Posted on 09/02/2018 11:35:23 AM PDT by topher
[If this system that is heading to the Gulf of Mexico becomes a Tropical Storm/Hurricane, the system will be called TS Gordon or Hurricane Gordon.] ...
1. Thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located between north-central Cuba and the central Bahamas is gradually becoming better organized, and upper-level winds are also becoming more favorable. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves west-northwestward across the northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys. The system is forecast to emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico by early Tuesday and move toward the north-central Gulf Coast Tuesday night and Wednesday. This system will produce locally heavy rains and gusty winds across the central and northwestern Bahamas, southern Florida, and the Florida Keys during the next day or two. A tropical storm watch could be issued for portions of the northern Gulf Coast tonight. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system. For more information, see products from your local weather forecast office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
(Excerpt) Read more at nhc.noaa.gov ...
Cold sea air going over warm California can’t give up any water this time of year. They get wind and fire.
Pacific is too cold off the US coast for hurricanes. SoCal can and did get tropical storms if they go up the Gulf of California and they get a lot of flooding rain if they do.
Current forecast track from the National Hurricane Center:
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