Posted on 09/04/2018 9:28:27 AM PDT by hsmomx3
PHOENIX, AZ — Gov. Doug Ducey will reportedly announce John McCain's successor at a news conference Tuesday morning. The Arizona Republic reported the conference is scheduled for 10 a.m. PST at the Arizona State Capitol building in Phoenix.
An astute choice, and safe. Solid conservative record but close personal friends with the McPain family.
Word is though he may only serve till the end of the year?
“Word is though he may only serve till the end of the year?”
The only thing of which I can think that makes a lick of sense is that Ducey doesn’t want to run for the Senate in 2020 and wants to give his preferred choice a head start by naming him or her in early 2019. So why not name such person to the Senate right now? Maybe he doesn’t know yet who he wants to name, or he knows but he thinks that it may piss people off prior to this November’s election (better to keep every politician hoping they will be named later, so they stay on their best behavior). Or maybe iit’s someone that the McCains may not like and so he named someone acceptable to them (Kyl) as McCain’s immediate replacement and will wait until post-election to risk pissing off the McCains. Or maybe Ducey’s preferred senator is McSally, and is waiting to see whether she wins the election this November, so if she falls just short he can name her to the other seat. Only Ducey and Kyl know for sure.
I agree with Impy. Kyl is a solid conservative and a good but safe choice.
The intent may well be for Kyl to be a seat warmer until the next election, and I'd even say Kyl is being sincere about that at the moment. Still, the allure of being back in power might be too much to resist for him in the future.
Rumor has it that a very fat wannabee Senator heard the report and spent hours crying over a vat of chocolate ice cream.
Talking with him via email, he really does sound like he wants to go back to lobbying asap.
I think late next year he’ll step down and there will be a special, and Ducey will run
Talking with him via email, he really does sound like he wants to go back to lobbying asap.
I think late next year he’ll step down and there will be a special, and Ducey will run
I think Ducey wants it.
But his “preferred,” McSally, will be in unless she screws up an election vs Enema.
If Kyl was thinking that McSally would lose this November and that he could quit then so that Ducey could name her to replace him in the Senate until the 2020 special election, maybe he should reconsider. McSally already took the polling lead against Sinema (from a pollster that has not been kind to Republican candidates of late), and she is well on her way to consolidating the GOP vote in the state.
http://orlando-politics.com/2018/09/09/gravis-marketing-2018-battleground-poll-arizona/
Never a consideration. The plan is for Kyl to step down when Ducey can run for the seat.
Excellent. Also has GOP leading SOS race.
AZ has “resign to run” laws right? I’m not sure if that’s constitutional with regards to running for Congress but that could be a complication if Ducey actually wants to run in the special election himself.
AZ does have a resign-to-run law, which is why all of those state legislators have had to resign prior to filing to run for Congress. The law is perfectly constitutional, since it dies not add a qualification for a federal candidate, but merely prohibits someone from remaining in state office while running fir a different (state or federal) office.
So do we think Ducey, especially if he has a relatively narrow reelection, would really quit as Governor to run in the Senate special, with no guarantee of victory?
I don’t know if Ducey wants to run for the Senate in 2020. But if he does, the way to go would be to resign as governor in January of 2019 because he’s running for the Senate, then have Kyl resign as Senator a week later, with Kyl saying that he had said from the get-go that he would not be serving much longer than December 31, and then have the new (Republican) governor appoint Ducey to the Senate. That would give Ducey almost 22 months of Senate service before the 2020 general election.
If that’s the plan it means Steve Gaynor is essentially running for Governor.
That’s not my plan; it’s what I would do if I were Ducey and wanted to run for the Senate in 2020. Maybe the resignation doesn’t have to be in January 2019, but it should be a date early enough to give Ducey sufficient time in the Senate to be a real incumbent come November 2020 (and, anyhow, under the resign-to-run statute, Ducey would need to resign by November or December of 2020 in order to be able to commence campaigning for the Senate). So, yes, if Ducey wants to run for McCain’s Senate seat, Gaynor pretty much is running for governor.
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