Posted on 10/26/2018 8:11:10 PM PDT by 11th_VA
The Democrats typically lead Republicans in early voting during midterm and presidential election cycles. In 2016 the Democratic lead in early voting was such that it inspired major news outlets, AP for example, to run articles with titles like Early voting: More good signs for Clinton in key states. Among the states in which early voting portended a victory for Hillary, according to AP, were Florida and North Carolina. The story went on to quote her spokesperson as follows: The Clinton campaign describes both North Carolina and Florida as checkmate states. Trump won both of course.
Oddly, most of the major media have been reluctant to report early voting trends in the current cycle. AP has reported on it only when there are vague complaints about alleged voting machine problems.
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... On Monday NBC reported, The data suggests enthusiasm among early GOP voters that could put a dent in Democratic hopes for a blue wave in the midterms. Early GOP voters were leading Democrats by large margins in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, Tennessee, and Texas.
(snip)
The current nationwide total of early or absentee ballots counted exceeds the 2016 total from two weeks before Election Day. Republican-affiliated voters make up 44 percent of the early voting electorate and Democratic-affiliated voters make up 40 percent of the early voting electorate.
So, there are two unusual phenomena associated with this years early voting the overall participation has been far higher than is usually the case in a midterm election, and Republican ballots are materializing in significantly higher numbers.
(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.org ...
Early voting is rarely covered because they want the eyeballs election night, and early vote totals are generally a huge tell.
Just like it was obvious in 16 if you looked at early voting by party you knew days before the election that the only swing state remotely in play for Hilary was Fl and odds were she would lose it.
They rarely report much on early voting, ever.
I wonder how many Freepers have been conservative Republicans since their teens; in other words, always. I have.
Is there anything better than watch a rat in pain?
Because the data is still pointing to a blue win.
But the data is also showing the margin is shrinking. I predict little change
Hope it is more red, but fear it will be more blue.
The real reason is the media-consultancy complex, which makes their meager coin for about three months every other year.
Consultants are scum, they are worse than cable news segment producers (and some are interchangable).
If Trump ever warms up to the idea of exile (stripping US citizenship from our perpetual 'troublemakers'), consultants are at the top of the list.
Actually you're on to something here. Been analyzing 2016 African-American voting and how Trump wildly overperformed at 8%.
I realize it's as simple as what you've just said, what do door-to-door Dems look like?
And the answer is, in the past decade, not just tired and uninspired, but Rachel Madcow types with their tranny husband in tow.
It's always women, and it's almost always LBLTLMNOP (at least one will be grossly overweight), and there's infrequently some type of beta male skulking along.
Who gets completely, irreversibly turned off by that? African-American males.
This guy can remember when the Democrats that came by the door were black! And before that, it was the white guy from the church across the street from his church, who he once helped change a flat in the church parking lot and found out they both served as their respective church treasurers, and both had the same idea for a block party-as-joint church fundraiser.
But when the Demcrats bring their new Lezbo shitshow to a late-middle-aged African-American male, a man who is rightfully proud of his house, his car, his yard trimmed to perfection, he is going to remember how that Democrat cadre ruined his Saturday, how they wouldn't leave, how they insulted him with the standard Democrat plantation racism suggesting blacks should always vote Democrat, and he will remember all of that on Election Day.
Not to mention, many of those Dems are voting R because Trump has shown them that America is great.
A GOP lead would contradict the narrative of a insurmountable huge Blue Wave.
Fox Butterfield, is that you?
“We know why.”
russian collusion, right?
“I dont want them to give this away. I want them even more shocked then 2016.”
agreed. though of course the media will only pretend to be shocked since they actually know the truth, whereas the rank and file Dem rubes will be truly shocked because they believe every lie from the damnable Lying Leftist Fake Stream Enemedia ... not to mention, it’s probably best to give the impression the Dems are ahead to give excuses to lazy Dems that their vote isn’t really needed ...
The RATs turned max numbers in the primarys, but have no more room to grow in the general - weve been holding back. Now the gaint Is awoken.
Mueller knows if the republicans hold the house and increase the senate, Trump is free to fire Sessions after the mid-terms and install someone willing to take on the Deep State, including Mueller, if there is an unfair October surprise. Mueller has to wait until after the mid-terms to do anything, or he would be risking the wrath of Trump after receiving post-election affirmation of the Trump agenda and supporters.
Because a certain % of swing voters always vote for the candidate they perceive as most likely to win. So the media downplays any news that would help pubs with this scenario and hypes any news that would help dems.
Freegards
“I wonder how many Freepers have been conservative Republicans since their teens; in other words, always. I have.”
NEVER IN MY LIFE (nearly 76 years) have I voted for a DemonShit. By now I’m convinced my right arm wold turn to stone if I did.
Fantastic data. Thanks for the links,
I have never voted for a Demonrat; however. I did make the mistake of voting for Ross Perot, thus helping Bubba win.
Check this morning. GOP had an impressive day in NC and you can see trendlines merging into 14/16.
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