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Neil Gorsuch’s Question Is Key To Unlocking The Upcoming Masterpiece Cakeshop Decision
The Federalist ^ | 5-30-18 | Jeremiah Keenan

Posted on 05/30/2018 9:24:06 PM PDT by DeweyCA

The Supreme Court’s decision on Jack Phillips and his Masterpiece Cakeshop is expected in the next two to three weeks. While the outcome could surprise us all, the result both sides of the political spectrum predict is a substantial win for the Left packaged as a favorable verdict for the Right. That is, the court will rule “for” Phillips but against his cause.

The reason is pretty simple: Justice Anthony Kennedy is the swing vote, and in the oral arguments last December, his mind seemed made up. Kennedy knows that if Phillips’ speech as a cake artist is protected, then the speech of creative designers of every kind in the wedding industry must also be protected.

“It means there’s basically an ability to boycott gay marriages,” Kennedy said, an outcome he made clear was not acceptable. “The problem for you,” Kennedy explained to Phillips’ attorneys, “is that so many of these examples—and a photographer can be included—do involve speech.” Protecting such speech would be “an affront to the gay community,” which Kennedy thinks is concerning, perhaps illegal.

At the same time, Kennedy is likely sensitive to the fact that Phillips has won his case in the courts of popular opinion, by a two-thirds majority. In the December oral arguments, Kennedy appeared to be exploring a clever legal loophole to escape this dilemma. Most likely, he will write a narrow fact-based decision that will leave the judicial framework that prosecuted Phillips in place, but excuse the baker personally from any further punishment, on the notion that some of the judges involved in Phillips’ case were biased against religion.

Such an opinion would tend to leave folks like Phillips guilty by implication without forcing the court to explain, head-on, why Christian bakers are obligated to design cakes for same-sex weddings.

Does Sexual Orientation Really Compare to Race?
But obligated they would be, and the reason, whether SCOTUS records it or not, ought to be publicly examined. It begins with the following question: If Phillips’ First Amendment rights allow him to break Colorado anti-discrimination law with respect to sexual orientation, then why couldn’t somebody else do so with respect to race?

This question has dominated media arguments against Phillips, and was the issue for liberal justices during oral arguments. Justice Sonia Sotomayor harped on Newman v. Piggie, Justice Stephen Breyer brought up Ollie’s Barbecue, and Justice Elena Kagan asked point-blank: “Same case or not the same case, if [Phillips] instead objected to interracial marriage?”

Of course, Phillips’s attorney replied that was “a very different case” because the “objection would be based on who the person is, rather than what the message is.” “Mr. Phillips,” she explained, “is looking at not the ‘who’ but the ‘what’ in these instances.” To which Justice Neil Gorsuch replied, in arguably the most important question of the entire case:

Well, actually, counsel, that seems to be a point of contention. The state seems to concede that if it were the message, your client would have a right to refuse. But if it — the objection is to the person, that’s when the discrimination law kicks in. That’s footnote 8 of the Colorado Court of Appeals’ decision. I know you know this. So what do you say to that, that actually what is happening here may superficially look like it’s about the message but it’s really about the person’s identity?

You see, in the Supreme Court, neither the Left nor the Right believes that religious freedom trumps anti-discrimination law. Neither claims practicing homosexuals are just automatically entitled to any service they happen to demand. The law forbids just one thing: discrimination on account of sexual orientation (or race, religion, etc.). The objection must be “to the person,” as Gorsuch pointed out: “that’s when the discrimination law kicks in.”

The footnote Gorsuch mentioned is a great illustration of this. Several Colorado bakeries turned down orders from a Christian for a Bible-shaped cake with Leviticus 18:22 on it. They were not guilty of discrimination because their refusal was based on the message the Christian wanted his cake to convey, not the simple fact that he happened to be a Christian. Le Bakery Sensual had no problem serving Christians in general, and in fact would have been willing to make that Christian pretty much any cake but the “traditional marriage celebration cake” he ordered.

This is common sense, and courts have been quite capable of using it regarding Christians as a protected class. The problem is that the lower courts haven’t been willing to apply this common sense to homosexual anti-discrimination cases.

Instead, as I have noted previously, they decided that when it comes to homosexuality, anti-discrimination law automatically covers any activities “engaged in exclusively or predominately” by members of the protected class. For religion, this is not true. For sex, the idea was rejected. For race, maybe. But for homosexuality, doing is being, and being is a sacred right.

Anti-Discrimination Law Protects Being, Not Doing
Behind Gorsuch’s question lies the understanding that this conclusion ought not be taken for granted. Anti-discrimination law is designed to protect being, not doing, and it isn’t fair to arbitrarily decide for one class that their particular doings are all beings. Nobody has a right to a Leviticus 18:22 cake for his traditional marriage gala even if such celebrations are engaged in “exclusively or predominately” by some brand of Christian.

In the same way, nobody has a right to a wedding cake topped with two men kissing, even if only “gay people” would want such a cake. Unless, of course, it really is true that for “gay people” doing is being.

You see, Christians like Phillips think it is natural to distinguish between the act of “sodomy” and the propensity called sexual orientation. They condemn the act but do not hate or discriminate against those who happen to be tempted to commit it.

When I first started following Phillips’ case, I sent a simple question to his legal team: Many people with persistent same-sex attraction choose to marry a member of the opposite sex. Would Phillips be willing to make a cake for a man and a woman who wanted to marry each other even though they revealed to him that they were both gay? Their immediate and unequivocal response was “Yes – Jack would do the proposed cake.”

This was no surprise. After all, Christians see homosexuality as on a par with your average sexual impulse, no different from a desire to have a one-night stand instead of going home to your wife. Sure, you might have these desires without looking for them, but they don’t define your essence or lay out a blueprint for the “natural” use of your sexuality. They’re just part of the smorgasbord of impulses that we all have to sift in order to choose what is right.

SCOTUS Liberals Think Doing Is Being
But the liberal wing of SCOTUS, which has dominated this issue 5-4 for decades now, does not view homosexuality as comparable to other sexual impulses. Instead, they have argued that homosexuality is to romance what race is to skin-tone: an inborn biological type.

From this point of view, doing really is being, for, as Kennedy puts it in Obergefell v. Hodges, homosexual’s “immutable nature dictates that same-sex marriage is their only real path” to profound romantic commitment. Phillips’ offer of a heterosexual wedding cake to homosexuals is thus an empty one, because no one with a history of exclusive same-sex attraction could want such a cake.

But is the liberal view on the issue factual? Is homosexuality an immutable condition written in one’s DNA? Or is it really just part of the vast spectrum of human desire properly governed by moral precept and choice?

The Research Solidly Finds Sexual Orientation Malleable
Many may be inclined to say that this is a matter of opinion, and that the leftist view on the court is as scientific as the view on the Right. Most liberal judges might agree, since they assume immutability of sexual orientation without bothering to state or defend it. Kennedy, an exception to this rule, cited an American Psychological Association (APA) brief which, though it contains much information designed to support redefining marriage, does not assert that sexual orientation is immutable.

The reason is very simple. There is not only no scientific evidence that sexual orientation is immutable, there is conclusive scientific evidence that most people who experience exclusive same-sex attraction end up developing an interest in the opposite sex over time. The stats on this have been printed out in tables and discussed matter-of-factly in the technical journals for decades, but they have a curious way of never quite making it out of the Archives of Sexual Behavior into CNN’s evening news.

Consider what researchers found in 2007 when they examined a representative sample of more than 10,000 American youth, following each individual from the age of 16 to 22. Rather than rely on an individual’s reconstruction of his or her past based on current identity, researchers met with people three times throughout the six-year period. The first time, when subjects were 16, researchers asked subjects whether they had ever been romantically attracted to a member of the opposite or same sex. In each successive interview, they were asked about their romantic attractions since last interview.

For instance, 17-year-old males were asked if, in the past year, they had a romantic attraction to another male or female. About 1.5 percent reported only having a romantic attraction to other males. Five years later, when that 1.5 percent of young men were asked about their romantic attractions since the last interview, the overwhelming majority of them (70 percent) reported a 180-degree flip in their sexual orientation—they only had romantic feelings for women.

Similarly, among females, about 40 percent switched from exclusive same-sex attraction (SSA) to exclusive opposite-sex attraction (OSA). Most of the rest (45 percent of total) reported that they had feelings for both men and women. Only 1 percent of women who at 17 reported a full year of exclusive same-sex attraction reported a similar experience in the five years that followed.

Leftist Judges Assume What the Evidence Shows Is False
Leftist judges have based their legal analyses on the assumption that if a 17 year-old woman has exclusive SSA, some form of same-sex commitment is her only path to “marriage” because her condition is immutable. But her “condition” has only a 1 percent chance of lasting five years!

On the same factually uninformed assumption, courts argue that businesses that refuse service to such a 17-year-old’s same-sex marriage (you can marry as young as 16 in most states) are discriminating against her for a condition analogous to race. The courts are ready to punish Christian businesses—fine them, re-educate them, and close them down.

Yet there is no question, on the facts, that exclusive same-sex sexual orientation (unlike heterosexual sexual orientation) is extremely unstable, especially among young people. According to hard numbers, by the time the courts are done reeducating a Christian business on a male plaintiff’s immutable homosexuality, he’s probably going to not only be having heterosexual feelings (about a 80 percent chance), but having sex with his girlfriend or wife (about a 50 percent chance).

It’s Not Just Young People, Either
Now, one might argue that this extraordinary instability of sexual orientation is only true for young people. This is a weak objection, since the courts’ ruling must apply to people at least as young as 16. Besides, an immutable characteristic does not fluctuate wildly in early adulthood: “Oh, at 17 I was white; by the time I was 22, definitely black, now quite settled into brown.”

But such objections can also be answered by empirical data on older populations. While no study I am aware of can come close to the Cornell-led study cited above for rigor and sample-size, the data that exists on older populations excludes the possibility that sexual orientation is truly immutable. A 2011 study, for instance, found that a little under 30 percent of those who identified as homosexuals at 40 identified as bisexual or heterosexual by the time they were 50.

Such a high rate of change in self-identification at such a late stage in life indicates that exclusive homosexuality barely enjoys the stability one finds in clearly mutable preferences like religious identification or party affiliation. “Being homosexual” is rather like “being Democrat” or “being Hindu.” The probability of change before your mid-twenties can be quite high. The probability of change in later adulthood is around 40 percent.

Overall, roughly half of those who have identified as homosexuals in the past no longer do, and roughly half of those who currently identify as homosexual used to identify as something else. This rule of thumb (noted, in part or in whole by multiple scholars) indicates homosexuality is about as stable as religion: roughly half of Americans have changed religions at least once.

Doing Is Therefore Not Being
So, on what basis do the courts claim that homosexuality is inborn and “immutable” so that, for homosexuals, doing is being? The only evidence which, to my knowledge, they have brought to bear on the issue is the APA’s vague statement that homosexuality is “highly resistant to change.” The best evidence the APA could muster for this idea was their conclusion that so-called “conversion” therapies—as practiced primarily by a dying breed of Freudian psychologists and a handful of self-appointed counselors—are “unlikely to succeed.”

In point of fact, “conversion therapy” despite its sometimes bizarre methods, tends to enjoy “success” rates similar to other “kick-your-addictions” or “heal-your-sex-life” programs: maybe 15 percent. For comparison, Alcoholics Anonymous has a “success” rate between 5 and 10 percent. The low rate of success such groups enjoy does not by any means prove that homosexuality (or alcoholism, for that matter) is an immutable characteristic. The stats on that question are directly and easily accessible: homosexuality is hardly more immutable than religion or political party.

This brings us back to Gorsuch’s all-important question. Is Phillips’ refusal to make a ‘gay’ wedding cake actually a sly way of discriminating against people with same-sex attraction? The answer is no, in much the same way that Le Bakery Sensual’s refusal to make a traditional marriage celebration cake was not a sly way of discriminating against Christians.

Homosexual behaviors, including same-sex marriage, are no more inborn or immutable than Hindu veganism or Christian abstinence from “sodomy.” A refusal to make two homosexuals a cake for a gay wedding, when paired, as Phillips’ refusal was, with an offer to serve them in any other way, is not some sly strike at an individual for his identity. It is a good-faith objection to a practice, a doing which, as Gorsuch so aptly pointed out, is quite appropriately not the object of laws to protect being.

Jeremiah Keenan is a pro-life activist and freelance writer. He recently graduated from the University of Pennsylvania, where he argued with leftists and wrote for The Daily Pennsylvanian. He also earned a bachelors in mathematics and assisted the sociology department researching religious opinion trends on eugenics, race, birth control, and homosexuality. Jeremiah grew up in China and lives, at the moment, in Ohio. He can be contacted at JeremiahJKeenan@gmail.com.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: cakes; gays; gaystats; homosexualagenda; homosexualstats; ssm
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The second half of this article contains some really interesting statistics on the malleability of homosexual orientation from a 2007 Cornell University 6-year longitudinal study done on 10,000 individuals. The author also later tells about the results of a 2011 research study. The author's thesis is that since homosexual orientation is malleable/changeable, it should not be treated like race (which can't be changed) in discrimination lawsuits.
1 posted on 05/30/2018 9:24:07 PM PDT by DeweyCA
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To: DeweyCA

“It means there’s basically an ability to boycott gay marriages”, as if that’s a bad thing. Shouldn’t free people be able to boycott whatever they like, without government forcing them to buy something they don’t want, or do something they don’t want to do?


2 posted on 05/30/2018 9:30:18 PM PDT by Telepathic Intruder
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To: Telepathic Intruder

The liberal judges are trying to find a way to curtail free speech without admitting that’s what they’re doing.. If they give Phillips a pass ,then everyone involved with weddings can turn gays down...Liberals are trying to figure a way to stop it ..They hate free speech for anyone but them...


3 posted on 05/30/2018 9:35:13 PM PDT by Hambone 1934
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To: DeweyCA

The great lie of our age is the King’s new clothes, the idea that homosexuality is normal, irreversible and must not only be accepted by the masses but approved of as well.


4 posted on 05/30/2018 9:36:57 PM PDT by Midwesterner53
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To: DeweyCA

being gay is an abominable deviant lifestyle choice that flies in the face of Christian morals- it is NOT a genetic issue that can’t be helped- it is a choice- period! Others should not be forced to cater to it or accept it and celebrate it or help celebrate it, any more so than a satanist should not be able to demand a Christian bakery bake a cake with satanic elements listed on it- We have a religious right in this country to object to abhorrent lifestyle choices of groups of people who choose to live lives that are morally reprehensible and offensive. Should Christian bakeries be forced to bake cakes that celebrate the sick twisted world of pedophilia? Of course not! Of Bestiality? Nope! Necrophilia? Not a chance! To celebrate child sacrifices to Molech? No Way! ALL these are abhorrent lifestyle CHOICES- homosexuality is no different- it is a choice- and forcing someone against their religious beliefs to support it or create stuff to celebrate it, or ANY of the other numerous abhorrent lifestyles people CHOOSE to live- is not constitutional!


5 posted on 05/30/2018 9:39:11 PM PDT by Bob434
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To: DeweyCA

No Kennedy is worth anything.


6 posted on 05/30/2018 9:47:27 PM PDT by wastedyears (The left would kill every single one of us and our families if they knew they could get away with it)
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To: DeweyCA
I've always believed that this is not a First Amendment case, rather it's a 13th Amendment case: Neither slavery nor involuntary servitude, except as a punishment for crime whereof the party shall have been duly convicted, shall exist within the United States, or any place subject to their jurisdiction. If the government can force someone to create something against their will, that is slavery and involuntary servitude. These bakers, photographers etc. are being forced to create against their will. We're not talking about selling cookies to someone but the creation of a custom product.
7 posted on 05/30/2018 9:48:15 PM PDT by JMS
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To: Bob434

It is worse than a “choice”. It is caused by childhood neglect and abuse always. Anyone who celebrates such vile, evil behaviors is also celebrating child abuse.

Moberly’s book on Psychogenesis and also all the research in the Catholic Church details the cause of “homosexuality”—a made up Marxist “word” for sodomites like in Afghanistan where they have boy harems....just like the Spartan and Samurai did, since it is essential to corrupt little boys for the grooming into that vile, evil lifestyle—like Milo was “groomed....and Chastity Bono, and Harry Hay, and Harvey Milk and Oscar Wilde, and as all the “homosexuals” who end up raping 108 boys on average. It is why Cardinal Pell’s trial in Australia (the boy-sex ring—like the Franklin-Cover Up) is so secret. It is why no one knows about the little boys that John Maynard Keynes was passing around in his homosexual orgies-—and he is venerated—a pederast—as is Harvey Milk—a pederast—in our evil public skools which is normalizing the satanic behaviors in five year olds with “Pride” in sodomizing others days.

Truth will set us free. The Truth is that sodomy is an abomination and learned behavior—as all behavior is learned and habituated..... and if always includes the grooming of little boys so they are warped for life.

Sodomy is anti-christian, anti-science, anti-human, anti-reason, yet they promote the satanism (and islamic/Kabbala) behaviors-—which is promoting Ba’al “Rites”-—a religion on our kindergarteners and bakers and photographers. There is NO freedom of thought or religion in such a vile Vice System-—which promotes evil behaviors and considers people who desire to sodomize others as “good” and it is “love”-—such a vile 2000 year-old flipping of Good and Evil back to the slave-pederastic days of Greece again.


8 posted on 05/30/2018 10:04:41 PM PDT by savagesusie (When Law ceases to be Just, it ceases to be Law. (Thomas A./Founders/John Marshall)/Nuremberg)
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To: wastedyears

“No Kennedy is worth anything.”

We should hope that this one “moves on,” one way or another. Retirement, or a pine box. At this juncture either is fine with me.


9 posted on 05/30/2018 10:06:12 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: Telepathic Intruder
“It means there’s basically an ability to boycott gay marriages”, as if that’s a bad thing. Shouldn’t free people be able to boycott whatever they like, without government forcing them to buy something they don’t want, or do something they don’t want to do?

It should do no such thing as boycotting gay marriages, that's an asinine argument. Would gays still be able to be married? Of course they would! Instead of the queers and their panderers starting their own businesses catering to their desires they demand that others........especially Christians celebrate their perversity.

10 posted on 05/30/2018 10:19:01 PM PDT by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: Midwesterner53

“Homosexual acts are intrinsically disordered.” - Catechism of the Catholic Church, 2357


11 posted on 05/30/2018 10:26:12 PM PDT by karnage
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To: savagesusie

And so fine, you’ve virtue-signaled your great virtue and condemned it even worse than the bible does (if it were possible) but that still leaves the question:

What do we DO about this thing.

God must, must, MUST be in the answer. We aren’t dealing with earthly powers alone here. Did this even have to be kicked up to the USSC now — why couldn’t support for the victim have been crowdfunded? Could this have waited for another Trump appointment? Oh well, it hasn’t.

The liberals are in a dilemma here though. If they win on this one, that could bring in a stiff wind to the right, which could cost them much more than Trump already has. And Trump will do it with a hey nonny nonny.


12 posted on 05/30/2018 10:28:58 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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To: Mastador1

The goal has always been to destroy marriage. Gays don’t really want it, they want to pervert it into something unholy, forcing Christians to watch and approve so as to make the destruction a total one. To them, that’s a step toward destroying the concept of God itself. Then, down can be up, bad can be good, and depravity can be virtue.


13 posted on 05/30/2018 10:37:57 PM PDT by Telepathic Intruder
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To: Telepathic Intruder

Well it looks like the sleight of hand is pretty advanced here... though I hope even the USSC decides not to play with double fire after playing with single fire.


14 posted on 05/30/2018 10:47:02 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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To: DeweyCA

Any cases with Muslim run Bakeries refusing to serve Gays on the Docket, or is this just the usual Christian persecution?


15 posted on 05/30/2018 10:47:55 PM PDT by Kickass Conservative (The only good Commie is a dead Commie. Cast your Vote Accordingly.)
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To: DeweyCA

One of the targets of leftists is to destroy traditional marriage. One of the paths to that goal is to force everyone to accept other types of marriage. Their arguements are really just highly intellectual nonsense. Gods arguements for traditional marriage, and against sexual perversions, are easy for anyone to understand, and they never change.


16 posted on 05/30/2018 10:49:43 PM PDT by robel
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To: Kickass Conservative

Ah, the prosecutors drop those like hot halal potatoes.


17 posted on 05/30/2018 10:50:07 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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To: robel

We have a question for churches here however. Suppose the government just won’t stand up for what you ought to stand up for. Now what do you do. George Washington won’t do it for you anymore.


18 posted on 05/30/2018 10:51:06 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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To: JMS
Going just a little further, I am somewhat disappointed that none of the arguments presented in this case offer any challenge to the legal swampland created in 1964 with "public accommodations."

All businesses, large and small, make decisions on who to buy their products from based on sometimes arbitrary criteria such as convenience, personality of the jobber, advertising, etc. In a sense, businesses discriminate when dealing with other businesses.

But, since the enactment of the Civil Rights act of 1964, it is illegal to discriminate when selling goods and services to the public. You can pick your suppliers but not your customers.

Carried to its logical conclusion, which it could be, the law would prohibit exclusive purchasing channels in certain specialty goods and services. (These are probably intended to reduce outside competition more than anything else, of course, with no implication of racial, age or gender discrimination. Credit rating, net worth, sales volume, number of stores or employees would be factors, though, and not everyone qualifies.)

The freedom to contract, once thought inviolate, has been eroded bit by bit over the last century. Government permission is required to do business, and once granted it must be done only in accord with ever-changing laws and regulations.

It's all for our safety and well-being, of course.

19 posted on 05/30/2018 10:52:26 PM PDT by logician2u
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To: logician2u

‘elf and safety, like they say in unjolly old England.


20 posted on 05/30/2018 11:07:53 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Tryin' hard to win the No-Bull Prize.)
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