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Hurricane Florence Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence Isaac Invest 95L
No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L
at publication deadline

Florence Public Advisory Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence Buoy/Observations near Isaac Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I



TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florence; hurricane; hurricaneflorence; hurricaneflorenceii; isaac; nautinurse; tropical
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To: waterhill

bkmk


341 posted on 09/13/2018 12:15:09 PM PDT by waterhill (I Shall Remain, in spite of __________.)
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To: Black Agnes

Understood. 90% was gross structure, all these ancient eyes can see without magnification.

;-)


342 posted on 09/13/2018 12:16:57 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: jeffers

Back to the groundskeeping with me. Growth spurt aided by Gordon’s rains yielded a situation where I kept up with the grass, but the weedeating got clean away from me. Chop-chop all yesterday, rake today, now I get to ride the tractor, sweeping.

And tan.

(flexin!)

;-)


343 posted on 09/13/2018 12:19:40 PM PDT by jeffers
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To: NautiNurse

344 posted on 09/13/2018 12:22:12 PM PDT by Scythian_Reborn
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To: jeffers

I know a few people who had homes there. Nice homes. On stilts. Less than 20yr old homes. Totally destroyed them.

I was ‘assured’ on another thread that those homes were all ‘old shacks’ and ‘newer homes to code’ would have survived (and thus been safe for inhabitants to remain during storm). Not unless inhabitants had snorkel gear and armor for withstanding surfborn debris. And were ‘kewl’ with no power or water or sewage for the year + it took to get those all back down there. But hey, gotta protect those granite countertops or something.

(In reference to the Bad Mother(tm) that’s staying on Carolina Beach with her 3 little kids. Because ‘something’ that’s not already insured is more important than the kids safety and needs ‘pertekting’ with the assistance of the 4,6 and 8yr old girls)


345 posted on 09/13/2018 12:34:29 PM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: All

looking better and better ,,not good


346 posted on 09/13/2018 12:36:38 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: caww

The Southport, NC harbor cam mounted on the harbor pilot tower.

http://stateportpilot.com/live_web_cam/


347 posted on 09/13/2018 12:40:17 PM PDT by PeteB570 ( Islam is the sea in which the Terrorist Shark swims. The deeper the sea the larger the shark.)
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To: PeteB570

The pier looks like the ocean is being sucked out?


348 posted on 09/13/2018 12:44:43 PM PDT by caww
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To: PeteB570

first signs of the eye trying to clear out some....also cold cloud tops developing in the SW eyewall

outflow looks great...but is still so-so south portion but much better then yesterday there..looks like shear has relaxed

recon about there


349 posted on 09/13/2018 12:47:54 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: RegulatorCountry

Pier no longer showing but live cam is still up. Hopefully this just means the cam moved, and the pier didn’t wash away!


350 posted on 09/13/2018 12:48:01 PM PDT by RushCrush ( Conservative stuck in Chiraq.)
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To: PeteB570

The pier shows level of water looks like the ocean is being sucked out?


351 posted on 09/13/2018 12:49:05 PM PDT by caww
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Comment #352 Removed by Moderator

To: jeffers
Hot towers showing up now that the storm is parked over the Gulf Stream. Eye is looking more organized as well.


353 posted on 09/13/2018 12:51:05 PM PDT by dirtboy
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The rains - especially more in the mountains can have locally HEAVY rainfall totals as the wind blows straight up the mountain slopes. Result could be 12-15 inches on those slopes and mudslides.

Most locations in the foothills and mountains 6-12 inches of rain. Asheville is already 19+ inches of rainfall ABOVE normal for the year. Thus long term (days - maybe more) impacts from this can be felt in these areas.

Do NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.


354 posted on 09/13/2018 12:53:40 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: HollyB

recon plane on the edges moving in..should have that info in the 5pm update

4:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13
Location: 33.7°N 76.1°W
Moving: WNW at 5 mph
Min pressure: 955 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph


355 posted on 09/13/2018 1:04:49 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: janetjanet998
Eye tightening up on radar:


356 posted on 09/13/2018 1:09:53 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

First hurricane-force winds ought to be making landfall right about now, it seems.


357 posted on 09/13/2018 1:15:04 PM PDT by thoughtomator (Number of arrested coup conspirators to date: 1)
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To: dirtboy

Wow—looks like a refreshed storm.


358 posted on 09/13/2018 1:17:18 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: janetjanet998

359 posted on 09/13/2018 1:17:19 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

on COD radar you can see weak echoes pin wheeling within the eye...meso-vortices already?


360 posted on 09/13/2018 1:17:56 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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