Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
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bkmk
Understood. 90% was gross structure, all these ancient eyes can see without magnification.
;-)
Back to the groundskeeping with me. Growth spurt aided by Gordon’s rains yielded a situation where I kept up with the grass, but the weedeating got clean away from me. Chop-chop all yesterday, rake today, now I get to ride the tractor, sweeping.
And tan.
(flexin!)
;-)
I know a few people who had homes there. Nice homes. On stilts. Less than 20yr old homes. Totally destroyed them.
I was ‘assured’ on another thread that those homes were all ‘old shacks’ and ‘newer homes to code’ would have survived (and thus been safe for inhabitants to remain during storm). Not unless inhabitants had snorkel gear and armor for withstanding surfborn debris. And were ‘kewl’ with no power or water or sewage for the year + it took to get those all back down there. But hey, gotta protect those granite countertops or something.
(In reference to the Bad Mother(tm) that’s staying on Carolina Beach with her 3 little kids. Because ‘something’ that’s not already insured is more important than the kids safety and needs ‘pertekting’ with the assistance of the 4,6 and 8yr old girls)
looking better and better ,,not good
The Southport, NC harbor cam mounted on the harbor pilot tower.
http://stateportpilot.com/live_web_cam/
The pier looks like the ocean is being sucked out?
first signs of the eye trying to clear out some....also cold cloud tops developing in the SW eyewall
outflow looks great...but is still so-so south portion but much better then yesterday there..looks like shear has relaxed
recon about there
Pier no longer showing but live cam is still up. Hopefully this just means the cam moved, and the pier didn’t wash away!
The pier shows level of water looks like the ocean is being sucked out?
The rains - especially more in the mountains can have locally HEAVY rainfall totals as the wind blows straight up the mountain slopes. Result could be 12-15 inches on those slopes and mudslides.
Most locations in the foothills and mountains 6-12 inches of rain. Asheville is already 19+ inches of rainfall ABOVE normal for the year. Thus long term (days - maybe more) impacts from this can be felt in these areas.
Do NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
recon plane on the edges moving in..should have that info in the 5pm update
4:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13
Location: 33.7°N 76.1°W
Moving: WNW at 5 mph
Min pressure: 955 mb
Max sustained: 105 mph
First hurricane-force winds ought to be making landfall right about now, it seems.
Wow—looks like a refreshed storm.
on COD radar you can see weak echoes pin wheeling within the eye...meso-vortices already?
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