Hurricane Nate

NHC/NOAA ^ | 10/5/2017 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

Tropical Storm Nate is emerging from Honduras into the Western Caribbean. Forecast models are in agreement that Nate will continue into the Gulf of Mexico. Oil companies have begun evacuations of offshore platforms.

Nate is forecast to reach the northern Gulf Coast this weekend as a hurricane, and the threat of direct impacts from wind, storm surge, and heavy rainfall is increasing from Louisiana through the western Florida Panhandle. Hurricane and tropical storm watches, as well as a storm surge watch, have been issued for a portion of the northern Gulf Coast, and residents in these areas should monitor the progress of Nate, heeding any advice given by local officials.

Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links

Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile, LA
Bouy Data Gulf of Mexico

[NautiNurse]

Due to low shear and very high oceanic heat content in the northwestern Caribbean Sea, Nate should at least steadily strengthen once it moves offshore, especially since it appears to have a well-defined inner core. Rapid intensification is still not out of the question, and Nate could be near hurricane intensity by the time it reaches the Yucatan coast in about 24 hours.

Nate could strengthen further in the time between the 48-hour position and when it crosses the U.S. Gulf coast.

[NautiNurse]

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued from Morgan City, Louisiana,
eastward to the Alabama/Florida border, including the northern and
western shores of Lake Pontchartrain.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Morgan City, Louisiana,
eastward to the Mississippi/Alabama border, including metropolitan
New Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain, and Lake Maurepas.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from the Mississippi/Alabama
border eastward to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line in Florida. A
Tropical Storm Watch has also been issued west of Morgan City to
Intracoastal City, Louisiana.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[Extremely Extreme Extremist]

[dirtboy]

Hopefully Nathan spends a lot of time over the Yucatan before heading towards points north, and hits a lot of of shear en route.

[NautiNurse]

;o)

[CJ Wolf]

Hoping we were done.

[NautiNurse]

Well...Nate is moving 12mph, and track forecast looks like it will barely clip the Yucatan. Of course, things may change in the next day.

[NautiNurse]

It’s a sloppy looking storm thus far. Let’s hope it stays that way.

[txnativegop]

If the current track is accurate, looks like I’ll be getting wet early next week.

Oh joy! /s

[Parley Baer]

That disturbance marked X is going to shift Nate to the West and more over land. This will keep Nate from becoming a big hurricane. Maybe just a Cat 1.

[NautiNurse]

Near Real Time SST GOM

[CJ Wolf]

Well, we could certainly use the rain here in Va. It isn’t worth any destruction that might come with it to those in the south.

[CJ Wolf]

amen

[txnativegop]

We definitely need rain in SW Va.

Hate it for the people to the south, but hopefully Nate will pass over them fairly quickly.

[nopardons]

If these charts/projects are correct ( which I doubt ), the storm is completely on land, for just about ALL of the states it's supposedly going to hit, so just HOW is this going to be a hurricane when it gets to Ct., Mass., and Vt. ? Won't it have worn itself out by the time it gets to New England and not even be a tropical storm ?

I do NOT claim to be an expert and is why I am asking these questions.

[LouieFisk]

[CJ Wolf]

been at least 7 weeks here.

[txnativegop]

been about that long here, maybe 1 or 2 weeks longer.

[CJ Wolf]

Definitely feels longer. I was being conservative.

[txnativegop]

feel the same way, FRiend! :)