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New York Times Polling in Real Time: 2018 Midterms
New York Times ^

Posted on 10/08/2018 9:05:29 PM PDT by TigerClaws

Polling in Real Time: The 2018 Midterm Elections (Results at link(

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 116thcongress; 2018election; 2018midterms; 2020election; election2018; election2020; newyork; newyorkcity; newyorkslimes; newyorktimes
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To: TigerClaws

There are 3 of the lean Dem I have us winning: Porter Shay, Dent, and FL27. I think Rs are up in all three.


21 posted on 10/08/2018 9:50:08 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: princess leah

That district is Tucson, Berkeley of AZ.


22 posted on 10/08/2018 9:50:48 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: datricker

What you said! :)


23 posted on 10/08/2018 9:51:32 PM PDT by dp0622 (The Left should know if Trump is kicked out of office, it is WAR!)
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To: snarkytart

Florida 27 GOP candidate Maria Elvira Salazar needs a boost.
https://www.google.com/amp/www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-reg-salazar-us-house-27-story,amp.html


24 posted on 10/08/2018 9:52:03 PM PDT by ntnychik
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To: TigerClaws

Actually, AZ 2 is supposed to be Kirkpatrick (D) 50 to Peterson (R) 39. I’d believe it. I’ve actually heard Kirkpatrick’s name. I had to do an Internet search to discover Lea Peterson is the Republican trying to replace McSally. I’ve never seen a sign, heard an ad, anything!

Peterson’s only hope is for enough people like me who will simply vote for the (R).


25 posted on 10/08/2018 9:55:33 PM PDT by Mr Rogers (Professing themselves to be wise, they became fools)
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To: Mozzafiato
True.

The Times election predictor was actually incredibly accurate that night.

26 posted on 10/08/2018 10:08:19 PM PDT by OddLane
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To: ntnychik

She’s running against that fossil Dona Shalala, right?


27 posted on 10/08/2018 10:08:55 PM PDT by OddLane
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To: peggybac

Try burning crosses on their front yards


28 posted on 10/08/2018 10:11:57 PM PDT by LeoWindhorse
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To: princess leah

Just because AZ voted for Trump in 2016 does not dictate how the state votes in 2018. Trump won AZ much more narrowly than he should have. AZ is slowly turning purple and each election has different dynamics.


29 posted on 10/08/2018 10:16:48 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: LS

How do you know that? I kind of think you are guessing, which really isn’t worth much.


30 posted on 10/08/2018 10:20:17 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: OddLane
Operative word being ‘night”.
On the morning and afternoon of polling day, November 8, 2016, The Slimes had Hilary with an 85% chance of winning. Interesting charts

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

31 posted on 10/08/2018 10:22:24 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Sa-teef

If the NY Slimes told me the sun was out a noon in the middle of the Sahara Desert I’d be sure to look up and make sure.


32 posted on 10/08/2018 10:26:04 PM PDT by jmacusa (Made it Ma, top of the world!'')
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To: RooRoobird20
"At this point in the 2016 election cycle, the Slimes was predicting a Kankles historic landslide over DJT.

Bwah hah hah hah!!!!"

------------

Yes. The day before the election the Slines were predicting Kankles up 2-4% in Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

The stated methodology may appeal to some but keep in mind it is still a poll, not actual votes.

And I don't trust the New York Slimes any father than I can throw them, even if what they appear to be predicting is good news for some conservatives.

------------

A witness who is willing to tell small lies discredits their entire testimony. How many times have the New York Slimes printed egregious lies about our President in the past two years?

33 posted on 10/08/2018 10:40:40 PM PDT by Sa-teef
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To: All
What I found interesting in the web page was the response rate.

In our AZ congressional race only 1.1% of folks even talked to them. This is a fairly typical rate. :^)

34 posted on 10/08/2018 10:52:36 PM PDT by az_gila
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To: az_gila

watching what seemed to be Reuters real-time poll results in Brazil yesterday, it struck me that once Bolsonaro got to 49% and on the verge of not needing to compete in a runoff election, his percentage dropped and dropped with every extra percentage of the vote counted. it looked more than a little suspicious, as surely it would go up and down.

Polls had Haddad with 21% of the vote and he ended up with 31%. Bolsonaro ended up with even more, close to 49% at one time on Sunday before all votes were tallied.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2018/10/08/market-gives-brazils-bolsonaro-70-chance-of-winning/#ae681bb52169


35 posted on 10/08/2018 11:11:36 PM PDT by MAGAthon (O)
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To: MAGAthon

should have said it is claimed Bolsonaro ended up with 46% of the vote.


36 posted on 10/08/2018 11:12:24 PM PDT by MAGAthon (O)
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To: TigerClaws

That is all we are going to hear now: Midterms Midterms Midterms...


37 posted on 10/08/2018 11:40:33 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper (alea iacta est)
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To: TigerClaws

bookmark


38 posted on 10/08/2018 11:44:11 PM PDT by GOP Poet
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To: TigerClaws

This passes for “NEWS”???

Good Lord, if I read the fine print correctly, these polls are upwards of a month old!

Someone remind me: what has happened in the past 10 (let alone, 30) days!


39 posted on 10/08/2018 11:50:53 PM PDT by Oscar in Batangas (12:01 PM 1/20/2017...The end of an error.)
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To: OddLane

Yes, Maria Salazar is running against Shalala. Top five articles on Shalala at Google show she’s struggling. Here’s one from NYT contradicting its own poll.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2018/10/02/us/donna-shalala-florida-congress.amp.html


40 posted on 10/08/2018 11:58:52 PM PDT by ntnychik
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