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Hurricane Irma Live Thread III
NHC/NOAA ^ | NHC/NOAA | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/09/2017 2:08:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The entire Florida Peninsula and points north are poised to experience Hurricane Irma after the storm hugged Cuba's northern coastline. Thousands of Floridians who evacuated the Atlantic cost to Gulf Coast areas found their safe shelter under direct threat from Hurricane Irma as the forecast shifted W Friday night and Saturday. Hurricane Irma's prolonged interaction with Cuba diminished its strength to Category 3.

Irma is forecast to increase in strength as it crosses the FL Straits. The Florida Keys experienced strong outer bands while Irma grazed the N Cuba coastline.


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NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Orlando, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA


Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I
Hurricane Irma Live Thread II


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: florida; freepforecasts; hurricane; irma; livehurricaneirma; stormsurge
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To: maggief

It better start heading NW right now if it plans to go directly over Key West.


421 posted on 09/09/2017 5:42:37 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Thank You Rush

Over Tampa Bay


422 posted on 09/09/2017 5:43:16 PM PDT by Afterguard (Deplorable me!)
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To: MustKnowHistory

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-81.96,25.04,2515


423 posted on 09/09/2017 5:43:36 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: eyedigress

The view shows the forces that will start turning the storm. It cannot progress much further west without encountering northerly steering currents.


424 posted on 09/09/2017 5:44:31 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: kingu

The northwest turn appears to be underway, still think Irma is on track to move close to Key West around 0100-0200h EDT and to make a grazing landfall around Punta Gorda to Sarasota, but it won’t move very far inland if at all until it reaches the start of the panhandle. At this point I do not expect a panhandle direct hit but chances are definitely higher than at any time earlier. Will update my forecasts around midnight EDT.


425 posted on 09/09/2017 5:44:51 PM PDT by Peter ODonnell (The president is a good man -- that's why they are out to get him -- where have we seen this before?)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist

Bookmarking ..

Extremely Extreme Extremist wrote:

“Southern MS/AL must evacuate now. Not trying to be disruptive or hysterical, but I called it on the previous thread.

I said never in the history of recorded hurricanes did a hurricane take a sharp, near 90-degree hairpin turn in a direction. Hurricane Donna was the closest, and even that one swooped through western FL and then hooked Northeast.

This monster is going to pass over western FL and go into the Gulf. It is going to regroup in the Gulf and return to CAT 5 status due to the warm waters. It will directly affect Southern MS and AL, and possible NOLA. If it strikes MS, it will raise the Miss. River levels to unprecedented levels and cause significant flooding throughout the valley and up into Missouri and Illinois.

I work in transportation logistics. We have several major plants near Mobile AL that’s shutting down. They are on notice, and residents in these areas should be too.”


426 posted on 09/09/2017 5:45:04 PM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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President Trump and his cabinet members bow their heads in prayer for the people in harms way from Irma. Photo is from Camp David today.


427 posted on 09/09/2017 5:46:21 PM PDT by Right_in_Virginia
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Key West will be hit, but will it be a direct hit?

After Key West, TWC states Euro Model then places Irma’s eye over Naples, (forgot the time).

If the eye is west of Key West tomorrow morning, all bets are off.


428 posted on 09/09/2017 5:46:37 PM PDT by maggief
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To: Thank You Rush

Tampa Bay.


429 posted on 09/09/2017 5:46:41 PM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: Thank You Rush
Here is the location of the Skyway Bridge:
430 posted on 09/09/2017 5:47:09 PM PDT by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: dirtboy

That is a monster storm. What is that - 800 miles across?


431 posted on 09/09/2017 5:47:12 PM PDT by mad_as_he$$ (Not my circus. Not my monkeys.)
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To: Right_in_Virginia

Such a stark contrast from the past eight horrible years.


432 posted on 09/09/2017 5:47:38 PM PDT by TADSLOS (Reset Underway!)
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To: dirtboy

Where is the shear they talked about earlier today?


433 posted on 09/09/2017 5:47:46 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Tear down the Mexican Carrier plant and use the materials to build the wall)
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To: dirtboy

Irma appears to be moving that ridge slightly backward. It’s a question of momentum and mass. We know why she is slowing forward motion. At any rate, Havana now getting slammed.


434 posted on 09/09/2017 5:48:15 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: TADSLOS

I thought the same thing. I don’t remember anything like that during Obama’s time.


435 posted on 09/09/2017 5:48:39 PM PDT by Jamestown1630 ("A Republic, if you can keep it.")
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To: WildHighlander57

Katrina II ?


436 posted on 09/09/2017 5:48:45 PM PDT by lightman (ANTIFA is full of Bolshevik.)
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To: Thank You Rush

It spans from St. Petersburg to Bradenton.


437 posted on 09/09/2017 5:48:48 PM PDT by FamiliarFace
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To: TADSLOS

I agree. I read that VP Pence lead the prayer.


438 posted on 09/09/2017 5:48:49 PM PDT by Right_in_Virginia
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To: angcat
West Palm beach

Ah, you are correct.

439 posted on 09/09/2017 5:49:18 PM PDT by corlorde
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To: NautiNurse

Check out the green circled low in post 417 - that is forecast to shear the system as it moves further north.


440 posted on 09/09/2017 5:49:26 PM PDT by dirtboy
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