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100 days: Dems have midterm edge, but it's not historic
The Hill ^ | Reid Wilson - 07/27/18 | Reid Wilson - 07/27/18

Posted on 07/27/2018 11:02:57 AM PDT by yesthatjallen

click here to read article


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1 posted on 07/27/2018 11:02:57 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

I’m not buying it.


2 posted on 07/27/2018 11:04:20 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: yesthatjallen

Doesn’t matter what edge they have if they’ll wind up with a majority.


3 posted on 07/27/2018 11:05:10 AM PDT by SkyDancer ( ~ Just Consider Me A Random Fact Generator ~ Eat Sleep Fly Repeat ~)
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To: SkyDancer

It’s nor enthusiasm, it’s PURE HATE.


4 posted on 07/27/2018 11:07:05 AM PDT by CMailBag
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To: yesthatjallen

Horse hockey


5 posted on 07/27/2018 11:07:26 AM PDT by choctaw man (Good ole Andrew Jackson, or You're the Reason God Made Oklahoma...)
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To: yesthatjallen

Ho hum more fake news!

Do you ever post real news?


6 posted on 07/27/2018 11:08:02 AM PDT by Grampa Dave (Investigate how Mexico has manipulated, meddled & interfered in our elections, since Ike was POTUS!)
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To: CMailBag

nor should be NOT sorry


7 posted on 07/27/2018 11:08:29 AM PDT by CMailBag
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To: yesthatjallen

It’s a shame but a lot of Americans support a very bad Democrat party.


8 posted on 07/27/2018 11:09:32 AM PDT by Williams (Stop tolerating the intolerant.)
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To: yesthatjallen
And Democrats don’t even need an above-average year to win back the House: In midterm elections dating back to 1948, the party that does not control the White House has picked up an average of 36 seats when the president’s approval rating is below 50 percent.

And therein lies the problem with these stats. Does Trump's approval rating matter? He got elected with a terrible approval rating. His current approval rating is better than congress.

9 posted on 07/27/2018 11:10:22 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: yesthatjallen

The enthusiasm question asks whether you’re more enthusiastic than the last midterm or two. Republicans have been agitated since 2010, so not seeing that as a good guage.


10 posted on 07/27/2018 11:10:34 AM PDT by Behind the Blue Wall
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To: yesthatjallen

“Democrats have a clear edge over Republicans in voter enthusiasm. A June survey from the Pew Research Center showed Democratic voters were five points more likely than Republicans to say they were more excited to vote this year than in previous midterms, mirroring other surveys that show Democratic enthusiasm at higher levels than the GOP. “


this is the one thing that concerns me and the GOPe is doing nothing to help...


11 posted on 07/27/2018 11:10:47 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: yesthatjallen

You get by the loud, foaming at the mouth morons and what you have is a substantial advantage favoring Trump. The Trump folks will vote. The gays, trans gender, druggies will spend most of their voting day on their sofas just as they did for Hillary.


12 posted on 07/27/2018 11:11:54 AM PDT by Kahuna
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To: ExTexasRedhead
“Everything politics has taught us in the last four decades suggests you want to be the party out of the White House in a midterm when the president’s net approval is as low as it is today,” said Bruce Mehlman, a Republican lobbyist who closely tracks electoral trends.

“However, those same historical lessons were crystal clear that Hillary Clinton was going to win the White House.”

It will depend on how much Democrats can fire up their base with anger.

Anger fueled turnout for Trump. Demos will and are trying to do the same thing.

Know your enemies strategies and don't take anything for granted.

I would hate to see Trump voters foolishly believe 'We've Won!' and neglect to vote.

It ain't over 'till it's over.

13 posted on 07/27/2018 11:13:34 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

The media is already lowering expectations for the Dems.

They’ll be lucky to see a blue ripple, let alone, a blue wave.


14 posted on 07/27/2018 11:13:59 AM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: Grampa Dave

Trolls do not post real news


15 posted on 07/27/2018 11:14:11 AM PDT by 100American (Knowledge is knowing how, Wisdom is knowing when)
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To: yesthatjallen; vette6387; mazda77; SkyPilot; ZULU; NFHale; Kaslin

I have never seen or talked to more “fired up” Trump voters than now or should I use the proper word? PISSED Trump voters! We’ve all had a belly full of Liberal crap since the night Trump was elected. Marxist Liberals have shed their masks and we see who are true enemies are. I doubt that anyone will forget anytime soon. Marxist Liberals will find that all their sedition and treason will backfire.

I don’t know any Deplorables who plan to sit home and let the enemies of freedom win.


16 posted on 07/27/2018 11:18:48 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: yesthatjallen
based on the usual midterm metrics, i

Problem is Trump is not a "usual" President. His election victory is based on a voter coalition unlike anything since Reagan. Dems have gone a lot more crazy Left since Reagan. This is going to be a very different sort of Midterm election then anything that has gone before

17 posted on 07/27/2018 11:18:58 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (2016: For the first time since 1984, I voted for a Rep President all other votes were anti Dem)
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To: yesthatjallen

Hillary Clinton was favored by over 90% to win the 2016 General Election.

iPredict it had her odds at roughly 90 to 10% the morning of election day.

Pundits were talking about her certain victory. As late as 10pm Pacific time, it was still a draw as far as the media was concerned. And then things went black for 90 to 120 minutes.

We knew Trump had won, but they refused to declare it.

Oh the huge manatees...

And then they discovered Russian collusion.

Not the uranium mind you, no supposedly the golden votes Hillary was cheated out of, for all eternity.

Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa...

Those claiming the Democrats are going to make gains in November can kiss my ass.

I’ve been assured the Russians are going to win it big for us.

I know, I know... I just love tweaking weak minds.


18 posted on 07/27/2018 11:19:33 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs)
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To: yesthatjallen

It’s always The Dems are way ahead ,it’s a little game they play


19 posted on 07/27/2018 11:22:45 AM PDT by butlerweave
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To: yesthatjallen

A good example of analysis that begins with an assumption that isn’t true, that this is a “usual midterm”. Kinda removes any need to pay attention to anything else...

I hope the left keeps believing in fake polls and that the #walkaway movement is nothing more than Russian bots.


20 posted on 07/27/2018 11:23:30 AM PDT by fuzzylogic (welfare state = sharing of poor moral choices among everybody)
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