feat they tend to return to the accuracy of the background noise and confusion of all the other pollsters and pundits. So take it for what it is worth.


11 posted on 07/01/2019 8:39:26 PM PDT by ElkGroveDan (My tagline is in the shop.)
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To: Williams

The Portland Antifa attacks on Andy Ngo - a liberal Asian gay reporters - are damning.

And the liberal media smears the classic liberal as conservative ... as if that justifies the violence.

You know what that does? Makes conservatives legitimately fear for their safety.

If liberal hate mobs are illegally blocking streets, wearing face masks and assaulting people - including POC reporters - EVERYONE is in literal danger from these liberal bullies.

He’s not even the only reporter they’ve assaulted, just the one that hits the most social justice check boxes.

AntiFa terrorists have assaulted journalists 15 times since 2017
https://www.pacificpundit.com/2019/07/01/antifa-terrorists-have-assaulted-journalists-15-times-since-2017/


12 posted on 07/01/2019 8:39:39 PM PDT by tbw2
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To: panzerkamphwageneinz

it’;s not a shoe in, but when trump starts relating everything he’s done, and how little democrats always do- I think independents will stick with trump, and i think it was independents that helped bigly to elect trump=-

We’ll see- I hope America doesn’t go mental again and elect a another country destroying liberal like they did when they elected obama 2 terms-


13 posted on 07/01/2019 8:39:55 PM PDT by Bob434
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To: lasereye

The day before the 2016 election Rachel Bitecofer was interviewed by a Canadian radio show and she insinuated Hillary would win.

She’s a 50/50 hitter.


14 posted on 07/01/2019 8:40:44 PM PDT by CaptainK ('No collusion, no obstruction, he's a leaker')
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To: lasereye

I don’t believe this is true at all and her prediction for 2018 was just a lucky happenstance at best.


15 posted on 07/01/2019 8:41:32 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: Williams

Over 40 GOP House Reps retired. The only wave was an usual amount
of GOP retirements. That was the main reason the GOP lost the house.


16 posted on 07/01/2019 8:41:50 PM PDT by tennmountainman (Liberals Are Baby Killers)
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To: lasereye

How did this election model do predicting the Senate? How did it do the last presidential election? Is it new? If so, it is a sample
Size of exactly One election. If it is old, what is it’s rack record in other elections?

Hmmmm, so much left out of this story to push an “Oh Noes!!” narrative.


17 posted on 07/01/2019 8:41:59 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: lasereye

And if that happens, thanks to massive Demonrat voter fraud, you’ll have Civil War II.


18 posted on 07/01/2019 8:42:10 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: lasereye

Democrats are going to cheat like HELL, so not really expecting a major blowout for Trump IF at all.


19 posted on 07/01/2019 8:42:21 PM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists call 'em what you will they all have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: Kickass Conservative

Agree.


20 posted on 07/01/2019 8:42:22 PM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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