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Report: Democrats would need huge wave to win US House
Associated Press ^ | Mar 26, 2018 9:05 AM EDT | David A. Lieb

Posted on 03/26/2018 7:44:32 AM PDT by Olog-hai

A report released Monday suggests Democrats might have to temper their enthusiasm about climbing back to power during this year’s midterm elections.

To win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives, Democrats would need a tremendous electoral wave not seen in more than 40 years to overcome Republican advantages from gerrymandered districts in key states, according to an analysis from the Brennan Center for Justice.

The report projects that Democrats would need to win the national popular vote for congressional districts by a nearly 11 percentage point margin over Republicans to gain more than the roughly two dozen seats they need to flip control of the Republican-led chamber.

That would take more than the typical Democratic wave that history suggests would occur for the party out of power during a midterm election.

“It would be the equivalent of a tsunami,” said Michael Li, a senior counsel who heads up redistricting work for the center, which is based at New York University School of Law. “Democrats would have to win larger than any sort of recent midterm wave — almost double what they got in 2006 — in order to win a narrow majority.” …

(Excerpt) Read more at apnews.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 115th; 2018election; 2018midterms; 2020election; bluewave; brennancenter; democrats; election2018; election2020; gerrymandering; liberalagenda
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1 posted on 03/26/2018 7:44:32 AM PDT by Olog-hai
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To: Olog-hai

Well, they did register thousands of pre-school and elementary kids to vote at the Stayin’ Alive parades Saturday.


2 posted on 03/26/2018 7:45:49 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (#NotARussianBot)
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To: Olog-hai
Report: Democrats would need huge wave to win US House

Well if you have the dems and throw in the RINOs, with their "leader" Paul Ryno, then they have an overwhelming majority.

3 posted on 03/26/2018 7:47:17 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Strzok and Page - The very definition of SEDITION and TREASON!)
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To: Olog-hai

Disagree. The Dem’s only require that most of their normal voter base show up to vote. Conservatives, on the other hand, need to get off of their lazy arses and show up. Voter apathy on the part of Conservatives is what defeats us.


4 posted on 03/26/2018 7:47:18 AM PDT by rjsimmon (The Tree of Liberty Thirsts)
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To: Olog-hai

Yes, but with the cowardly Republicans, how much difference does it make? At least the Republicans won’t try to impeach Trump.... I think.


5 posted on 03/26/2018 7:47:50 AM PDT by Pining_4_TX (For they sow the wind, and they shall reap the whirlwind. ~ Hosea 8:7)
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To: rjsimmon

“Disagree”

All that is necessary for Trump to lose is for people such as I to do nothing.


6 posted on 03/26/2018 7:51:26 AM PDT by Makana (“We have met the enemy and he is us." - W. Kelly)
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To: Olog-hai

From looking at the Budget that was signed last week by President Trump, it’s apparent that the Democrats control the House and Senate.


7 posted on 03/26/2018 7:52:21 AM PDT by Blue House Sue
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To: Olog-hai

Whatever the ‘Rats need the GOP will provide.


8 posted on 03/26/2018 7:53:00 AM PDT by TTFlyer
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To: Olog-hai
A report released Monday suggests Democrats might have to temper their enthusiasm about climbing back to power during this year’s midterm elections.

And the Dem media, boy are they going to be disappointed again.

9 posted on 03/26/2018 7:54:00 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Olog-hai

We need new Republicans.
Too many of the ones we have are really undocumented Democrats in R jerseys.


10 posted on 03/26/2018 7:54:53 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here of Citizen Parents__Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Olog-hai

PA-18 showed me the GOPe will lose the house.


11 posted on 03/26/2018 7:55:35 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: rjsimmon

Its the economy stupid. 6 million Americans got thousands of dollars in Tax cut bonuses and not one Dem voted for it.

Individual mandate killed, that was a Dem policy, as was the 29 hour work week per Obamacare.

Now people are getting 50 dollars a week less withholding
and that is making people more positive minded about the economy, and this is all GOP not one Dem.

Dems pushed obscene Omnibus spending pork, didn’t do Daca, didn’t fund border agents or the wall.

Dems are in trouble, and Republican fund raising is way larger than Dems.

Dems won PA. by distancing from leadership and embracing Republican policy. In LA. Mitch McTurdle worked against and spent $30 million to defeat Judge Moore, I don’t see this as a Dem win, it was the Swamp vs. a Conservative.


12 posted on 03/26/2018 7:55:45 AM PDT by Zenjitsuman (Y)
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To: Pining_4_TX
“Capture one or both of the political parties in the United States.”

— Communist goal #15

Franklin Roosevelt’s rapid conversion from Constitutionalism to the doctrine of unlimited government is an oft-told story. But I am here concerned not so much by the abandonment of states’ rights by the national Democratic Party — an event that occurred some years ago when that party was captured by the socialist ideologues in and about the labor movement — as by the unmistakable tendency of the Republican Party to adopt the same course. […] Thus, the cornerstone of the Republic, our chief bulwark against the encroachment (on) individual freedom by Big Government, is fast disappearing under the piling sands of absolutism.

The Republican Party, to be sure, gives lip service to states’ rights. We often talk about “returning to the states their rightful powers”; the Administration has even gone so far as to sponsor a federal-state conference on the problem. But deeds are what count, and I regret to say that in actual practice, the Republican Party, like the Democratic Party, summons the coercive power of the federal government whenever national leaders conclude that the states are not performing satisfactorily. …

The Conscience of a Conservative (1960), pp. 24-25
Funny that I still see the word “cowardly” when the word should be “collaborating”. Especially in light of how long it has been going on.
13 posted on 03/26/2018 7:56:10 AM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: Olog-hai

SO once again intimidating that Republicans win because of gerrymandering. The Dims invented it!


14 posted on 03/26/2018 7:57:36 AM PDT by vigilence (Vigilence)
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To: HamiltonJay

Nah; it didn’t. That was not a conservative district to begin with, no matter how much the media played it up. The prior representative was himself a RINO.

Not that there is a significant difference. The Uniparty merely plays musical chairs.


15 posted on 03/26/2018 7:57:46 AM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

And all the Freepers go,

“Yeah, but...”


16 posted on 03/26/2018 7:57:48 AM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: Olog-hai

Trump really can’t afford to have it even come close, as there are sure to be some Never Trumper GOPe in liberal districts who would cross over on an impeachment.

But November is a long ways away.


17 posted on 03/26/2018 7:59:51 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: Olog-hai

I’m not so sure we won’t pick up seats!!!


18 posted on 03/26/2018 8:01:07 AM PDT by ontap
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To: FlingWingFlyer
Well, they did register thousands of pre-school and elementary kids to vote at the Stayin’ Alive parades Saturday.

LOL. I wouldn't doubt it!
19 posted on 03/26/2018 8:02:17 AM PDT by Deo volente ("Our Independence Day is at hand, and it arrives finally on November 8th." Donald Trump)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
Well, they did register thousands of pre-school and elementary kids to vote at the Stayin’ Alive parades Saturday.

Disco still sucks.

20 posted on 03/26/2018 8:04:52 AM PDT by glock rocks (... so much win!)
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