Isn’t that Irma NW wall flattening out? Is it up against that advancing wall?
On her current straight line track, she threads the needle. Actually just went to a place with cable to watch the turn on the boob tube, and they got all sports here. Oh well. It is Saturday. As she separates from the island only obstacle to strengthening is that reported sheer.
Yes... definitely starting to see the impact of the High Pressure ridge in the upper levels now. Forward motion is also slowing... the turn is coming.
Remains to be seen just how sharp, but... I think it could be pretty quick. We MIGHT just see a “best case” scenario here.. where, Irma hits the Keys hard, but goes inland far south of Naples. That’s where the FEWEST people live. And, it would give the least time for re-development. That’s what I’m pulling for..... but, will need significant heading change to get there.
Does anyone have a link or graphic of a detailed look at the past track? That is, good enough to clearly see Irma’s “wobbles” the last few days. It’s curiosity on my part / wondering if there is a pattern to it. I know most such storms wobble at least a little; in this case, Irma seems to have been almost skipping along the coast of Cuba. Plus, I wonder if it will continue to wobble that much, once it turns more NW or NNW? Hmmm...
That's what I said at 6 pm yesterday. Even at midnight last night, it wasn't completely clear which way Irma was going. This morning, it looks like it could still happen. For sure, it looks like the WORST of the storm surge will go into the everglades. But, sadly... it looks like Naples is going to get a HARD hit.
The whole thing looks pretty wobbly now, and more our less adrift. BEST we can hope for is to get this center over land... They're not projecting it, but... It sure looks like it might.
People are going to get a good look at what storm surge can do. I predict, when this is all over: We're going to see a bunch of new regulations about WHERE people can build.