Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II

NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions

NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I

[NautiNurse]

Godspeed to all in the path of powerful Hurricane Michael. Be kind to your FRiends and neighbors.

[NautiNurse]

New Thread...
Pressure continues to drop...
Major Hurricane Michael getting much better organized...

SUMMARY OF 800 PM Advisory...
----------------------------------------------
About 255 MI...S of Panama City FL
About 235 MI...SSW of Apalachicola FL
Maximum Sustained Winds...120 MPH
Present Movement...N at 12 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...953 MB...

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, and
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[Conan the Librarian]

Here in coastal Georgia, we are hunkering down in the sailboat and riding it out in the marina.

[Godebert]

I see a new storm has been named in the Atlantic.... Nadine!

[Shadowstrike]

Ndine forecast to stay in the Atlantic.

[Reno89519]

The media is so over the top on this, hyping and fear monkeying as usual. Is there any storm that is not ‘the biggest ever’?

[Reno89519]

I dated a Nadine once.

[NautiNurse]

Safe passage through the storm, and please keep us updated when you are able.

[yarddog]

There are a large number of F-35s at Eglin. I wonder if they are being moved.

[dirtboy]

Our first downcaster of the new thread. Do you know anything about the storm surge issues in the Big Bend of the Florida coast? It is very prone to such. A 'mere' Cat 2 would be a big problem, and this storm will be much worse.

Oh, and you might ask the residents of Rockport, TX whether the forecast was hype. Or the residents of Puerto Rico.

[Godebert]

"Nadine forecast to stay in the Atlantic."

Isn't that what they initially said about Florence? We'll see.

[LuvFreeRepublic]

I am seeing reports on Twitter that Michael could reach a solid cat 4.

https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1049808541840756737

https://mobile.twitter.com/MorganKIRO7/status/1049809395993927680

[SE Mom]

https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanMaue?p=s

I like Ryan- he’s not a climate-monger and is a smart weather watcher. Been reading him for a few years.

I pray PC people have followed evacuation orders, nothing much seems to be stopping Michael. That pressure is sobering.

[LuvFreeRepublic]

I hope Nadine stays way out there. I need to leave next week for the birth of my first grandchild. I live on the space coast and don’t want Nadine coming anywhere near me.

[KC Burke]

I imagine they could run them over to Barksdale for a temp tie down. Right re-fueling mix is the only issue.

[dirtboy]

Getting more symmetric, well-closed off eyewall - very bad looking.

[NautiNurse]

You are correct. However, Nadine is not a threat to U.S. interests at this time. If it appears to threaten U.S. interests, it will be a topic of discussion.

Major Hurricane Michael is an immediate and dire threat to U.S. interests, and Hurricane Michael is the topic of this thread.

[LuvFreeRepublic]

I just posted a link to Ryan. He is my favorite.

[janetjanet998]

this system has some of the coldest cloud tops I have ever seen in the Atlantic basin, especially this far north

now the eye seems to be warming too

I think the pressure and wind are lagging the structure some

[rodguy911]

Impressive,thanks!