Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.
The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.
While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.
Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.
Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.
Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
Local Weather: |
That satellite image is dated Sept. 8.
Id hate to be that house at the end of the street.
Media alphabet soup are all anxious to use the video in their broadcasts.
I think it will get dicy for the barrier islands south of this.
Wind speed still dropping.
So much for those sand bags.
PS, that section is at 4100’ ASL, 24 NM from the freeway crossing in Wilmington. At least a coupla hours before the parent band comes ashore.
That is not to say this is not a total disaster in the making and that everyone in the path should get out. It is and they should as with any Hurricane approaching a coastline.
The problem is that now every storm is going to SCOUR THE COAST and FLATTEN EVERYTHING FOR MILLIONS OF MILES!!!!!!
The truth is that EPIC land altering storms (Camille, Andrew, Katrina) come every 20 or so years.
All storms cause massive damage in some way, and anyone near the coast should get out no matter what strength the storm is, but this hyperventilating WE ARE ALL GOING TO DIE hype need to stop. And it need to stop because it is going to cause people to start ignoring the warnings because "every time they say this and every time we all panic and all that happens is it weakens right before landfall". AND THEY ARE GOING TO STOP EVACUATING! and then the real monster storm will hit.
Hi old timer...
The hype from the major networks is worse if anything. I think the Weather Channel is slightly less than previous years. Just my two cents.
Florence is currently approaching the Gulfstream current, and the
hurricane is forecast to move over warmer and deeper waters in 6-12
hours, which could allow for some slight strengthening. Just prior to
landfall in about 24 hours, Florence is expected to weaken some due to
upwelling of the shallow coastal waters. After landfall occurs, rapid
weaning of the stronger inner-core wind field is expected to due land
interaction and Florence's slow forward speed of 5 kt or less. However,
intense rainbands are expected to develop over the Atlantic waters and
keep moving along the coast and inland, likely producing strong wind
gusts through Saturday night.
I like this stuff we are getting out of the new GEOS-17 feed
Measured forward speed of eye center, since 1408z (1008 EDT), 10.54 NM/hr at 306 degrees.
We finally have a President who knows what he's doing.
The cumulative destructive effects from this slow moving storm will magnify over days as the storm creeps along.
The storm is sucking in dry air.
Judges?
Good points by Bastardi
so which is a worse storm, one with 115 mph 10 miles wide or one with 100 mph winds extending out 75-100 miles?
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