Hurricane Irma Live Thread Part II

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[NautiNurse]

Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.

Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.

Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.

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NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
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Buoy Data Caribbean
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Buoy Data NC/SC/GA

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Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki

Hurricane Irma Live Thread I

[Ellendra]

No commercial flights in or out, the airport was too badly damaged. The only planes able to get there are seaplanes.

There aren’t many places intact enough to shelter in, and the few there are are swamped with people. They’re doing what they can, and helping people when possible, but Irma has weakened enough buildings that it might not matter that Jose is weaker.

[Ellendra]

Nope, not them. But thank you.

If you see one with Steve and Kati, and they’re doing stuff instead of sitting there, then that’ll be them :)

[DAVEY CROCKETT]

I agree with you and counting on this..

[SE Mom]

I don’t know. I do know some smart people here are worried.

[PJ-Comix]

You're right. NW is 315 degrees. If it starts going on the NW track that means for every mile west it also goes a mile North which would bring it to approach Florida at about Port St. Lucie. When the Florida Peninsula concaves west.

...But it must start going in that NW direction soon. Hopefully overnight that 290 degree track can go to something approaching 300 degrees or greater.

[eastforker]

Right now it is at 285.

[PJ-Comix]

Charley was a 4 when it hit, but became a 1 soon after. If this maintains at a 3 or 4 once it hits land, we’re going to see quite a bit of destruction.

If it does go directly up the center of Florida staring at a point West of Florida city, then the eye would pass over sparsely populated area. Actually mostly Everglades National Park. If you have ever driven from Miami to Naples the center of Florida from about 20 miles inland on each side is just...Everglades.

[Black Agnes]

Ryan Maue‏Verified account @RyanMaue 17m17 minutes ago Based on size of Hurricane #Irma + Category 4/5 landfall winds/surge & track up I-75 to Atlanta, are we contemplating a Trillion $ disaster?

[Mears]

That would get rid of the pythons-——or blow them someplace else.:-)

.

[Eric Pode of Croydon]

We lived through Andrew in a 1940's concrete bungalow with concrete tile roof.

110-115 mph in our area, we lost a patio roof and a couple of trees but the house rode it out like a champ. Hope that's a good sign for you!

[foundedonpurpose]

Just an FYI, this could effect a lot more than people are expecting. Time will tel where actual land fall and the subsequent path will be. However... This run could also result in very high inland wind/gusts into ga, sc and the mountains. It would appear winds will be enhanced by the fact of wedging/high over the northeast. Euro was showing 10 meter winds gusting as high as 75 to 90mph over all of ga/sc and this run of the gfs would likely be even worse since the track remains closer to the coast (less weakening vs an inland track) yet the low ends up near atlanta by 105. So widespread power outages are likely well inland...including atlanta. Such a track would also make for significantly higher storm surge along the ga/lower sc coast. A 18z gfs track is about as bad as it gets.

[janetjanet998]

NHC best intstenity model

someone please post the pic

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hwrf/2017090718/hwrf_satIR_11L_12.png

[exhaustedmomma]

Even if you’re in a stout building safe from flooding, the sound is exhausting and can drive you batty, it just goes on and on.

While riding out Rita, I asked my grandson how he was doing? If he was scared? He said he wasn't afraid. He just wished that ghost would shut up, it was getting on his nerves!

[dfwgator]

Gonna be a least a few insurance companies bankrupted by this.

[justa-hairyape]

The only good part about going up the spine is that it could make landfall in the everglades. Eye wall damage there would be minimal, but the Keys will probably be cut off for awhile. They estimate it would be Cat 1 when crossing into Georgia. CAT 3 or 2 over Orlando. Add the twisters to that mix and big trouble.

[MagUSNRET]

bookmark

[foundedonpurpose]

Try this: http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=11016&y=8048&z=1&im=12&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&p%5B0%5D=16&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=20170905020034&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&s=rammb-slider

Wife & Kids where just in the Madison area to see my mom. We miss real cheese, they stopped in Beloit on the way to Missouri to see other family. They got stale Curds. Yuck!!!

[lodi90]

So widespread power outages are likely well inland...including atlanta.

---

I’ve got a lot of neighbors evacuating to Georgia. Big mistake, IMO. We’re headed to Alabama in the AM and will be out of the cone.

[4Liberty]

Thanks!!

[tomkat]

GOES 7Sep17 2245 UTC