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To: ChicagoConservative27

Rollins is a goofball on the senate. We will net 3-5, and if the stones roll right, get 5-7 seats.

Already I think we have FL, IN, MO, and ND.

MT, AZ, and NV are tossups (but it’s silly to analyze AZ til there is a candidate, because grumpy Rs on both sides will pull the “won’t vote for anyone but Ward/McSally” until the candidate is selected and the choice is Ward/McSally or Enema.

My guess is we win 2 of those 3.

NJ right now is strongly leaning R, but it’s NJ. Still I think this is a pickup.

Latest polling in MN and PA shows close races (4 and 2). These are longer shots.

Longest shots of all are Vukmir in WI and James in MI. One’s a RINO who turns off Trump supporters, the other has virtually no name recognition and is 20 points down. Kid Rock could have just walked into this seat.

Even better news is that we are replacing neverTrumpers/Ds (Flake, Corker, Heitkamp, Nelson, Donnelly, McCaskill) with Trumpers (even McSally is more of a Trumper than Flakey) for a net TRUMP change right now of six.


16 posted on 08/22/2018 6:30:32 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Do not count Indiana as a sure thing yet. Donnelly has been given leave to vote with the Republicans when his vote did not matter in the outcome. It may all be optics but the optics are good. Braun can beat him but it is not yet in the bag.


20 posted on 08/22/2018 6:39:33 AM PDT by henkster (Monsters from the Id.)
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To: LS
Even better news is that we are replacing neverTrumpers/Ds (Flake, Corker, Heitkamp, Nelson, Donnelly, McCaskill) with Trumpers

Heitkamp is hardly a nevertrumper...she was being considered for a Trump cabinet position at one point.

25 posted on 08/22/2018 7:15:15 AM PDT by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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To: LS; All

“One’s a RINO who turns off Trump supporters...”

Um. Leah Vukmir would NOT have defeated Nichols if she ‘turned off’ Wisconsin Trump supporters. We turned out for her.

Leah won Dane & Milwaukee counties, which is HUGE. Yes, she won less counties than Nichols did, but she’s already on the road shoring up places where she can win against Tammy this fall.

Those (R) voters who voted for Nichols are NOT going to suddenly flip for the ‘Rats.

Polls right now are favoring Tammy, but those are all the usual left-leaning polls that tout this stuff. And I hope they keep it up! I WANT complacent Dem voters come fall that think Tammy has it in the bag; they’ll be less inclined to put down the bong and go out to vote. ;)


31 posted on 08/22/2018 8:36:41 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: LS
Kid Rock could have just walked into this seat.

ROFLOL!!!

35 posted on 08/22/2018 12:41:11 PM PDT by Osage Orange (Whiskey Tango Foxtrot)
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To: LS; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy; fieldmarshaldj; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief; NFHale

Latest polls

Only a two point race in WI! I’ve heard criticism of the “RINO” charge against Vukmir

Another poll in PA contradicting the one showing a close race. Maris, (notably D biased) showing Casey up 15

Quinnipiac, Melendez +6


55 posted on 08/23/2018 3:23:14 PM PDT by Impy (I have no virtue to signal.)
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To: LS
Longest shots of all are Vukmir in WI and James in MI. One’s a RINO who turns off Trump supporters, the other has virtually no name recognition and is 20 points down.

If it's past the primary, RINOs absolutely deserve our vote. It's about the caucus, not about purity. It's about winning the Trump agenda, not about principle.

As for being 20 points down, how do you think a dynamic, well-spoken guy like John James will do in Detroit? Against a tired old bag like Debbie Stabenow? Admittedly, she does have a D after her name ...

59 posted on 08/24/2018 2:38:14 AM PDT by cynwoody
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