Posted on 11/01/2018 4:25:14 PM PDT by LiberalismDestroys
SALT LAKE CITY — For the first time in the race between Rep. Mia Love and Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams, the 4th Congressional District race has been rated as leaning toward the Democratic candidate.
FiveThirtyEight, an analysis website owned by ABC News famous for political predictions by its founder, Nate Silver, now gives McAdams a 60.6 percent chance of beating the two-term Republican incumbent.
(Excerpt) Read more at deseretnews.com ...
That’s pretty much how I feel. I’ll vote Love because it’s important to do so, but man, I will be looking the other way when I tap the screen so I can give myself plausible deniability.
She dug her own grave and immediately dissing Trump and his constituents before even taking her hand off the bible cost her. She probably listened tp McCain who sat on her shoulder whispering sweet #nevertrump lies. Such a shame and such a waste.
The new “classics” rating is based on a number of factors, including recent polls by the New York Times that found the race was tied, and a Dixie Strategies poll for KUTV that showed McAdams up by 7 points.
A “deluxe” rating by FiveThirtyEight that takes into account how other rating entities view the race, continues to call it a toss-up. No other major rating entity has said the race leans Democrat.
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Would you like an apple fraud, er I mean apple fritter with your poll?
Really? At the expense of losing the House??
A black Romney? No loss, bye Mia.......
Mia has been ignorant towards Trump and it is costing her.
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It is, indeed costing her. Mia Love looked good as a candidate but either changed or unmasked herself once she got into office.
In a similar fashion, Kelly Ayotte looked real good when she ran for her Senate seat in 2012 as a “Tea Party” candidate. But when she got to Washington and took office, the despicable John McCain took her under his wing and, essentially, spoiled her. She was spoiled enough that enough New Hamshire voters were turned off and didn’t vote for her and turned what should have been a sure victory into defeat. I hope she has warm memories of McCain because that’s all he left her.
She was a never Trumper . Never should have gone that way .
Hmm , sounds like a CW song .
Hell yes. I donated to her first campaign and man, oh, man, did she disappoint us.
I still won't root against her, but if we ever get in position where we can lose a couple of seats, I'd donate against her.
Good point! Take back my previous comment, but I would be shocked if this lightweight Dem-rat who sounds quite light in the loafers, beats her.
https://www.c-span.org/video/?453082-1/utah-4th-congressional-district-debate
Disappointed, too. But, the RINO may start wearing off her if we prevail this mid-term because of Trump and true conservatives. We have to show that we are the dominant force in the party now.
Still, Speaker Pelosi just sounds wrong.
Apparently 45 incumbent GOPeers are retiring this year. That makes 46 'critters to review for blame should the house be lost.
If Lindsey Graham can turn into a pit bull on the Judiciary Committee, then anything is possible when it comes to RINOs.
No such thing as a Blue Dog. McAdams would be like the rest of them. An anti American leftist.
Not the district she holds. Remember it was previously held by Matheson (D). In 2014 in a Red Wave election year, she won with only 50.04% of the vote after Matheson retired and the seat was open. In 2016 she got 53.76% of the vote. This seat will always be a battleground.
I’m wondering if those retiring were threatened with exposing them as being on the list that the slush fund paid out...............
Trump got 39% of the vote in Love’s district and he remains unpopular there. It appears the way it is drawn it is going to be perpetually a toss-up district.
This is picky but Ayotte won in 2010, not 2012. Trump also lost New Hampshire in 2016 and their share of the vote was almost identical.
That’s still a very interesting question that we are not likely to ever get any transparency on.
Well when Love bashed Trump it was over for her. Its Trumps and our Republican party now, those not on board trump train will be left at the station.
Those stations don’t broadcast and have no license.
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