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Flu Vaccine Works Better Than Expected-CDC. Flu shot making bad year worse-AP
New York Times - AP ^ | 2-16-2018 | Donald G. McNeil, Jr-NYT, Mike Stobbe-AP

Posted on 02/16/2018 9:22:52 AM PST by spintreebob

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To: The Iceman Cometh

however, if i had a 36% greater chance of surviving cancer by taking chemo- I’d call that very significant- everything is relative


21 posted on 02/16/2018 9:46:54 AM PST by Bob434
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To: spintreebob
.
>> “How is effectiveness best measured?” <<

See post #18
.

22 posted on 02/16/2018 9:48:26 AM PST by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: PghBaldy

All they care about is money!


23 posted on 02/16/2018 9:51:27 AM PST by hsmomx3
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To: bmwcyle
My last flu shot, 1978. I rarely get sick.

You've probably had flu many times and never known it. A very interesting study by a London university followed 5,500 people over six flu seasons and found that in all that time, 20 percent of all unvaccinated people caught the flu; of that 20 percent, only 25 percent had symptoms, and only 17 percent of those with symptoms sought treatment ("Comparative community burden and severity of seasonal and pandemic influenza: results of the Flu Watch cohort study," published in The Lancet Respiratory Medicine, June 2014.)

I've often wondered why I've been flu-free for about the past 30 years, and I think it's because I've actually had cases that were asymptomatic, or had mild symptoms that I simply ignored. I'll wager if you did a titer on my blood for antibodies you'd find them for every strain of flu under the sun.

I've never been vaccinated for flu.

24 posted on 02/16/2018 9:54:42 AM PST by Mr Ramsbotham (Laws against sodomy are honored in the breech.)
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To: spintreebob

I think it is measured on the percentage who received the vaccine and caught the flu anyway.


25 posted on 02/16/2018 10:01:00 AM PST by Blood of Tyrants (Conservatives love America for what it is. Liberals hate America for the same reason.)
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To: Mr Ramsbotham

That is such Bull Shit and you need to pull your head out of your ass with this shit. You are ABSOLUTELY WRONG.


26 posted on 02/16/2018 10:01:29 AM PST by bmwcyle (People who do not study history are destine to believe really ignorant statements.)
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To: spintreebob

I’d like to see the data and mathematical methodology they used to come up with that effectiveness estimate.

I suspect that with a little research on my own I could pull a number out of my butt that would be at least as accurate.

Their estimate has to be extrapolated from some sketchy data.


27 posted on 02/16/2018 10:02:55 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60's....You weren't really there)
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To: spintreebob

Did anyone see the study done that claims that the Flu Vaccine is actually spreading the Flu? They say that people who get the Vaccine are emitting the Flu Virus from their breath.


28 posted on 02/16/2018 10:14:30 AM PST by Revel
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To: spintreebob
Forget what reporters say. Generally speaking, folks in the press have less understanding of things technical than homeless people.

From what I can make out, the 25% number is associated w/a particular strain (H3N2) where the efficacy is usually lower, hence they are saying 25% is better. That's it. Don't read anything more into that.

Link to study below, which is the basis for the discussion, if you want to muddle through it.

Interim Estimates of 2017–18 Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness — United States, February 2018

29 posted on 02/16/2018 10:15:19 AM PST by fruser1
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Link to study in post 29.


30 posted on 02/16/2018 10:24:14 AM PST by fruser1
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To: Grampa Dave

People expect 100% effectiveness for everything. It ain’t ever gonna happen and the flu strains are incredibly variable and prone to drift, shift, and mutations that affect their antigenic character. Based on their test-negative study, the overall adjusted VE against all seasonal flu subtypes was 36% (95% confidence interval [CI], 27% to 44%). Against the closely watched H3N2 strain, VE for all ages was 25% (CI, 13% to 36%), statistically significant but not much different from the statistically not-significant 17% VE against H3N2 reported from Canada 2 weeks ago.

Against the 2009 H1N1 virus, VE was higher at 67% (CI, 54% to 76%), and against influenza B, VE was 42% (CI, 25% to 56%). Nearly all (98%) of the influenza B viruses found in the study group belonged to the Yamagata lineage, which is not included in trivalent (three-strain) vaccines but is in quadrivalent (four-strain) formulations.


31 posted on 02/16/2018 11:16:14 AM PST by Neoliberalnot (MSM is our greatest threat. Disney, Comcast, Google Hollywood, NYTimes, WaPo, CNN, NBC, CBS, ABC ...)
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To: Bob434

Oddly, many people claim they never get sick, then they die, never having been sick a day.


32 posted on 02/16/2018 11:18:10 AM PST by Neoliberalnot (MSM is our greatest threat. Disney, Comcast, Google Hollywood, NYTimes, WaPo, CNN, NBC, CBS, ABC ...)
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To: Revel

Are you serious. The flu vaccine does not contain intact virus.


33 posted on 02/16/2018 11:21:09 AM PST by Neoliberalnot (MSM is our greatest threat. Disney, Comcast, Google Hollywood, NYTimes, WaPo, CNN, NBC, CBS, ABC ...)
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To: Blood of Tyrants
I think it is measured on the percentage who received the vaccine and caught the flu anyway.

Bingo. You win!

People who get the vaccine are people who go see their doctor... or maybe pharmacist. When they see the professional, the professional presses them to get the vaccine... why? To prevent illness? No! Because they get paid more and especially because it improves their score with HHS/CMS in order to get paid for other services.

So people who see health professionals for other reasons are more likely to get the vaccine. And they see health professionals because they are sickly for non-flu reasons.

People who are healthy do not see the health professional as often and therefore do not get the vaccine. I have not seen these methodologies. But I have seen the methodology of others in the past. It is terribly biased. To come up with percentages, they must have a numerator and a denominator. The selection of those two numbers often makes no mathematical sense.

34 posted on 02/16/2018 11:23:02 AM PST by spintreebob (Spare no expense until everyone has above average health; above avg life expectancy)
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To: Steely Tom

Flu vacvine development is never a sure thing. I’d get the shot becsuse 25-36% effective is better than 0% effective.


35 posted on 02/16/2018 11:28:31 AM PST by Socon-Econ
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To: Mr Ramsbotham

Same here. NEVER had the “flu vaccine” and I have only been sick with flu symptoms 2 times-—enough to put me to bed for a day or two in 60 years. Never missed school for being sick except for measles (which didn’t kill me and probably made me much healthier and resilient in the future, plus affected the great health of my five children ). In my childhood we had VERY few “vaccines” and few “mandated” for school like today. (Nuremberg trials condemned mandating poisonous injections into people and all vaccines have known toxins and risks (that are purposely hidden, too) ). Positive effects are exaggerated and toxic effects are mostly hidden. Big Pharma has been all about lies, never the truth-—just “marketing of perceptions-—control of emotions of the masses. You will not be “free” unless you know the truth. You can never know what is best if you are told lies, so lies and disinformation (socialism) will destroy free will.

Read up on the “Father of the Polio Vaccine”, Jonas Salk. and find out his evil, diabolical worldview and statements, He wrote a book no one but Fabian Socialists (NWO) have read. Don’t take it from me. And read about the man who invented the hypodermic needle around 1900 which he knew is the cause of allergies. The deadly Peanut allergies came from vaccines but no one is allowed to say it. (Kill the scientists if they state the Truth, like Seth Rich). Truth is more hated than Lies. They injected peanut proteins along with vaccines, that went into the bloodstream of children which will cause the deadly peanut allergies. How in the world does peanut proteins get into the blood stream??? (Think!!!!!)

Vaccines have been responsible for millions of deaths around the world and in babies and it is covered up— and sterility in large groups of people in 3rd World countries. Vaccines are part of the Eugenics/Margaret Sanger program of depopulation which entails sterility and killing.....goes back to Malthus. These sick, evil people control your perceptions if you don’t read original source documentation -—like Salk’s own book and the words of H.G. Wells and Julian Huxley-—for “transhumanism” of the future-—nothing natural—not even “natural instincts” will exist by the time these evil “scientists” get total control of your minds and that of your children—like with Common Core and Hollywood/MSM. CIA controls MSM—always has, since JP Morgan/Rothschilds owned all the AP/Reuters and heads of radio/newspapers/universities (Pres. Wilson) since 1912 or so. YOU DO NOT GET THE TRUTH IN MSM AT ALL. NOR FROM RESEARCH CENTERS which are creating “swine flu” and other epidemics like HIV, etc.....all created in a lab-—for killing of certain useless “groups” as they sterilize other groups and make vegetables or autistic—non-breeders or “homosexuals” out of your children. It is all planned 200 years ago. Google Fichte 1810 “snow is black” quote for worldview—their plans for the masses (cattle). The destruction of the Natural Family is essential—atomized people incapable of profound relationships/love—along with the extreme cost of sickness/drugs stealing all the savings of the elderly as the drugs kill them quicker, but enough so they drain all their savings, so it will never reach their debt immersed children (complete idiot slaves of the State).

The Deep State has created a system based on Hegelian Dialectic-—you do not have a “choice”—it is determined by the Deep State—which president you may have, etc. The System has to be obliterated-—it is ALL unconstitutional since 1912. We have to have local control of eduction, newspapers, media and not the psychopaths controlling what we “know’ with the monopolies and Marxist systems of “education”, SS, Income Tax, theft (welfare), etc.


36 posted on 02/16/2018 11:36:05 AM PST by savagesusie (When Law ceases to be Just, it ceases to be Law. (Thomas A./Founders/John Marshall)/Nuremberg)
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To: Revel

Sure did...not a bit surprirsed.


37 posted on 02/16/2018 11:40:47 AM PST by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.com)
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To: Socon-Econ
I’d get the shot because 25-36% effective is better than 0% effective.

I have 0% chance of negative side-effects from a flu shot if I don't get one.

38 posted on 02/16/2018 11:49:28 AM PST by Wissa ("Accidents don't happen to people who take accidents as a personal insult." - Michael Corleone)
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To: bmwcyle

I have never had a flu shot and have had the flu one time in my 50+ years of life. For that particular time we were pushed to wash our hands constantly with soap and water and I did so and caught the flu.

Up to that point and since I either slather my hands in germy squirt or rubbing alcohol and haven’t got sick since.


39 posted on 02/16/2018 11:50:28 AM PST by sarge83
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To: bmwcyle
That is such Bull Shit and you need to pull your head out of your ass with this shit. You are ABSOLUTELY WRONG.

I didn't do the study.

40 posted on 02/16/2018 12:07:53 PM PST by Mr Ramsbotham (Laws against sodomy are honored in the breech.)
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