Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Local Weather: |
18z gfs just out has less of a stall ...is more onshore with the SW trip(weaker storm) and moves it out faster
better news..if true
Here in W. Pa and even here we’ve been saturated over the past three days and prior weeks....Haven’t seen my deck so wet for so long as this summer.
I’m up in Clemson area so this is close to as far from the coast as you can get and still be in SC... looks like this will weaken a lot in terms of wind intensity. We get so much rain naturally anyway that heavy rains generally aren’t an issue, and I’m on high ground locally. Got enough supplies to make it through a couple of weeks in the worst imaginable outcome type of situation.
I did do a full lockdown of everything outside that might be dangerous loose in 40mph winds with strong gusts. Only thing that really concerns me is all the tall trees, if one falls it could land on a house, perhaps even mine; but that’s an act-of-God type situation and no trees of significant size fell around here during Irma.
Prepare for the worst, and hope for the best. This monster storm will have very far-reaching effects.
You sound well prepared. Take your sweetie out for a nice dinner before the howling winds come ashore.
Florence 2018
Isabel 2003
I sure hope so. Tomorrow I’ll probably circle around and check if any neighbors need help, it hardly works to clean my yard only to have something next door blow over and break a window, right?
Nothing else really to do but keep watching updates, and praying, especially for people closer to the coast. Charleston or perhaps even Columbia could be in for a tough time.
I have no concerns here as I’m high enough, and second floor as well, and no trees close enough to do any damage should they give way to all this ground moisture.... but not everyone is so fortunate in my area. Just a very wet season. This hurricane isn’t going to help if it dumps down rain here. my home town flooded terrible a few weeks ago which no hurricane ever did that much damage for the continual rainstorms that plowed through.
Anyhow, most storm wind fields expand at landfall. Flo could yet get larger.
How go things for you? LTNS
I live on HHI. We are staying. The latest track is encouraging both in terms of wind and rain. Most tracks now show Florence transiting SC as a Cat 1 or less. Only one track has it hugging the coast and even then, it will be a much diminished storm. Savannah is not evacuating either.
We are crossing our fingers. So far, so good for those who live here. No rain for the next two days. The situation is being monitored closely. We will know a lot more by tomorrow. I hope all goes well for your daughter.
You are good to check on your neighbors.
I hope all is well with you. Thanks again for helping everyone track these things and share info.
Well, I had wrong. Wilma had a pinpoint eye. Hurricane Ike had a really big eye diameter.
Shipyard Plantation which I guess would be south.
Bookmark.
You are also good to help people prepare and assess risks. Thanks for your efforts!
Oh, I remember that! Awful damage. Thank goodness your family was not upstairs when it happened.
The Hampton Roads area was placed under mandatory evacuation for the lowest lying areas which cascaded a whole bunch of closings area wide; schools, businesses, doctors and dentists appointments... Of course, the storm changed course and the weather is beautiful. A week off school for nothing and then snow days will add up.
is this graphic for real? I saw it this morning, Graphic yes.
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