Posted on 10/23/2018 9:39:19 AM PDT by mandaladon
The Indiana Senate race continues to trend towards Hoosier businessman and Republican candidate Mike Braun over Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-IN), according to a poll released on Tuesday. An Indy Politics & Mason Strategies poll released on Tuesday found that Braun leads Donnelly by four points—47 to 43 percent—with Libertarian Lucy Brenton capturing three percent and seven percent of Hoosiers remain undecided.
Josh Kelley, a campaign spokesman for Braun, said in a statement that Braun has the momentum on his side two weeks ahead of the November midterm election.
“Mike Braun has all the momentum in this race because Hoosiers are excited to send a job creator, an outsider, and a doer to represent them in Washington, and Senator Donnelly’s campaign is on the ropes because Hoosiers are fed up with politicians who will say anything to keep their job,” Kelley said.
Stephen Spiker of Mason Strategies said on Tuesday that the poll’s 3.9 percent margin of error essentially makes the Indiana Senate race a tie; however, the survey does serve as a worrying signal for the incumbent Democrat who has continued to lose ground in the contentious Indiana Senate election.
“When applying the margin of error to each candidate’s vote share, the race is statistically tied,” Spiker explained. “However, two weeks before the election you’d rather be Mike Braun than Joe Donnelly with these numbers.”
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Freaken libertarians should WAKE UP!
The GOP is closer to what THEY think than the Socialist Democrats are.
I repeat myself: I hope the pols don’t make a big deal about the Kavanaugh confirmation. The reason it’s a big deal is we want Jobs, not Mobs. During the hearings, the maniacs scared sane people into voting ‘pub.
I always believed this one would go our way by Election Day.
Braun is ahead and there is no catching up by the demonRAT, but the media will offer as much cover as possible.
I stick with my prediction, pubbies pick up 10-12 seats in the senate {and I don't care if I'm wrong by 25%} will hold the house and if the winds blow correctly, and if the Hand of God intervenes, we pick up a couple of house seats.
Praise be to God and MAGA!
The libertarians are at best “useful idiots” but often I suspect they are Rat operatives. If it wasn’t for the one running for the Senate in Indiana this would not be close.
DUH...
Before Kavanaugh no red state Democrat (sans Manchin) had any hope of surviving....
Post Kavanaugh? Not a chance in hell for any of them.
Manchin should be gone too.. but as weak as the GOP guy is, he may manage to survive.... But I doubt it...
I think the current is just too strong for any of them to hold on... but one thing is damned sure.. if Manchin doesn’t survive, not a chance in hell any other red state D senator does.
Said from day one, long before Kavanaugh... I expect GOP 6+ in the senate, and if the winds blow “just right” the GOP could get double digits....
The dems, Bud Dwyer moment over Kavanaugh, and their behavior since have certainly put those winds closer and closer to “JUST RIGHT”.
The only real senate race to watch is WV... If Manchin goes down, particularly against the insanely weak GOP guy he is running against, there is not a chance in hell any other Red State Dem will survive....
Sustained momentum is something necessary for a blue wave and there doesn’t seem to be one single issue the Democrats are capitalizing on.
Unless an incumbent is “very” popular....issues like jobs and illegal immigration that are driving the Trump agenda seem to be overwhelming.
Pols like Donelly are having a hard time exciting their base. You see that in ND, and MO.
The hysteria whipped up by the Dems over Kavanaugh has faded and the only issue they might have is some form of healthcare reform but most are afraid to be link to Obamacare.
A wave is building.....
Donnelly is running ads on how many times he voted with Trump.
The Libertarians are a Left wing group now.
Keep the trend going. President Trump is going to drag these people over the finish line.
A hundred bucks to him if he wins. If he loses it’s because he didn’t work hard enough.
True, but the dems cut bigger checks to them.
Consistent with what I’m seeing in Southwestern IN, and based on the newsroom bets and pools I’ve seen, even most of the lefties inhabiting those pismire dumps aren’t putting money on Joe Donnelly. And the Indy Politics poll has Donnelly losing to Republican challenger Mike Braun, 47 to 43 percent. Conducted by Mason Strategies, the poll is the product of 600 interviews with likely voters and was conducted from Oct. 15-21. It has a margin of error of 3.9 percent.
This poll used more females 53% and elderly 37% than seems reasonable to me. It also used only 7% blacks, which seems low to me. I don’t know Indiana demographics so they could be right.
IN Libertarians appear to be strong (by which I mean they always steal more votes than they do in most other states). Over 5.5 points in 2016 and in 2012 (though Donnelly just topped 50% that year)
I’ll be pissed off if Donnelly (and Tester in MT another strong Libertarian state) win with under 50%. Last time for Tester he got just 48.5%, the Libertarian got over 6.5.
With “Libertarians” like Bill Weld though, the dems might be closer to what THEY are.
What I’m seeing in NV and hearing from the people in MN suggests no L alive is gonna “steal” any election from an R.
We’re talking serious red wave here.
And I didn’t believe that a week ago.
How about this? BOTH MN senate seats are now close! Houseley within 3, and Klobuchar only up 7! Ellison is dragging down the whole ticket. Only Erik Paulson appears to be the exception because of his anti-Trumpism. Could cost us a House seat in a state where we can flip two. Gov race now tight!
How about this? #s from NV suggest Ds are collapsing. OVERNIGHT they went from a 72% dropoff from 2016 levels to a 79% dropoff. My analyst there, “The Dentist,” says Heller & Laxalt could win by 35k votes, and that would mean both House seats are back in play. NV and MN are the canaries in the coal mine.
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