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El-Erian sees a 60% chance that Trump's hard line with China and Europe yields 'fairer trade'
CNBC ^ | August 27, 2018 | Berkeley Lovelace Jr.

Posted on 08/27/2018 11:35:39 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Economist Mohamed El-Erian said Monday there's a 60 percent chance that President Donald Trump's hard line with China and Europe yields "fairer trade" for the U.S.

On CNBC's "Squawk Box," the chief economic advisor at Allianz predicted a 15 percent chance that Trump's approach would result in a "Reagan moment" in trade, especially with China. It would be similar to Ronald Reagan's tough stance against the Soviet Union during the Cold War.

"That would transform the landscape," El-Erian said. Reagan also engaged in aggressive trade policies, including quotas on Japaneses cars. Some analysts say the policies were mixed.

El-Erian gave a 25 percent chance that Trump's trade moves would spark a global trade war.

Trump first proposed tariffs in March to correct what he deemed were unfair trading practices — moves that were met with retaliatory measures from the European Union, Canada, Mexico and China....

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: china; economy; elarian; trade; trump; trumpeconomy; trumptradedeals
You won't see this on the nightly news.
1 posted on 08/27/2018 11:35:39 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I am amazed that CNBC is allowed by it’s corporate parent to report the news in a fair, balanced and reasonably objective fashion. It’s hard to believe that they are the sister network to MSNBC.


2 posted on 08/27/2018 12:06:44 PM PDT by jalisco555 ("In a Time of Universal Deceit Telling the Truth Is a Revolutionary Act" - George Orwell)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The key is ‘financially balanced’ trade.

I don’t expect Communist China or the European Union to be fair.

The traditional US/Canadian motor vehicle scheme of my youth should go worldwide.

I would have basic construction goods, i.e. those capable of being used in permitted construction, except for hand tools, be made in the US, for quick economic recoveries.


3 posted on 08/27/2018 12:35:34 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
NO, there is 100% chance we end up with fair trade.

Any country which has large trade deficits holds all the cards in a trade war.


4 posted on 08/27/2018 6:28:53 PM PDT by entropy12 (Trump/Pence 2020)
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