Posted on 09/09/2018 8:01:18 AM PDT by NautiNurse
September 10 is the statistical peak of the Atlantic Tropical Storm season, and the conga line of storms dancing across the Atlantic is not disappointing historical data. The Governors of NC and SC have declared states of emergency for a potential major hurricane landfall, while Hurricane Florence is slowly creeping westward. Florence is predicted to increase forward motion and intensity Monday. Hurricanes Hazel (1954) and Hugo (1989) are two notorious major hurricanes to make landfall in NC and SC, respectively. North Carolina has prior experience with "F" named hurricanes. Hurricanes Fran (1996) and Floyd (1999) caused widespread flooding and damage in the Tar Heel state.
The NHC has been issuing Public Advisories for Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here.
Isaac is a small storm. Isaac is predicted to steadily strengthen during the next few days as the storm remains over warm waters and in a low wind shear environment in the short term. The NHC predicts Isaac will reach hurricane status within 2 days.
Helene is expected to reach hurricane status in the short term. However, Helene is not anticipated to threaten U.S. interests. The forecast track turns north into the mid-Atlantic.
Click on the images below to enlarge
Sump pump doesn’t help if you lose power. In that case, you just have to bail or devise a siphoning hose. Been there.
Prepare for the worst....pray for the best.
Other models are starting to mimic the Euro in terms of slowing down before landfall (Some doing a loop) and sticking around the east coast for DAYS. This could be worst case scenario considering all the rainfall already this year.
Also the size is increasing; should get smaller though if the eye contracts/storm intensifies (Signs of intensifying are their). Don’t pay attention to CAT 3,4,5 etc... (More for those who live near the coast that need to be aware of that). This will be a terrible rain event regardless. More concerned of how far tropical storm conditions extend. This will be the tragedy from this storm (Due again to all the rainfall this year). Could have a lot of trees going down.
Prayers that this goes OTS somehow.
Solar powered live cam with sound, on the old Frying Pan Shoals tower, a decommissioned lighthouse, 32 miles out to sea off Bald Head Island, NC:
https://explore.org/livecams/oceans/frying-pan-cam
This should be interesting to watch come Thursday. Conditions are surprisingly glassy and calm right now, I’d say calmer than usual really. Nothing but gulls screeching.
How wonderful!
Thanks for the beach cam. We had a family reunion in Duck in April. All seven siblings in my husband’s family were there (my husband has six younger sisters). Very happy memories.
Sad to think the house we rented may not make it through the storm.
<3. In the end, just like yourself - that was a wedding that will be remembered with inspiration and heart. No force could keep them apart that day and hopefully forever. Thank you for sharing that story.
If it has a healthy, vegetated protective dune line between it and the beach, the house may very well make it through with just minor damage. They’re all built to hurricane code and raised well above typical storm surge levels. Certainly not the 20 foot storm surge they were talking about yesterday evening, but a good 12 feet or more.
Wife and Daughter # 1 are just heading out for the beach house.
Rescue trip for all the family pictures and other sentimental stuff - just in case. Everything else is insured.
I like it. Quiet enough to record audio and video without special isolation or construction, but half an hour to downtown Indy or the airport.
A bit of challenge in the winter. We typically get the same number of drifted feet, as Indy gets inches of snow, with little to stop the wind (or views of the weather.)
I have a jeep if I need it, and my neighbor has plows, dozers, hoes, and even a grader, but really, I like getting snowed in.
I tell folks if they need me that bad, just send a chopper.
;-)
They simply were not HAVING any storm delays, period.
If I recall correctly, she even insisted on wearing HER CAREFULLY SELECTED WEDDING SHOES, AS PLANNED, and had to be gang-carried thru the flood, to avoid ruining them.
:-)
Wonder when the gulls will evacuate....
Gulls never evacuate.
The winds just blow them off to a new part of the country while blowing a new batch in.
:)
‘No word about the ponies yet.’
wish they’d quit horsing around...I know I shouldn’t saddle you with lame puns, but please don’t nag me too much about it...
This event was a training squall line that affected 3-5 counties in an east-west line. Maybe 40 miles north-south, 100 miles E-W.
Normally dry flatlands, far from waterways, with 3-5 feet of rushing floodwaters.
My son had a swim meet on the far side of it, so we punched thru it, in the jeep, twice.
One foot of moderate speed flowing water over one road was the worst we encountered on the way down, while detouring around a section of I-65 closed by flooding.
The swim meet was delayed by lightning, and the organizers seemed unaware of what what happening just one county north.
We cancelled our participation and fled, knowing that water flows south in these parts. Knowing further that large affected areas feed two rivers which join just above this town, and flow between town and I-65.
We were about the only participants to make it home that day. The others were cut off, and had to stay for 3 days.
For those smaller items you don’t take, but still would like them secure, I’ve heard that the dish washer is a good place to keep them. It’s waterproof and secure.
Other than pictures and other minor things it’s more like a motel room since everybody in the family uses it.
Rule of using it is leave it like you found it. Dishes washed, laundry done, fresh sheets on the beds, carpet vacuumed, floor moped and baths wiped down with Clorox wipes. Mow the grass sometime during the weekend.
Violate the rules and your visiting privileges are revoked.
LOL!
Ahh ok. I understand.
For those who have FB, here are a few pics of Annapolis. The tide is high yes, but the water is rising. A friend of mine who has a home on the eastern shore, Md - her dock was completely under water yesterday evening.
https://www.facebook.com/115200472/posts/10100191024727863/
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