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Sabato's Crystal Ball: The Democrats’ Drive for 25 in the House
U Va Center for Politics ^ | May 17 2018 | Kyle Kondik

Posted on 05/19/2018 6:52:13 PM PDT by iowamark

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1 posted on 05/19/2018 6:52:13 PM PDT by iowamark
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To: iowamark

2 posted on 05/19/2018 6:53:48 PM PDT by iowamark
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To: iowamark

There will be a trail of blue poo behind any Democrat trying to turn Trump supporting districts.

After election day, there will be a lot of blue sandals laying around.

Close by will be exhausted Democrats with red wet eyes, and a wicked heart.


3 posted on 05/19/2018 6:54:57 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs..)
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To: iowamark

One district I am familiar with is IA-1, held for 2 terms by conservative Rod Blum. There is no way that this is a “toss up.” Blum won 54% in 2016 against a well funded and well known challenger.


4 posted on 05/19/2018 6:56:22 PM PDT by iowamark
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To: iowamark

Larry Sabato Predicts Hillary Clinton Will Win 322-216, Carry Florida And North Carolina
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2016/11/08/larry_sabato_predicts_hillary_clinton_will_win_322-216.html


5 posted on 05/19/2018 6:56:48 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: iowamark

This oddball predicted Hillary would win too.


6 posted on 05/19/2018 6:57:16 PM PDT by tennmountainman ("Prophet Mountainman" Predicter Of All Things RINO...for a small fee.)
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To: iowamark
Make Bella Pelosi...and peace in Korea...the issues.Throw in the unemployment rate.
7 posted on 05/19/2018 7:01:37 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (You Say "White Privilege"...I Say "Protestant Work Ethic")
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To: iowamark

Sabato missed the huge Republican gains in 2010 and 2014 by a mile. He is just another liberal hack, and is ‘correct’ about 35 percent of the time. Better than Eleanor Clift, but that isn’t saying much.


8 posted on 05/19/2018 7:04:42 PM PDT by jps098
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To: iowamark

Reading all of this is like wading into the swamp. Falling into the rabbit hole.
I will scan over details on Senate races but House races are too many.
Details and analysis seem to be very fluid until September when we know who won primaries and how they campaigned over Summer.


9 posted on 05/19/2018 7:16:54 PM PDT by SMGFan (Sarah Michelle Gellar is on twitter @SarahMGellar)
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To: iowamark

After Nov. 8, 2016, didn’t Sabato say on national TV that he was retiring his crystal ball?


10 posted on 05/19/2018 7:18:23 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Have an A-1 day.)
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To: jps098

Better looking, too.


11 posted on 05/19/2018 7:20:01 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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To: iowamark

Sabato? Funny way to spell Loser.


12 posted on 05/19/2018 7:35:49 PM PDT by EMI_Guy ("You have to slow down to go fast." - Kenny Roberts)
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To: DoughtyOne; unkus; SkyPilot; ZULU; sheik yerbouty; vette6387; NFHale

I wonder if Pelosi and the DNC will campaign for MS-13 votes which could be added to their fringe base. Then there’s the Crips and Bloods they could add as well.


13 posted on 05/19/2018 7:46:33 PM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: ExTexasRedhead

In effect, they have those votes.

When they complain the KKK may vote Republican, I note that nobody mentions the groups you just listed, as voting lock stock and barrel for them.


14 posted on 05/19/2018 7:50:26 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs..)
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To: ExTexasRedhead

BTW, when the KKK votes for us, we don’t endorse their views. We point out that we don’t share their racist views.

When the groups you mentioned back Democrats, the Left would never say they don’t share those group’s beliefs.

They openly seek the felon vote.

They openly advocate for letting felons out on the streets, and then help them to vote.


15 posted on 05/19/2018 7:52:54 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs..)
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To: iowamark

I still think Democrats will gain 40 to 50 seats
Problem is Trump, like 0bama, has no coatails. People will come out to vote for Trump, but they wont for House Republicans. Democrats stil have a very large and energized base. Republicans barely even have a base anymore.


16 posted on 05/19/2018 7:54:50 PM PDT by Angels27
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To: iowamark

Larry Sabato Final 2016 Picks: Clinton 322, Trump 216

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/


17 posted on 05/19/2018 8:12:32 PM PDT by catnipman ((Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

There it is. You found Larry’s past successes.

He even went on TV talking about how much his kidnliked HRC.

Thanks


18 posted on 05/19/2018 8:13:28 PM PDT by vg0va3
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To: catnipman

I love watching the YouTube video of this clown predicting a huge Clinton win.


19 posted on 05/19/2018 8:20:47 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

“I love watching the YouTube video of this clown predicting a huge Clinton win.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cCFEuhASlwY


20 posted on 05/19/2018 8:34:15 PM PDT by catnipman ((Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!))
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