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HARVARD STUDY EXPLODES PUERTO RICO DEATH RATE TO BASH TRUMP
Front Page Magazine ^ | 6/01/2018 | Daniel Greenfield

Posted on 06/02/2018 5:09:33 AM PDT by cll

Ever since Hurricane Maria hit, there was one thing that the left wanted. And it wanted it now.

More dead Puerto Ricans.

The low death toll undermined efforts by the media to transform the hurricane into a Trump scandal. It made a mockery of Mayor Carmen Yulin Cruz warning about genocide before sending her aide over to the nearest t-shirt printing shop, miraculously left standing, to print up another slogan shirt for CNN.

The media spread urban legends of morgues packed with thousands of corpses. But they never materialized. Congressional Democrats demanded an investigation to expose the full death toll.

The ‘Deathers’ weren’t satisfied with the official death toll of 64 dead.

Now Harvard has delivered. "Hurricane Maria killed more than 4,600 in Puerto Rico, not 64," USA Today blares. "A New Study Says Nearly 6,000 Died In Puerto Rico," BuzzFeed shouts. "Puerto Rico's Hurricane Maria Death Toll Could Exceed 4,000," the New York Times reports slightly more cautiously.

4,000, 4,600 or 6,000. Which is it?

This is what comes of a media monopoly that thinks fact checks are only for Republicans.

“Hurricane Maria: 4,645 Died In Puerto Rico From Storm In 2017,” NPR claims. That’s more specific. It’s also the number that Mayor Cruz is wearing on her hat.

Except that the margin of error is “plus or minus 3,852.” That’s a sizable margin. Maybe 793 people or 8,498 people died. It’s hard to find room on a hat for all those numbers. And where do they come from?

Did researchers from the hallowed halls of Harvard actually count graves and assemble a list of all the people who died in Hurricane Maria?

Come on. That’s too much work. So the Harvard researchers took it easy.

Instead they surveyed 3,299 random Puerto Rican households, used the survey results to generate a death rate of 14.3 per 1,000 between September 20, the date the hurricane hit, and December 31.

That’s over 100 days after the hurricane hit.

Then they compared those numbers to the same period in 2016 and produced 4,645 deaths.

This is not a verified list of deaths due to Hurricane Maria. It’s a pile of conjectures, assumptions and statistical bunny hops. It also leapfrogs Puerto Rico’s actual review being conducted by George Washington University researchers under a GWU dean that will review actual death certificates.

‘Deathers’ insist that death certificates are not meaningful. Their own numbers take into account anyone who might have died indirectly due to the impact of the hurricane. Power failures. Communications outages. Roads being washed out. But we can’t actually know whether an ill person would have died if the hurricane hadn’t hit. Or if any amount of infrastructure would have made it possible for the entire island to maintain power when being hit by a hurricane. Probably not.

New York City has some of the densest infrastructure in the world, but after Hurricane Sandy hit it still took months to restore power to some residents.

The official death toll, sneered at by the media, counts the number of people actually killed by the hurricane. The ‘Deathers’ want to count everyone who might have possibly lived otherwise.

But we’ll never know.

The Harvard study rejects birth certificates but compares its survey generated death rate to “official vital-statistics data for 2016” and then it “calculated excess deaths in Puerto Rico.”


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government
KEYWORDS: hurricane; maria; puertorico; trump
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To: cll

OK. I respect on the ground reporting.

Thanks.


21 posted on 06/02/2018 6:33:43 AM PDT by Pearls Before Swine ("Married with children.")
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To: cll
Harvard basically determined the number through an opinion poll of a small number of households extrapolated to the whole island, ignoring the documentary evidence available. Other studies, which came up with just a fraction of the Harvard number counted the stack of death certificates.

To justify the Harvard methodology you would first have to demonstrate that there is a statistically significant number deaths (e.g. corpus delecti) for which no death certificate was provided.

22 posted on 06/02/2018 6:56:12 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: cll
Democrats should be crucified, or at least called out, for what they did.

WF was restoring power and Democrats CANCELLED THE CONTRACT!

Democrats should own that.

I can't believe Democrats were able to take control of the narrative and describe WF as a 'two man operation'.

They're CONTRACTORS. They hire out. One man can do it.

23 posted on 06/02/2018 6:57:57 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: Arm_Bears

The Left can push this all they want. Yes, the true ideologues will believe it, but no one else with an ounce of common sense will think Trump 6 months in office is somehow connected to the affects Hurricanes in Puerto Rico.


24 posted on 06/02/2018 6:59:18 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: cll

Will take a very long time to sort through all of the data. Stay strong. We need you!


25 posted on 06/02/2018 7:19:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: Arm_Bears

The retained search part of my consulting company would round file any resume’ from Harvard or the Ivy couch. Those self centered egos would destroy any company they ran.


26 posted on 06/02/2018 7:28:16 AM PDT by stubernx98 (cranky, but reasonable)
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To: cll

Media used Hurricane Katrina to help destroy W. Bush. They wanted the same for this storm.


27 posted on 06/02/2018 7:44:53 AM PDT by boycott
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To: boycott

Truth doesn’t matter to Leftists.

They lie as easily as they breath.

Only a FOOL trusts a Leftist’s words ...


28 posted on 06/02/2018 8:04:07 AM PDT by elbook
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To: cll

This is the same sort of approach they used to “tabulate” the number of Iraqis who died “because of UN sanctions” or during the Iraq war. They surveyed households and if a family said “We lost our father, Kalid,” that’s one. Then if the family next door (who are relatives) said “We lost our Uncle Kalid,” and then the family on the other side said “We lost our cousin Kalid,” they counted it as 3 different deaths. It’s clearly the same guy, but shh... Then they also compared the population to what it was some years ago, or the birthrate... it’s absolute bullcrap.


29 posted on 06/02/2018 9:26:33 AM PDT by A_perfect_lady (They may be crumbs, but the Dems want them back. -robroy's woman [who is using his wife's account])
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To: Eric in the Ozarks
When I read the Harvard report, I wondered why there was no coverage of mass funerals weeks after the storm.

Excellent point.

30 posted on 06/02/2018 9:30:56 AM PDT by A_perfect_lady (They may be crumbs, but the Dems want them back. -robroy's woman [who is using his wife's account])
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To: cll

I am not buying one single word of this ‘repost’.

1. PR is a small country in acreage, so HERE could they hide/bury/handle 4600 or more BODIES?

2. If those ‘bodies’ were just laying out in the sun to rot, the stench would have been so bad no one could have ignored it.

3. There ACTUALLY WAS a competent POWER company on site in the first days after the hurricane..
Local politicians refused to pay them after a couple of weeks work had been done & they needed payment for their workers.
NO MONEY-—the power company left.

I would have left, also.

Keep in mind, when PR sent out for bids on doing this power work, they only had 3 bidders, and when it became know that 2 of them REQUIRED a DEPOSIT, PR wouldn’t pay a deposit, and only one power company was still in play.

After a “We are not paying for your serves’ standoff a couple of weeks after starting the job, they also bailed.

Find me ONE single company here on FR that would NOT have done the same.

I am only a one person bookkeeping service-—for over 38 years. IF a client didn’t pay me, I held onto their records & then demanded CASH—for which I would sign a receipt-—to get their stuff back.

I never did one more minute of work for them.

One of them was so bad, I passed around the word to blackball them.


31 posted on 06/02/2018 10:20:33 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: cll

Harvard is a joke like CNN, Washington Post and University of California system wide.

Harvard gives automatic A and B grades so that virtually everyone leaves with a high GPA. It is no longer anything by which to be influenced.


32 posted on 06/02/2018 10:24:12 AM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: Arm_Bears

Shoe me 4600 ++ VALID Death Certificates.

Those on Soc Sec would have been paid $255 for funeral benefits.

IF those funeral benefits were NOT paid out for people in PR, another lie Trump can bust open.

IF some people escaped to the USA, they are NOT dead.


33 posted on 06/02/2018 10:40:12 AM PDT by ridesthemiles
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To: ridesthemiles

“IF those funeral benefits were NOT paid out for people in PR, another lie Trump can bust open.”


Why? Most people are NOT on Social Security so what on earth does the lack of funeral benefits prove?

.


34 posted on 06/02/2018 10:51:49 AM PDT by Mears
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To: A_perfect_lady

That many deaths would have made 60 Minutes or one of the evening newscasts...


35 posted on 06/02/2018 1:55:58 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.)
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To: cll

Very understandable.


36 posted on 06/02/2018 3:10:58 PM PDT by Impy (I have no virtue to signal.)
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To: cll

Power grid was antiquated; Obama did nothing for eight years to fix this outdated infrastructure.

plus....They were hit by TWO HURRICANES!

How is that Trumps fault? It’s not.


37 posted on 06/02/2018 8:07:09 PM PDT by Finalapproach29er (luke 6:38)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks; NautiNurse; cll; All

I wonder how many people were buried in rural areas without an official death certificate because they were starting to rot and stink. How will they be counted officially???


38 posted on 06/03/2018 2:58:16 PM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: cll; EEGator; All

And so does my son and his family.


39 posted on 06/03/2018 4:30:38 PM PDT by gleeaikin
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To: cll

Beside Kenya, soetoro supposedly came from Harvard.

Harvard is inequal opportunity, affirmative action garbage.

Ptuh!


40 posted on 06/03/2018 4:39:18 PM PDT by onedoug
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