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Yes, the U.S. Navy Can Shoot Down North Korean ICBMs: Aegis defense system is already capable.
National Review ^ | 09/28/2017 | Henry F. Cooper

Posted on 09/28/2017 9:35:21 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Yes, the U.S. Navy Can Shoot Down North Korean ICBMs

Its Aegis ballistic-missile defense system is already capable and can be more so with certain upgrades.

By Henry F. Cooper — September 28, 2017

North Korea continues to test its nuclear weapons and its means to deliver them, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) that can reach America. We clearly need the best ballistic-missile defense (BMD) systems possible.

Even with this urgent need, some think we still have time, because they think that North Korea still must develop greater accuracy and the means to reenter the atmosphere before it can threaten us.

In the Wall Street Journal, I recently observed that North Korea could detonate nuclear weapons above the atmosphere to produce an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) and shut down the electric power grid indefinitely. Following such a burst over America, millions could die from starvation, disease, and societal collapse.

Guess what? North Korea recently highlighted its interest in a high-altitude “super powerful EMP attack” as a “strategic goal.” As in 2012 and 2016, it could launch a satellite to approach us from our mostly undefended south, this time with a nuke on board.

We need to enhance our limited ground-based BMD system in Alaska and California. Aegis BMD ships deployed around the world can augment that homeland-defense capability. But a false narrative is being spread in numerous articles: that these ships cannot shoot down ICBMs, except possibly in their terminal phase as they approach their targets.

That myth is a legacy of the Antiballistic Missile Treaty, which made it illegal to defend the American people against ballistic missiles. The United States bet on the doctrine of “mutual assured destruction,” or MAD, which promised that we would destroy the Soviet Union if it attacked us.

It was my privilege to serve as President Ronald Reagan’s chief defense and space negotiator, defending his Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) while learning all about the ABM Treaty as the “cornerstone of strategic stability,” as the Soviets and the U.S. liberal elite described it. Then as President George H. W. Bush’s SDI director, I advocated a “global protection against limited strikes” mission, including a new role for theater-missile-defense (TMD) systems to protect our overseas troops, friends, and allies.

The ABM Treaty permitted TMD systems. So I advised Admiral Frank Kelso, the chief of Naval operations, to ensure that Aegis BMD efforts were limited to building a TMD capability; otherwise, MAD acolytes, who were committed to the ABM Treaty, would kill it in the cradle.

A false narrative is being spread in numerous articles: that America’s ballistic-missile-defense ships cannot shoot down ICBMs, except possibly in the terminal phase of the missiles as they approach their targets.

Fortunately, that strategy to secure the political viability of Aegis BMD worked — but perhaps too well. Many mistakenly think that Aegis BMD can do no more than provide TMD capability. Even after President George W. Bush withdrew from the ABM Treaty in 2002, little was done to make Aegis BMD all that we thought it could be in the early 1990s.

Nonetheless, in early 2008, when a threatening satellite was shortly to reenter Earth’s atmosphere, President Bush chose Aegis BMD to shoot it down before its toxic fuel could threaten folks on the ground. In a heroic concerted effort, dubbed the “Burnt Frost” mission, the Navy succeeded in destroying the satellite, an uncooperative target traveling faster than an ICBM.

The challenge was difficult because the operational Aegis-system sensors at that time needed augmentation by other target-tracking information to cue the missile interceptor — Standard Missile-3 Block IA (SM-3 IA) — into the battlespace and close enough to its high-velocity target to enable the Navy’s “hit-to-kill vehicle interceptor.” Many agencies worked together to meet this urgent ad hoc challenge, as discussed in this video.

This challenge would be much less difficult today, because the Navy’s “launch on remote” and “engage on remote” capabilities can enable such intercepts and would be instrumental in defending against North Korean ICBMs. “Launch on remote” refers to the use of sensors to enable the captain of a given Aegis BMD ship to launch its interceptors before the radar on the same ship picks up the attacking target. “Engage on remote” refers to the fact that today’s interceptors need not be guided to their targets by the ship that launches them.

If Burnt Frost were undertaken today, it would employ a network of sensors operated by competent (usually military) personnel. Claims that Aegis BMD interceptors must be launched from near the launch site of the threatening missile are false. There is no reason for a “tail chase,” as some authors have claimed. It would be obvious to “quail hunters” that Aegis BMD ships can have “side shot” opportunities from many locations, against rockets “on the rise” above the atmosphere and later in their “descent phase.”

Almost a decade after President Bush gave the Burnt Frost mission to a competent team employing an Aegis BMD ship, President Trump should now direct his BMD team to ensure that Aegis BMD ships operate in locations from which they can shoot down North Korea’s ICBMs both going up and coming down.

Faster-velocity interceptors would improve this Aegis BMD capability. Lighter-weight kill vehicles with a final-stage thrust capability can provide increased velocity without requiring a major redesign of Aegis infrastructure. Employing such lightweight technology from the SDI era would be less expensive than building a larger-diameter interceptor as some recommend.

Aegis BMD has a significant ability to defend the U.S. homeland against long-range ballistic missiles from North Korea (and also Iran). We should make that important defense asset all it can be.

— Henry F. Cooper served in the Reagan administration as ambassador and chief defense and space negotiator with the Soviet Union and in the George H. W. Bush administration as director of the Strategic Defense Initiative.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: icbm; missiledefense; navy; northkorea
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1 posted on 09/28/2017 9:35:21 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I wonder how many AEGIS ships will be required on station to counter the threat. We may need a bigger Navy. Right now we are short two ships in the Pacific.


2 posted on 09/28/2017 9:46:14 AM PDT by Oldexpat
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To: SeekAndFind

The U.S.Navy probably will be able to destroy those missiles providing that the ships carrying out that mission stay out of collisions with cargo ships.


3 posted on 09/28/2017 9:50:24 AM PDT by puppypusher ( The World is going to the dogs.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Back in the 80s and 90s there was actually code in the Aegis Radar software to prevent it from tracking satellites because the radar and Standard Missiles could be used as anti-satellite weapons and there was a treaty about that.


4 posted on 09/28/2017 9:57:33 AM PDT by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR)
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To: SeekAndFind

Only in the terminal phase, which means they have to be at or near the actual target, wherever that is.


5 posted on 09/28/2017 9:58:34 AM PDT by SJSAMPLE
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To: SeekAndFind
In the Wall Street Journal, I recently observed that North Korea could detonate nuclear weapons above the atmosphere to produce an electromagnetic pulse (EMP) and shut down the electric power grid indefinitely. Following such a burst over America, millions could die from starvation, disease, and societal collapse.

And in North Korea, millions would die in a matter of seconds, burned to ashes in a thermonuclear hydrogen bombs's fireball...................

6 posted on 09/28/2017 10:00:27 AM PDT by Red Badger (Road Rage lasts 5 minutes. Road Rash lasts 5 months!.....................)
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To: SJSAMPLE

I believe some of the later Nike air defense missiles of the 50s had been outfitted with nuke warheads as a last ditch ability to destroy an incoming ICBM. The problem of course is easy to note, the Nikes were not long range weapons and there was not much difference between a nuke going up and detonating and one coming down and detonating.


7 posted on 09/28/2017 10:11:31 AM PDT by Mouton (The MSM is a clear and present danger to the republic.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Later


8 posted on 09/28/2017 10:17:55 AM PDT by gaijin
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To: SeekAndFind

Informative post. Thanks.


9 posted on 09/28/2017 10:18:39 AM PDT by Former Proud Canadian (Islam delenda est.)
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To: Mouton

I lived 2 blocks from a Nike site in /independence, Ohio. It’s now a school bus depot.


10 posted on 09/28/2017 10:42:30 AM PDT by Dr. Bogus Pachysandra (Don't touch that thing Don't let anybody touch that thing!I'm a Doctor and I won't touch that thing!)
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To: Mouton

Some of them were.
I was a Lance missile officer and used to fire missiles from the NAMFI site on the island of Crete. We used to watch the european partners fire what remained of the Nike-Herc missiles. Crazy. They’d boost off the launcher and then just STOP in mid-air, falling back to Earth for a crazy few seconds before the second stage kicked in.


11 posted on 09/28/2017 10:43:00 AM PDT by SJSAMPLE
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To: Mouton

And the nuke warheads were incredibly small.
Only several kilotons, nothing like an ICBM or even a Hiroshima or Nagasaki. They were more like small battlefield nukes built for 155mm howitzers.


12 posted on 09/28/2017 10:47:47 AM PDT by SJSAMPLE
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To: SeekAndFind

We know within seconds of a launch where any missile is going. IF it is just a fly over, we let them go.

We can track the splash down very accurately and recover the re-entry payload stage and see how far their technology is advancing.

No need to shoot them down yet.


13 posted on 09/28/2017 10:53:54 AM PDT by gandalftb (OK State, Go Cowboys!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

I would think that would be the last line of defense and don’t see the technology close to shooting down multiple MIRVs. I am aware that the Norks don’t have that technology (yet)but to bet millions of lives on missile technology is quite a gamble. I think the best bet is to get them at their silos or launch point before attack. There still is no proof that our ships have not been hacked.Call me Tinfoil.


14 posted on 09/28/2017 11:02:37 AM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: SeekAndFind

Polyanna and doom porn all in one article.


15 posted on 09/28/2017 11:04:53 AM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Not my circus. Not my monkeys.)
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To: Oldexpat
I wonder how many AEGIS ships will be required on station to counter the threat.

They better fire everything at the same time. They get no second chances. In any event, for North Korea the end result remains same.

16 posted on 09/28/2017 11:12:53 AM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: SJSAMPLE

You are wrong. The author says this about your lie:

“A false narrative is being spread in numerous articles: that America’s ballistic-missile-defense ships cannot shoot down ICBMs, except possibly in the terminal phase of the missiles as they approach their targets.”


17 posted on 09/28/2017 12:10:17 PM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: ConservativeMind

Lie?
I’m relying on articles written about THAAD, SM-3ER and other missiles.


18 posted on 09/28/2017 12:14:40 PM PDT by SJSAMPLE
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To: SJSAMPLE

Read this dang article before you spout off wrongly.


19 posted on 09/28/2017 12:19:55 PM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: ConservativeMind

I read it and I disagree with the author. I thought I made that clear.


20 posted on 09/28/2017 12:35:26 PM PDT by SJSAMPLE
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