*ping to the thread*
Landslide GOP special election victory for Tom Marino seat in PA-12.
Thanks fieldmarshaldj.
Not only did Keller win by nearly double the previous margin, but the GOP won three other statewide specials, one by just under previous margins and two by exactly the previous margins.
BTW, by my count, there are two unoccupied NC seats and the GOP now has 198. If the Rs hold those two, they will be down 35 going into 2020. OK5 is already looking good. So let’s say 34. That is a flip target of just 18 seats, or far lower than what the Ds had in 2018.
I think two seats in FL, at least two in CA, Loebsack’s seat in IA2 are all very much already in range. That would put the target at 13 needed for control.
Heavily GOP district, even with the nasty little chunk of Penn State U. I don’t think the comrades over at 538 even covered it. If this was last year the democrats would have made more of an effort but now they are too busy playing defense, some of their freshman are desperate to avoid impeachment.
For the NC seats, the 3rd (dead RINO Jones) is safe, consider it a GOP pickup since Jones was almost a democrat.
The 6th I’d call a tossup. Our nominee State Senator Dan Bishop is attacked for the tranny bathroom thing but in 2016 he managed to get elected even as Hillary took his district and was reelected in 2018, he’s a strong candidate.
Good news on the redistricting front as the Sup Court has stayed commie judge coup attempts in MI and OH, pending the results of the current NC and MD case.
My thought is if Trump is winning he’s winning the majority of districts and I see no reason for much ticket splitting so we would win it back, though it may be uncomfortably close.