Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Local Weather: |
Looking a bit healthier in the last couple of frames.
Just east of the NC/SC state line - stones throw from the waterway.
It’s the family beach home so it’s vacant. Tied everything down Sunday and the wife went down yesterday to get family memory stuff.
ARLO cameras will be up - until the power goes out.
I live about 10 miles from there. I think your father will be fine. I expect a lot of rain and some brisk wind (45mph), but nothing dangerous.
My parents and some other relatives live just below the Mecklenburg county line.
Very resilient and a lot of construction equipment on hand.
Looks raggedy, but has plenty of time to reintensify.
The projected path takes it nowhere near Charlotte, NC. Did you mean Charleston, SC?
Follow your local Emergency Management advisories, particularly for flood risk in your location.
Does nasty just come naturally to you or did you have to work on it??
Brief summary of this discussion: Hurricane has weakened but not strengthen. However, the inner-core and outer wind fields have continued to expand, resulting in an increase the cyclone's total energy, which will create a significant storm surge event.
There is a also a link for the possible storm surge. This map currently shows potential storm surge over 9 feet (red color on map. Link:
Flo is a mature storm. Needed a nap this afternoon after 14 days traversing the Atlantic Ocean.
Does anyone have any ideas of what Conway and surrounding vacinity is likely to be facing?
I am so upset about this. One daughter lives just outside of Savannah, works on Hilton Head and the other daughter lives in Charlotte. The one in HH works at the only big hotel open and will not close. I wish the Governor would reinstate his evacuation order for Beaufort county.
Point is the dang thing can’t hit everywhere the hardest.
Coastal Georgia here.
We were expecting stronger winds today than forecast yesterday, but, that has backed off.
We’ll probably put out a few more fenders, maybe pull the boat off the dock and hunker down.
We were going to strip off the dodger and some sun-tarps, but, we may not at this point.
Take snark to private messages, or consider frayed nerves as a normal reaction to Florence looming.
Thanks for the ping, NN.
Had medical stuff for several hours and just got bck online.
My God, some of those graphics at the end of the last thread are speechless-making !
Conway is about 15 miles from the ocean. That is too close to call, but if the hurricane stays slightly off short, there might be some weakening, but Conway would be in the maximum wind and rain areas if the eye is near the shore.
See: Hurricane Florence Turns South: What It Means For NC
"CHARLOTTE, NC Hurricane Florence's trajectory shifted south overnight, upping the stakes for the Charlotte metro region as national weather officials urge residents in the Mid-Atlantic region to complete their preparations.The shift in the storm's projection means Charlotte would be right of the center of the storm, where wind and rain are the most damaging, the Charlotte Observer reported Wednesday."
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