Once again...
Posted on 06/30/2018 7:57:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
For the past several years, political pundits on both sides of the aisle have been predicting a future with a permanent Democratic majority in the United States. As evidence, they point to increasing immigration of races that consistently vote over two to one for Democrats, and to the fact that young people overwhelmingly lean left. Republicans have won the popular vote only once in the past seven presidential elections, and Texas, the jewel in the Republican crown, is forecast to go blue in a decade or two because of its growing Hispanic population. These predictions have led to jubilation among Democrats and foreboding among Republicans.
So is the Republican party doomed? Not necessarily. A permanent Democratic future is preconditioned on all demographic groups continuing to vote for the two main parties at the same rates they do currently. I don't think this will be the case. Specifically, I believe that white voters will begin voting for Republicans in larger numbers than they do now. The reason why is simple: identity politics.
Since the 1960s, the white share of the Democratic vote has steadily been decreasing. Just over half of Hillary Clinton's votes in 2016 came from whites. The Democratic vote will probably be majority-nonwhite in the 2020 election and onward.
In the past, Democrats couldn't afford to alienate whites, because they couldn't win elections without either a majority or near majority of the white vote. Times have changed, and now they can. Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton lost the white vote, but by small margins. Barack Obama lost the white vote by much larger margins – first by 12 points, then by 20. This shows that Democrats can now win elections without the white vote.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
They may be or they may not but they won't be returned by the Hispanic demographic which I think may be the point of your post. I suspect you may like Tokyo Rove who led GW into losing both Houses with that strategy.
Doesn’t matter if the return to roots. What matters is whatever party they tend to vote for now WILL lose them in the next couple of decades. Roots was NEVER the point of my post. The points was, EXACTLY as I have stated multiple times, demographics change their allegiance constantly, and trying to use who which group votes for now to tell the future is a fools errand.
Actually Rove did very very well. Thanks to him, and a grossly misplayed hand by the Dems, GW was the first Republican in over 100 years to gain seats in a midterm. Sure he lost them all, plus some more in second midterm, but that’s the historical trend. There’s actually a very clockwork trend to our presidential and midterm elections, there’s a handful of exceptions but by and large since the end of the Civil War one party holds the White House for 2 terms, gaining seats in election years, but losing them and more in the midterms, especially the second midterm. It is a monotonously predictable cycle. And a large part of why when anybody starts talking about permanent, or even long term, majorities they wind up wrong.
Can Muslims in the West Ever Really Be De-Radicalized? Brits Begin to Realize the Answer is 'No' Brits Begin to Realize the Answer is 'No'
Once again, not the conversation.
Once again...
Makes perfectly good sense. The discussion is which demographics will be voting GOP in the near future. Muslims in England are not a part of that discussion. sorry you’re too stupid to understand that, but it’s on you.
Well I am not too stupid to know that demographics matter and the democratic party knows it or they would close the border. Calling me stupid because I don't agree with you is the lowest form of debate.
You keep saying demographics don't matter, I guess because you keep insisting they will eventually straighten up and conform to your notion of citizenship. I pointed to the Muslims invasion of Europe to prove that you are the stupid one.
I’m not calling you stupid because you disagree. I’m calling you stupid because you think the dems are the only ones not closing the border. I’m calling you stupid because you keep bringing up British Muslims integration as if that has any damn thing at all to do with demographic voting habits. I’m calling you stupid because your addiction to insults shows that’s the only language you understand. And most importantly I’m calling you stupid because you’re bleeding moron.
I have never thought the Dems were the only ones keeping the border open. Bush 1 an two both were open borders and I can remember when candidate GHWB was called a racist who would deny browns a place at the table.
I can only assume your are an open borders advocate yourself. I don't keep bring up demographics because I am stupid you keep calling me stupid because you can't defend you position.
Maybe you could go to a nearby Indian Casino and convince them demographics don't matter. Maybe Turkey would get your point even Iran would probably get it.
Maybe you could give Merkel advice.
There you go once again proving you’re stupid. I point out that both parties keep the border open and from that you “can only assume” I’m pro open border?!
You are NOT bringing up demographics. You’re pounding a drum on one topic that is NOT RELATED to the actual discussion. Demographics are ANY identifiable group of people that might, or might not, be identifiable based on race or region or origin. And I’m only saying they don’t matter IN RELATION TO AMERICAN VOTING PATTERNS AND POLITICAL PARTIES.
Really dude, you’re too stupid to breath. We’re done. Goodbye.
Thanks for playing. You have a strange way of expressing yourself. You stated that demographics don't matter I said they did and gave copious examples where they did matter and instead of proving that the points I made were wrong you attack my common sense points.
Ask the people who have escaped from California if demographics matter. I have seen massive change in the demographics of this country in my 80 years, most of them are not for the better and they all mattered.
By the way you are an insolent no it all that should grow up no matter how old you are.
OK normally I don’t grammar nazi. But you misspelled know it all as “no it all”. BQWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHaHAHAHAHA
Well now that everybody knows you’re a bleeding moron. Stay away from the fireworks, you’re simply not qualified.
You said demographic don't matter.
I said demographics do matter followed by examples..
You said.
Well now that everybody knows you’re a bleeding moron. Stay away from the fireworks, you’re simply not qualified.
You have the superior position for sure.
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