Posted on 09/09/2017 2:08:31 PM PDT by NautiNurse
The entire Florida Peninsula and points north are poised to experience Hurricane Irma after the storm hugged Cuba's northern coastline. Thousands of Floridians who evacuated the Atlantic cost to Gulf Coast areas found their safe shelter under direct threat from Hurricane Irma as the forecast shifted W Friday night and Saturday. Hurricane Irma's prolonged interaction with Cuba diminished its strength to Category 3.
Irma is forecast to increase in strength as it crosses the FL Straits. The Florida Keys experienced strong outer bands while Irma grazed the N Cuba coastline.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
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NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West, FL
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Buoy Data SE US & GOM
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Hurricane Irma Live Thread I
Hurricane Irma Live Thread II
I see the skyway from our windows. It is beautiful.
Ah Shep,he was standing on a bridge or ramp or something-———going NUTS.
.
Bridges like that give me the willies.
It’s possible that this hurricane may even skip FL altogether. Look at my latest trajectory. It’s not going to even touch Miami other than the obligatory heavy rain. The experts said it was going to go up the gut of FL and drench the entire state. They are dead wrong.
NOAA 5 Day Outlook
That’s what I’ve been thinking from watching it all afternoon.
Potential for bad trouble. There’s not enough time.
A bit ago, the Weather Channel was still determined to stick with their original track. Despite the eye being west of Miami, they showed a graphic of it turning around to head east to hit Miami.
Smart to be prepared. That is certainly possible, but unlikely in my opinion.
You’ve gotten some very bad information about hurricanes changing course. History is FULL of examples of hurricanes that have turned sharply... MORE than 90 degrees. But, they slow down first. Irma has been slowing.
She’s NOT going far into this cold air mass. Gulf Shores might still be in play.... But, no further. And, if she goes that far, NO WAY she’s Cat 5. There will be too much shear, and dry air.
Smart to be prepared. That is certainly possible, but unlikely in my opinion.
You’ve gotten some very bad information about hurricanes changing course. History is FULL of examples of hurricanes that have turned sharply... MORE than 90 degrees. But, they slow down first. Irma has been slowing.
She’s NOT going far into this cold air mass. Gulf Shores might still be in play.... But, no further. And, if she goes that far, NO WAY she’s Cat 5. There will be too much shear, and dry air.
It’s already passed the turning point shown in that map.
I’m with you, it’s worrisome.
We're getting Cuba separation, and here's the 4-6hr period that commences for knowing what we'll have in the end. Severe cane EITHER way. pic.twitter.com/Xw6mQ4pERc— crankyweatherguy (@crankywxguy) September 9, 2017
I’m in NH.
Wife has family in Port St. Lucie and I 10 acres of pasture in Okeechobee.
If and I stress only IF, her family is in need, I would load up my 11’ dump truck and hall my 16’ flat bed trailer full of stuff down there.
But ... you have to realize that after a storm like this it would be almost impossible to get down there. The roads will be clogged with debris, emergency crews, clean up crews, and residents who evacuated returning home. Plus, when you get there, you might be able to get back for some time as gas/diesel will be in VERY SHORT supply.
It would be better to stay out of there and not add to the congestion or get in the way of emergency crews. Also, if you go down there with a ton of supplies you will become a TARGET real fast for the looters.
Probably it would be better to donate to the Red Cross unless you have family down there with immediate needs.
I’m not seeing any turn yet.
(zoom out) https://weather.com/weather/radar/interactive/l/USFL0244:1:US
I remember him also on the balcony of some old hotel almost in tears. I woke up at 3 a.m. just to check in to see if he was still there.
Here was the trajectory just 24-48 hours ago:
Once again, the experts were wrong. This hurricane is already PAST most of FL and will hit the Keys and maybe the SW coast of FL. Tampa Bay could get hit. But the storm still get into the Gulf as well.
I’m not sure of the mechanics; it happened to areas of Tampa Bay during Isaac:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4Tnsut1OME
I see the winds have dropped to 120mph but the pressure is still at 932mb.
Get Zello on your phone!
I am using the Wundermap and moving the slider back and forth seems to me it is wobbling and the last image was more of a wobble continuation. It will take a few more frames that come every five minutes. I have the hurricane selection set to 1/2 transparent and have the radar at about 80%. The radars come every 5 and the hurricane every 30.
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