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OFFICIAL (Live) MIDTERM ELECTION RETURNS THREAD, 2018
All of us, and God too. | 11/6/2018 | All of us

Posted on 11/06/2018 8:01:19 AM PST by Lazamataz

It is my birthday today, so I get to post the live thread. :)

Some places to watch:

NYT Dashboard.

Ballotpedia

CNN

Politico House

Politico SenateReal Clear Politics

538


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; anticipation; elections; happybirthday; house; live2018midterms; senate; trump
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To: Solson

Wasn’t there has been some court ordered redistricting. PA? NC? I don’t recall the details. I believe the Dems pick up a few guaranteed seats. I don’t remember the exact numbers.


141 posted on 11/06/2018 9:13:49 AM PST by lodi90
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To: a little elbow grease

:)


142 posted on 11/06/2018 9:14:55 AM PST by trisham (Zen is not easy. It takes effort to attain nothingness. And then what do you have? Bupkis.)
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To: Lazamataz

Give me a good birthday present today!

LOL. It was my birthday yesterday, Laz. I got the rally of all rallies as a present - let’s hoping you get an even better gift once the polls close.


143 posted on 11/06/2018 9:16:06 AM PST by Pravious
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To: outofsalt

LOL!!


144 posted on 11/06/2018 9:16:37 AM PST by milagro (There is no peace in appeasement!)
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To: LS

keep them coming when you can LS!!!


145 posted on 11/06/2018 9:17:23 AM PST by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: sneakers
"I’ve been praying, off and on, all day!"

_________________________

I've been praying mostly ON all day.

Be well "sneakers".

By the way, please don't get bent out of shape about the comments on Jim Quinn.

It's time for you to make that a meaningful thread, not just a joke of cookie recipes and soccer games.

146 posted on 11/06/2018 9:18:54 AM PST by a little elbow grease (duct tape and cable ties hold more worth than pussy hats andYOI! resistance)
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To: Lazamataz
Well then:


147 posted on 11/06/2018 9:19:41 AM PST by Enterprise
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To: Lazamataz
...I complained about random things...

No - you SAVED an election. I saw the returns change with everything you found irritating.

148 posted on 11/06/2018 9:21:21 AM PST by AAABEST (NY/DC/LA media/political industrial complex DELENDA EST)
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To: Solson

Group 1, pretty sure losses:

PA 3, NJ 3, Comstock VA10, Sessions TX23, for now, Blum IA1, Yoder KS2, Issa’s seat (CA whatever), McSally (AZ2).

That’s 12.

Group 2: (tossups)

On the bubble: Polquin (ME2)
Curbelo (FL27)
Salazar (FL26)
Roskam (IL whatever)
Bishop (MI11)
Epstein (MI)

That’s 18

Group 3: Seats the Ds think they can win

Included in their list is Brat (VA5, Gianforte (MT), Love (UT4), Culberson (TX . .), Faso (NY19), Tenny (NY22), and Lance (NJ).

That’s 25.

Was on their list, Watkins (KIS3) appears safe, 2 CA districts appear safe.

D-R flips: MN1 and MN3 (I think), AZ1

That’s 22.

Close to D-R flips: MN7, NV3, FL13

Conclusion: I think they get all of Group 1 (18), +2 tossups (20) minus at least two of the D-R flips (18), and give them two of group 3.

However, if Baris’s early sampling holds up, we could come out of FL with +1, which would be a final of . . . 15, or, exactly where I had it.


149 posted on 11/06/2018 9:22:21 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: trisham
:)

_______________________________________

Whomever you are .............. I adore you.

God blesses this country and that wonderful Donald J. Trump........ and you!

150 posted on 11/06/2018 9:22:48 AM PST by a little elbow grease (duct tape and cable ties hold more worth than pussy hats andYOI! resistance)
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To: STJPII

No. We’ll lose Comstock, not Brat or Taylor.


151 posted on 11/06/2018 9:22:57 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: nikos1121

Issa isn’t running. Diane Harkey, his successor, is running ahead in absentee/early . . . BUT not at a high enough level to ensure she gets reelected.

Pete Sessions.

We can predict a lot based on absentee/early votes. Enough of a lead, almost impossible to overcome.


152 posted on 11/06/2018 9:24:04 AM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Lazamataz

Just voted...
No line for my district, but the very purple one next to it had a LONG line to vote at 1130 eastern.


153 posted on 11/06/2018 9:24:08 AM PST by tcrlaf (They told me it could never happen in America. And then it did....)
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To: LS

Thanks!


154 posted on 11/06/2018 9:24:28 AM PST by Solson (Trump 2020!)
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To: Lazamataz
You don't deserve it, but Happy Birthday anyway!


155 posted on 11/06/2018 9:25:05 AM PST by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: thefactor

Not to worry! We will gain seats in the house and gain 5-8+ seats in the senate! Perhaps even the Cali Gov seat! Big day in America! MAGA!


156 posted on 11/06/2018 9:25:30 AM PST by Billyv ( Ephesians 6:11 for we battle not against flesh and blood...Pray for our leaders and nation!)
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To: Lazamataz
BLUE WAVE UPDATE

157 posted on 11/06/2018 9:26:28 AM PST by Vlad The Inhaler (I started out with nothing, and I still have most of it.)
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To: Tucker39
Has anyone heard from Dixville Notch. . . .

No reportage for this year. While it could be because the results don't bode well for the Dems, I think it may have more to do with The Balsams, the hotel with the polling place for Dixville Notch, being closed.

158 posted on 11/06/2018 9:28:03 AM PST by Oratam
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To: Lazamataz

We just voted in Cobb County, GA. The line was as long or longer (same time of day) than 2016.


159 posted on 11/06/2018 9:30:21 AM PST by Crawdad
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To: a little elbow grease

Thank you, I’m not bent out of shape. I’ve had at least one other like you many years ago. It doesn’t bother me. I’ll keep the thread going ‘as is’. I’m sorry it bothers you.


160 posted on 11/06/2018 9:31:56 AM PST by sneakers (It's not the democraTIC party! It's the demoCRAT party!)
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