Posted on 06/04/2018 6:47:12 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
Democrats may pick up a significant number of congressional seats in November. Some former solid-red districts may tick a few shades bluer, especially with a wave of GOP retirements.
Sound apocalyptic? No. It’s simply that demographics are destiny. Waves of left-leaning voters are moving from blue areas like New York, Boston, Chicago and parts of California to red areas like New Hampshire, Texas, North Carolina. The ultimate end result? The voting patterns and policies that ruined Democratic-dominated regions will shift to traditionally Republican areas.
Domestic migration patterns have sparked significant changes in electoral politics. Bostonians and endearingly-monikered “Massholes” have already changed New Hampshire from blood-red in the Reagan era to part-pink. The “Live Free or Die” state boasts a low cost of living and no income tax, which continues to attract residents from across New England. From July 2016 to July 2017, the rate of population growth in the state increased 60 percent from the previous year. During that year, "the number of people moving in from other states was 4,700 higher" in New Hampshire than the number of people who moved out, the AP reports.
By contrast, from July 2014 to July 2015 alone, Massachusetts had a net loss in domestic migration of nearly 22,000 residents. Almost 25 percent of N.H. residents were born in the Bay State, according to a 2008 report. So many families jump the border each year that the Granite State may soon be a “suburb of Boston,” as one Massachusetts news outlet described.
Sure, Donald Trump almost carried the state in 2016, but alarming underlying issues lurk. More than 6,500 voters in the 2016 election registered with an out-of-state driver’s license, according to a New Hampshire state report. Trump ended up losing the state by fewer than 3,000 votes.
Etc...
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
But demographics is not the only thing voters pay attention to.
Voters change their minds. Parties change their platforms.
Many Democrat voters believe their party left them.
Voter demographics change MUCH more slowly the census demographics.
Ok, how is it that, that thousands of voters register in. We Hampshire using an out of state license?
“The Hill”, hopes for a left wing authoritarian one- party government, and are grasping at straws. The post #2 pretty much has it to ,”The Hill”’s chagrin.
Sorry, i don’t buy this story.. Trump is making things happen.. quickly...it’s all good. Why would they go back to stale rotten bread.
There may be a big curveball coming in November. Democrats who take for granted 95% support from blacks and 75% support from Hispanics will see those numbers drop significantly and the loss of those votes will cost them control of Congress.
As someone put it the other day, the blue wave will end up being a blue trail of tears.
Provided the establishment wing of the stupid party doesn’t find a way to screw it up.
Whatever The Hill posts, the opposite is true.
Hoping you are correct.
Yes point 3 is spot on, and sadly republicans as a whole have not made any effort to talk to that group. Let alone a reason to show up and vote for them this fall.
That group is what gave Donald Trump the upper Midwest and it’s the lack of the GOP reaching out to this group that will cause 10 or more congressional districts to flip to blue in the upper Midwest this fall.
Because with major enthusiasm among democratic voters they will flip many purple and pink districts this fall.
The GOP is flat out incompetent when it comes to understanding the electorate. Trump showed them how to win for a generation or more and they refuse to listen.
Sounds more like wishful thinking to me.
“Whenever I feel afraid ... I whistle a happy tune ...”
These “demographics are destiny” doom stories are very superficial. Over the past 50 years, the political landscape has changed significantly. Former Democrat areas are now solidly Republican. The “demographics are destiny” stories focus solely on the collapse of the Republican Party in places like California. Yes, certain areas have gotten more Democratic. But other areas have gotten more Republican and for the past couple years, Republicans have held more offices than at any time since the 1920s. Its inevitable that there will be losses from that. My bet is that none of us would recognize or be able to predict the political landscape 50 years from now.
I believe deep state is involved in promoting and helping liberal’s to move into conservative states. But many dems will vote for Trump. They are promoting, probably aiding minorities into the conservative South. Then the north goes blue. The libs are still confounded.
—the poisoned wretches from the NE and California leave because their voting has ruined where they are, then they vote the same way wherever they go—
The GOP is flat out incompetent when it comes to understanding the electorate. Trump showed them how to win for a generation or more and they refuse to listen.
The traditional GOP are mostly Republican Progressives. They share most of the same political philosophy as the Democrats. That is why they refuse to support Trump.
President Trump is taking a wreaking ball to many Progressive policies.
> Many Democrat voters believe their party left them. <
Right. And it’s the job of Republicans to capitalize on that, as Trump did. Unfortunately, most Republican leaders these days are just light Democrats.
A wishful thinking article. I don’t think the MSM understands yet the dynamic changes in American politics that President Trump is putting in motion. His no nonsense approach to the presidency is a much needed breath of fresh air, and many more Americans are responding positively to it than the political gurus and pundits realize. These idiots are in for another rude surprise in November. They just refuse to see the reality of the positive impact the Trump presidency is having on this country!
Any news report that Republicans don’t face massive losses in the midterm election are enemy reports. Off yer butts, kidz, we are facing an attempted coup.
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