Posted on 06/24/2019 10:19:09 AM PDT by Texan4Life
A large primary field may fragment the vote, making it unlikely that a candidate could win a majority and avoid a runoff and making it easier for Moore to advance to a runoff with only the support of his base.
The point is that Moore does have a path especially a path to a primary runoff if theres a crowded GOP field. And if he does get there, he would be only one step away from a rematch with Jones.
Moore would still have a decent chance of winning a general election in conservative Alabama, and that is surely a big part of why hes running again.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
They cannot get louder. In 2017, the entire media-weapon was focused on Moore. In 2020, they will not be able to devote so much time to nasty hate-filled screeching at the man, because they will be spending that time directing nasty hate filled screeching at Trump and other GOP candidates.
The Democrat ceiling in Alabama appears to be around 700,000 votes, with Trump pulling in over 1.3 million. Whomever gets the nomination is likely going to get the vast majority of that 1.3 million Trump got in 2016, and so regardless of who it is, they will probably win.
Also, people saw them play this "sexual accusations" trick on Kavanaugh, and now people may very will be a lot less willing to believe these sort of "out of the dark" smear accusations against the man.
The 25,000 who "wrote in" some other name than Moore certainly believed Richard Shelby who went on national television to urge people in Alabama to "write in" a different name.
Lost the election by almost exactly that amount.
Thanks Richard Shelby! Great Job!
Some of us can reason, and some of us cannot. If Moore wins the nomination, he will win the General.
To believe otherwise is to believe that out of the 1.3 Million who will vote for Trump, 644,349 of them will not vote for Moore.
That is a ridiculous thing to believe.
Here are a couple of links if you want to check my math. You do know how to do math, don't you?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_United_States_Senate_special_election_in_Alabama
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election_in_Alabama
Losing a single race as the party nominee does not make one a “loser.” He ran and won twice statewide prior to that. As pointed out above, if one loss means you are permanently painted as a loser and unqualified to ever run again, that would include Ronald Reagan (1976 Presidential) and even Bubba Clintoon (1974 Congressional loss and 1980 reelection loss as Governor).
As for Alabama, a fella named Guy Hunt was the 1978 nominee for Governor on the GOP side. He lost in a landslide (73-26%) to then-Democrat Fob James. 8 years later, Hunt scored an upset victory of 56% to win the same office.
A GOP candidate running in American Samoa for Congressional Delegate, Aumua Amata Coleman Radewagen, ran an unprecedented ELEVEN times for Congress before she finally beat the corrupt incumbent in 2014. In 2018, they gave her the largest landslide for any person ever running for that office, 83% of the vote. 20 years before that, she received just 6.47% of the vote.
I tend not to term someone a “loser” until they consistently demonstrate losing election after election, and even they can surprise you, as Del. Radewagen did.
RE: We need to fall in behind Moore and put the nail in the coffin of the RNC/GOPe.
Darn, we sure do need a “Like” button.
Gonna be a lot of GOPe types that need to be primaried next year.
And he was made so by collusion between the leftist controlled media, and the Republican "establishment" who worked together with them to defeat Moore.
Want this upcoming primary also include the presidential candidates?
Well, there were 3 options. You had Rep. Mo Brooks with a solid Conservative record. You had the corrupt incumbent Sen. Luther Strange, who got the office in exchange for not investigating/indicting the corrupt Governor, Robert Bentley. And then you had Chief Justice Moore, who stood up unapologetically to the corrupt establishment.
Strange should’ve been dismissed out of hand, but unfortunately, Pres. Trump made the ill-advised decision to endorse this corrupt figure. In hindsight, it would’ve been better to have gone with Brooks, but nobody could have predicted the lengths to which the Demonrats & corrupt RINOs would go to keep the crusading Moore out of the Senate.
And you would be wrong
Moore won a primary with three or four candidates. Moores die hard s got him into the main event and could not deliver. It wont be any different this time if he squeaks passed the primary
Thanks for the note of agreement.
Had everything to do with vile attacks on him and his character. The Demonrats AND the corrupt RINOs were to go too any length to keep him from winning.
Todd Akin is another example of a man whom the media destroyed. I knew nothing of Todd Akin prior to his being derailed in his Senate bid, but I knew of Roy Moore for his courageous stand against the Federal dictators who were trying to impose "gay" marriage on the state, as well as for the Ten Commandments challenge.
Most other Republican office holders are simply too cowardly to make such a stand.
If we keep electing milksops, we shouldn't be surprised when they don't fight.
So, what do you think about George Allen and "Macaca" ?
that was creepy, also. her parents were nuts to let that happen.
Dick Shelby is living proof that Adm. Jeremiah Denton should’ve won reelection to the Senate in 1986. He seems poised to run again in 2022 and serve in that body until he is nearly 100 (he’ll be 95 in 2029, at the end of that term, which would mark 50 years in Congress).
BINGO.
Plus Im pretty sure you dont live in Alabama
644,349 "write ins"? Are you serious?
1.3 million votes for Trump, and 644,349 write ins?
I can't believe even the stupid party could be that stupid.
Todd Akin was a fool.
His outright stupidity caught up with him.
George Allen, OTOH, was sunk by the willful Washington Post and the rest of the idiots in the media.
To this day, I won’t listen to a damn thing Larry Sabato says.
Moore was just the Emanuel Goldstein of the moment.
He was the target of the "2 minute hate."
I see. So Reagan faced Carter in 1976. Wow, much learn. Such fact. Wow.
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