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Sorry pundits, you have no clue what will happen Tuesday
Vanity Fair ^ | November 2, 2018 | Peter Hamby

Posted on 11/02/2018 7:06:18 PM PDT by St. Louis Conservative

Not only did Northam win the Virginia race, he won by 9 points, a polling error more substantial than anything we saw in 2016. Gillespie, it turns out, actually won more votes than any previous statewide Republican candidate; he had enthusiasm at his back. It’s just that Democrats had more—and they blew the doors off on Election Day. The whole spectacle was yet another blow to polling and to punditry, two industries sullied by Trump’s victory in 2016.

(Excerpt) Read more at google.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2020election; bloggers; clickbait; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; election2018; election2020; elections; mediawingofthednc; midterms; partisanmediashills; peterhamby; presstitutes; republicans; smearmachine; trump; vanityfair
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To: St. Louis Conservative

To compare the GOP politics in VA to rest of the country is sheer insanity. Anyone who makes this comparison is a complete idiot.


21 posted on 11/02/2018 7:56:58 PM PDT by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of today be decided but by Blood & Iron)
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To: heterosupremacist

I can’t wait for the safe rooms, coloring books and screaming at the sky.

They’ll need a lot of TLC if they incur more election-related seizures.


22 posted on 11/02/2018 8:05:51 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: St. Louis Conservative
Not only did Northam win the Virginia race, he won by 9 points, a polling error more substantial than anything we saw in 2016.

um...you mean except for Trump\Hillary ?
23 posted on 11/02/2018 8:09:25 PM PDT by stylin19a (Best.Election.Of.All.Times.Ever.In.The.History.Of.Ever)
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To: stylin19a

Every liberal said Hillary had it in the bag. It looked that way until Trump won OH.


24 posted on 11/02/2018 8:13:23 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

I am scratchin my head how this writer forgot that ?


25 posted on 11/02/2018 8:20:48 PM PDT by stylin19a (Best.Election.Of.All.Times.Ever.In.The.History.Of.Ever)
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To: dontreadthis

My very conservative neighbor was on a plane when what he described as a Nancy Pelosi clone sat next to him. Early on she volunteered that she hates Trump. He just gave he a concerned look and said “It must really be terrible to be so consumed by hatred. We’re just happy the economy is doing good and it looks like our kids and grandkids may have a better future. I’m glad I don’t spend my time hating people, that would be a lousy way to live”. She was dumbfounded.


26 posted on 11/02/2018 8:31:59 PM PDT by Hugin ("Not one step from his weapons should a traveler take"...Havamal 38)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

27 posted on 11/02/2018 8:33:31 PM PDT by CharlesMartelsGhost
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To: thoughtomator
Here in PA ALL the dems are trying to run ad moderates.
28 posted on 11/02/2018 8:46:27 PM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy UP!)
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To: cowboyusa

As.


29 posted on 11/02/2018 8:47:53 PM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy UP!)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

The lines for Trump’s rallies tell the tale. Republican gains in both houses or massive fraud.


30 posted on 11/02/2018 8:48:37 PM PDT by coaster123
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To: St. Louis Conservative

article is unadulterated twaddle, shot though with BS phrases like “Enthusiasm in this election, though, is mostly fueled by Democrats” and “unpopular president in the White House” ... writer clearly lives in a bubble in Bizzaro World ...


31 posted on 11/02/2018 8:50:36 PM PDT by catnipman ((Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!))
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To: coaster123

If Pubbies should lose, it won’t be because Trump didn’t work his ass off for them.


32 posted on 11/02/2018 8:50:45 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: St. Louis Conservative

It looks to me as though the Dems have the same turnout machine going that they had in 2008, so the RNC had better be on their game.


33 posted on 11/02/2018 8:52:30 PM PDT by BlackAdderess (VOTE!!!!!!!!)
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To: catnipman

Said wtiter didn’t see today’s jam-packed Trump rallies. Fake news is missing the big picture.


34 posted on 11/02/2018 8:52:46 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: BlackAdderess

Same? They have no new leaders since 2008.


35 posted on 11/02/2018 8:54:04 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: dontreadthis

“Name me a reason Democrats have to come out to vote.”

unadulterated, unending, seething hatred

><

Exactly! They don’t give a damn what’s good for the country.


36 posted on 11/02/2018 8:55:44 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
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To: goldstategop

True that may be, but during midterms my district usually looks like Death Valley. Usually it is not canvassed weekly. Their ground game here looks like 2008.


37 posted on 11/02/2018 8:58:40 PM PDT by BlackAdderess (VOTE!!!!!!!!)
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To: BlackAdderess

Yes they do. I have continued to be pessimistic on Repub chances this year. The Nevada machine is currently running at a crazy high level as we speak. Clark will turn out at least 45,000 maybe 50,000 votes today.


38 posted on 11/02/2018 9:04:19 PM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
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To: St. Louis Conservative

Not enough to catch Heller.

Plus Trump has 52/48 approval rating in the state.

The economy is benefiting Heller and his vote for Kavanaugh hasn’t hurt him in NV.


39 posted on 11/02/2018 9:29:03 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: BlackAdderess

I disagree. I see no evidence of the so-called seething hatred driving Dems to the polls. I think they’re motivated to be sure, but on 2008 levels? I don’t see it. We saw no stories about Black and other lifelong Dem voting blocs breaking for McCain or Romney in 2008 or 2012. The playing field has changed considerably since th9ose two ran. Also, this week’s jobs report exceeded expectationsp,and wages shot up 3%, the highest in nine years. I’m always wary of letting Mt emotions in regarding elections, but my sense is the momentum has shifted to the GOP. Trump’s relentless campaigning is obviously a big reason, but mostly, I think his transparency and honest speaking - as blunt as it sometimes is — is welcomed by Americans (of all persuasions and political views) who’ve grown sick of the let’s PC tyranny.

Pray. Advocate. Vote. Pray. Advocate. Vote.


40 posted on 11/02/2018 9:30:25 PM PDT by confederatecarpetbag
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